Urawa vs Fagiano Prediction
The “Red Devils” from Saitama take on the “Birds” from Okayama-and while this isn’t the grand finale, but merely a clash for 11th place, the intensity is every bit as fierce as in a title race. Urawa’s head-to-head history with this opponent is limited to just three encounters, all of them hard-fought battles. The first leg of the playoffs ended in a 1-1 draw. Now, the Red Diamonds return to Saitama Stadium 2002, where they are unbeaten in regulation time over their last three matches. Can the favorites live up to expectations?
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 31 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Fagiano Okayama):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
📊The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 against 1;
- average total in the 1st half - 0, in the 2nd half - 1.33;
- average total goals in the match - 1.33.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Urawa Red Diamonds Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Fagiano Okayama, away team - Urawa Red Diamonds). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 9;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
Finishing sixth in the regular season means Urawa’s campaign can hardly be called a disaster, but it was far from spectacular. The team enjoyed a three-match winning streak in early May, only to hit a rough patch and now find themselves winless in their last three outings. The Reds approach this fixture with caution: they average 1.37 goals scored per game while conceding 1.21. They tend to look more confident at home, though hardly invincible. The first leg left the “Red Devils” in a vulnerable spot. The scoreline was level, but their opponents dominated the run of play.
Match Results: Urawa Red Diamonds

Fagiano Okayama Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Fagiano Okayama, away - Urawa Red Diamonds). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Fagiano Okayama vs Urawa Red Diamonds):
- ball possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Fagiano Okayama, who finished sixth in the Western group last season, have been one of this year’s surprise packages. In May, they stunned Vissel Kobe with a commanding 3-0 away win, and with an average of 1.32 points per game, they’ve even edged ahead of Urawa in the overall standings. Their main strength lies up front: they average 1.42 goals per game, and that figure jumps to 1.9 over their last five outings. Remarkably, Okayama have scored in every single away match-a phenomenal record by any standard. The first leg against Urawa offered the “Birds” a golden opportunity to stake their claim in this head-to-head, but despite dominating play, they couldn’t turn that superiority into goals on the scoreboard.
Match Results: Fagiano Okayama
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 7 vs 8;
- win percentage: 37% vs 42%;
- losses: 11 vs 10;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.33;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.33;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama
- average total in the tournament: 2.37 vs 2.68;
- average total goals scored: 1.37 vs 1.32;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.53;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.89 vs 0.79;
- Urawa Red Diamonds: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Fagiano Okayama: average total away in the tournament - 1.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 1.6 (away - 1.6).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Urawa Red Diamonds games (J1 League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for Urawa Red Diamonds at home - 5 (56%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fagiano Okayama away - 8 (89%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Urawa Red Diamonds at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Fagiano Okayama away - 4 (80%).
- Fagiano Okayama have scored and conceded in 12 of last 13 away games (J1 League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (34/190, 17.9%);
- Urawa Red Diamonds at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Fagiano Okayama away most often play: 1:1 (4/9, 44.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.34% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.22% (odds 6)
2:1 - 9.43% (odds 7.5)
Editors' Prediction
The draw in the first leg leaves everything to play for, but the momentum seems to favour the visitors. Urawa have not looked invincible at home, while Fagiano have found the net in every away match this season. The "Birds" are in better form and show no fear when facing higher-profile opponents on the road. Still, the "Red Devils" hold a psychological edge, having never lost to Fagiano in their head-to-head history. Both sides are likely to approach this one with caution, wary of conceding first and giving up control of the tie. A scenario where both teams score and the match ends in a draw after regular time looks the most likely outcome here. Our prediction: a 1-1 draw, with the main bet being on under 2.5 goals.
