Inter vs Milan Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 January 2025

🔊 What scenario will the final game of the Italian Super Cup follow? On Monday, many expected to see a battle between Inter and Juventus, but Milan had its own plans. Considering that the last time Simone Inzaghi's team lost in the Italian championship was precisely in a match against the "Rossoneri" (1-2 at the end of September), nothing is clear in the upcoming confrontation. In such a situation, we will try to analyze all the details to provide you with an accurate prediction for the meeting that will take place at "Al-Awal Park".

📊 Head-to-head

In recent head-to-head confrontations, Inter has shown itself in all its glory. Over a stretch of 9 previous games, the "Nerazzurri" have won 7 times, while Milan has been stronger than their opponent only 2 times. However, the September game that took place as part of the 5th round of Serie A turned out to be controversial. Simone Inzaghi's team attacked more sharply, but it was the "Rossoneri" who celebrated victory (2-1).

🔵 Inter

In Italy, there are no teams equal to Inter. The "Nerazzurri" sweep away all opponents in their path and do so without much effort. In the semi-final of the Italian Super Cup, Simone Inzaghi's team confidently defeated Atalanta, the leader of Serie A (2-0). Two fantastic goals by Denzel Dumfries were the key moments of the match. First, the defender sent the ball into the net with an overhead kick, then scored a magnificent goal from outside the penalty area with a ricochet off the crossbar. However, it should be noted that Inter failed the end of the game. First, the team was saved by a millimeter offside, and then Yann Sommer made two stunning saves. As for the upcoming confrontation, besides Francesco Acerbi, Matteo Darmian, and Benjamin Pavard, Marcus Thuram's participation remains in question.

🔴 Milan

Despite losing only once since early November, Milan's management decided to remove Paulo Fonseca from the position of head coach before the new year and replace him with Sergio Conceicao. Overall, the team's debut game under the guidance of the Portuguese specialist was successful. In the semi-final, the "Rossoneri" defeated a strong opponent like Juventus (2-1), which had only suffered one defeat in the season before (0-1 against Stuttgart). Despite Milan's attacking potential, they scored two goals that were hard to foresee. First, Sergio Conceicao's team converted a penalty, and then Federico Gatti awkwardly deflected the ball into his own net while trying to intercept a pass. As for the upcoming confrontation, the team will not be able to count on 4 players, including Samuel Chukwueze and Rafael Leao.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

Currently, Inter is probably the best team in the world when it comes to defense. The "Nerazzurri" rank first in goals conceded in the Champions League (1) and second in Serie A (15). Moreover, Simone Inzaghi's team is on a streak of 5 clean sheet victories, leaving powerful opponents like Lazio (6-0) and Atalanta (2-0) scoreless. Considering Milan's not-so-stable play, an interesting betting option appears to be both teams to score (no).

🚩 Corner Prediction

The only thing that unites Inter and Milan at this stage of the season is their activity in executing corner kicks. For example, in the Italian championship, Simone Inzaghi's team averages 6.4 corners per game (1st place), while the "Rossoneri" earn 6.1 set-pieces near their opponents' goal per game (4th place). In their semi-final matches of the Italian Super Cup, both teams also frequently approached the corner flag - 7 times each. In such a situation, you can bet on total corners over 9.5.

📝 Editorial Prediction

Bookmakers unanimously favor Inter in the upcoming final of the Italian Super Cup, and it's hard to find arguments against this opinion unless you are a devoted Milan fan. The "Nerazzurri" surpass their opponent in all gaming and organizational aspects. Simone Inzaghi's team demonstrates spectacular attacking football, plays reliably in defense, and achieves victories in most of their matches, confidently dealing even with direct competitors. Perhaps it would have been more challenging for the reigning Italian champion to play against Juventus than against Milan, which shows unstable play and recently changed its coach. Furthermore, the "Nerazzurri" are not a team that will score own goals or concede unnecessary penalties. We won't invent anything and will bet on Inter's victory in regular time. We believe that the nominal hosts will win with a score of 2-0.