Metz vs Nantes Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Who will come out on top in the battle of the underdogs? On Sunday, in the 28th round of the French football championship, Metz and Nantes face off, both languishing at the bottom of the league table. Both teams are fighting to retain their spot in the top division, but it seems unlikely that either will succeed. You'll find the match prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Metz have been successful against Nantes, winning their last three head-to-head encounters regardless of the venue. In the first round of the current championship, Metz secured a 2-0 victory.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    13 Wins
    45%
    18 Draws
    23%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    43%
    1.08
    Total average
    0.93
    1.18
    Yellow cards
    0.93
    Last matches
    05.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1
    2.13
    0.78
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.13
    0.78
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    1
    02.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Metz
    Metz
    1.12
    0.96
    8
    5
    8
    8
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.12
    0.96
    8
    5
    8
    8
    1
    2
    03.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Metz
    Metz
    -
    -
    10
    3
    5
    9
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    10
    3
    5
    9
    3
    2
    12.11.23
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    2
    5
    8
    6
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    8
    6
    0
    0
    27.02.22
    LI1
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    16
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    16
    1
    2
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    Metz Team Overview

    🔴 Throughout the season, Metz have remained in the relegation zone, firmly anchored at the bottom of the standings. Over 27 rounds, the team have accumulated just 14 points and scored only 25 goals. Metz's defense is faltering, with 60 goals conceded-a stark contrast to the team second from the bottom, who have let in 41 goals.

    ⚪ In their latest match, Metz somehow managed to secure a point against Rennes, holding them to a goalless draw. Prior to this, Benoît Tavenot's side had endured a five-match losing streak. In their last eight outings, Metz have found the net just four times-averaging 0.5 goals per game, which aptly reflects their struggles this season.

    Match Results: Metz

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    L
    29.04.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Seraing
    Seraing
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Metz
    Metz
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    D
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    Nantes Team Overview

    🟡 For Nantes, their only shot at survival this season hinges on a victory in the upcoming match against Metz. A win would address several issues: firstly, it would leave Metz anchored at the bottom, and secondly, it would allow Nantes to close the gap on Auxerre, who currently occupy a spot in the relegation zone that leads to playoff matches with Ligue 2 teams.

    🟢 The task is clear, but executing it is another matter when their form is lacking. Vahid Halilhodžić's side (with him taking charge on March 11) are on a three-match losing streak. They suffered two narrow defeats to Lille (0-1) and Angers (0-1), followed by an intense battle with Strasbourg (2-3). In that clash, Nantes let a draw slip away in the 90+2 minute, and that single point could prove crucial in the standings.

    Match Results: Nantes

    Last matches
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    L
    22.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    D
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    Latest news

    Metz

    ❌ Metz face uncertainty regarding the availability of Giorgi Kvilitaia and Nathan Mbala, who have been recovering from illness and training separately from the main squad. The situation with goalkeeper Pape Si is unclear as well; he featured in the match against Rennes but had missed most of the season due to a concussion. Boubacar Traore is still struggling to recover from a calf muscle injury, though there is hope he might have made progress during the international break.

    Nantes

    🎙 New Nantes head coach Vahid Halilhodzic addressed the club's fans. "This is as much your club as it is ours. I came here to try, perhaps, to save us from disaster. It won't be easy. You're disappointed, just like all of us... Support them if they deserve it. But if they behave poorly and don't fight, boo them, shout at them. That's how it works," Halilhodzic said.

    ❌ Nantes don't have too many absences ahead of this match. Midfielder Demen Assoumani will definitely miss the game due to injury. He sustained the injury while playing for France's youth team at the European Championship, and now the club's doctors are working hard to get him back on the pitch as soon as possible. Bahmed Deoff's participation is doubtful, as he is still struggling to fully recover from his leg injury.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Jerome Brisard, who on average issues 3.68 yellow cards per game over a span of 100 matches, with 23 fouls per game. In 27 Ligue 1 matches, the yellow card statistics for the teams are as follows: Metz average 1.8 yellow cards per game, while Nantes average 2. Both teams have not been frequently booked this season, and Jerome Brisard is not quick to hand out cards either. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Metz's average individual total in Ligue 1 is 0.9 goals per match, with Nantes matching that at 0.9 as well. Clearly, both teams struggle offensively and do not score in every match, making a bet on both teams to score (no) a promising option.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In 27 Ligue 1 matches, Metz have averaged 4 corners per game, while Nantes have averaged 3.2. Both teams rarely earn corner kicks, showing below-average league statistics. Therefore, we recommend placing a bet on total corners under 8.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are in dire straits, and it would be a miracle if either manages to avoid relegation to League Two. Their main issue is the lack of top-tier attacking players capable of delivering crucial goals. Given the low scoring tendencies of both sides, we suggest betting on total goals under 2.5. Based on head-to-head statistics, where Metz have the upper hand, we predict the hosts will edge out a narrow 1-0 victory.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -161*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 April 2026, 12:37)

    Betting Tips: Metz - Nantes

    Nantes have lost
    fc-nantesin 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
    Metz Win
    Bovada
    +180
    Metz have lost
    fc-metzin 7 of last 8 home games.
    fc-metzin 6 of last 7 home games (Ligue 1).
    Nantes Win
    Bovada
    +153
    Metz have not won
    fc-metzin last 15 games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin last 12 games.
    fc-metzin last 8 home games.
    fc-metzin last 7 home games (Ligue 1).
    Nantes will not lose
    Everygame
    -244
    Metz have not lost
    fc-metzfc-nantesin 9 of last 10 games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzfc-nantesin last 7 home games against Nantes (Ligue 1).
    Nantes have not won
    fc-nantesin 9 of last 10 games.
    fc-nantesin 8 of last 9 games (Ligue 1).
    Metz will not lose
    Everygame
    -196
    View more facts

    Metz - Nantes Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    13.
    Angers
    Angers
    34991629-4836
    14.
    Havre
    Havre
    347141332-4435
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    0 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 23
    -13
    -5
    7 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    0
    Wins
    1
    4
    Draws
    3
    6
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    7
    23
    Conceded
    12
    3.3
    Match goals average
    1.9
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    2.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats