Manchester United vs Man City Prediction 6 April 2025
🔊 The upcoming Manchester derby promises to be intense and unpredictable, given both teams' inconsistency this season. Manchester United have little at stake in terms of the standings, but the prestige of the match demands their full commitment. Meanwhile, City need to secure their spot in the Champions League zone, as missing out would be a complete disaster. The "Citizens" are considered favorites, which raises questions given the results of their recent head-to-head encounters.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Manchester United and Manchester City:
- 46 matches played;
- home wins - 20, away wins - 22, draws - 4;
- goals scored - 59 for United, 75 for City;
- average first-half total - 1.24, second-half - 1.67;
- average total goals per match - 2.91.
The last game took place on 15 December 2024 at Manchester City's ground and ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Manchester United - Man City
Manchester United Team Overview
Manchester United are currently 13th in the Premier League. It's been a disappointing season that can only be salvaged by winning the Europa League. Despite their struggles, they remain one of the tournament favorites. In the Round of 16, they overcame a tough Real Sociedad side, with Bruno Fernandes netting a hat-trick. Although two of his goals came from penalties, it doesn't diminish the Portuguese star's impressive form-he scored eight goals in seven matches before the international break. Alongside Fernandes, Manchester United have shown improvement, although they still weren't ready to overcome Nottingham Forest (0-1). The only goal conceded by the Red Devils came from Anthony Elanga, a former United player.
Head coach Ruben Amorim sees positives in their play: “We are making progress: creating chances, dominating matches more. We understand this season will be like this-sometimes we gain momentum, sometimes we lose it.”
Currently sidelined are Amad Diallo, Jonny Evans, Kobbie Mainoo, Lisandro Martinez, and Luke Shaw. However, there have been worse times when the bench was nearly empty.
Match Results: Manchester United
Manchester City Team Overview
Manchester City don't quite resemble their usual selves this season. They barely made it to the Champions League playoffs and exited the tournament rather swiftly. In the Premier League, the team sits in fifth place, despite having the advantage of preparing on a weekly cycle without much interruption. Pep Guardiola still has a shot at silverware, having guided the Citizens to the FA Cup semi-finals, where they will face a resilient Nottingham Forest. In their last Premier League outing, Manchester City defeated Leicester 2-0. Jack Grealish scored just two minutes into the match, marking his first goal of the Premier League season. It's highly likely that the club will part ways with the England international this summer.
Kevin De Bruyne announced on social media that he will leave Manchester City at the end of the season: "Every story comes to an end, but this has undoubtedly been the best chapter." The Belgian addressed fans, saying, "Let's enjoy these last moments together." Pep Guardiola hailed Kevin De Bruyne as one of the greatest players in Premier League history: "It's a sad day, yet a joyous one because we shared this time with Kevin, for everything he gave us, for his humanity."
Notably, Manuel Akanji, Nathan Ake, Rodri, and John Stones will miss the derby due to injuries. They've been sidelined for quite some time now. Erling Haaland also missed the match against Leicester and might sit out for the rest of the season.
Match Results: Manchester City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 20, away team wins - 22, draws - 4.
Statistics: Manchester United vs Manchester City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of wins: 10 vs 15;
- win percentage: 33% vs 50%;
- number of losses: 13 vs 9;
- number of draws: 7 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- number of losses: 3 vs 4;
- number of draws: 3 vs 1.
- Manchester United has not lost in 7 of the last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.28, the guests - 1.63;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.91;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Manchester United vs Manchester City
- average total in the tournament: 2.6 vs 3.23;
- average total goals scored: 1.23 vs 1.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 0.77;
- Manchester United: average total at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Manchester City: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 2.2) vs 1.7 (away - 1).
- Manchester United conceded in the 2nd half in 8 of the last 9 games against Manchester City.
Prediction on corners
Manchester United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.13; at home field - 5.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 4.8.
Manchester City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.47, away - 6.07;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 3.5.
- Manchester City has taken over 5.5 corners in each of their last 5 games against Manchester United.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.96 (1.98 for home team and 1.98 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.86 (2.05 for home team and 1.81 for away team).
Manchester United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.9; at home - 1.93;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.4; at home - 1.6.
Manchester City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.57, away - 1.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.1; away - 2.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 12 of the last 14 Manchester United games.
- There have been Under 4.5 yellow cards in 7 of the last 8 Manchester United games in the Premier League.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
Statistics: Manchester United vs Manchester City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 13 vs 18;
- number of BTTS matches for Manchester United at home - 7 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Manchester City away - 9 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Manchester United at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Manchester City away - 2 (50%).
- Manchester United has scored and conceded in 8 of the last 9 games against Manchester City.
- Manchester United has scored and conceded in 8 of the last 9 home games.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have struggled with consistency, often making defensive errors, which makes the over 2.5 goals bet a reasonable prediction. This has hit in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head encounters, with the exception being a Super Cup match. We believe the Manchester derby will once again deliver its usual high-scoring affair.
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Betting Tips: Manchester United - Manchester City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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