Nantes vs Metz Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Who will come out on top in the battle of Ligue 1's underdogs? The Matchday 11 clash between Nantes and Metz is set to be just that. With both teams languishing at the bottom of the standings, they are desperate for points. Expect a fiercely contested encounter. You can find our prediction for this match below.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the past two years, Metz have dominated their encounters with Nantes. The Crusaders have triumphed over the Canaries in their last two meetings, with an aggregate score of 5-1.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    23%
    9 Wins
    45%
    18 Draws
    33%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2
    Both teams scored
    43%
    0.93
    Total average
    1.08
    0.93
    Yellow cards
    1.18
    Last matches
    05.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1
    2.13
    0.78
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2.13
    0.78
    6
    3
    14
    10
    2
    1
    02.11.25
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Metz
    Metz
    1.12
    0.96
    8
    5
    8
    8
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.12
    0.96
    8
    5
    8
    8
    1
    2
    03.03.24
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Metz
    Metz
    -
    -
    10
    3
    5
    9
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    10
    3
    5
    9
    3
    2
    12.11.23
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    2
    5
    8
    6
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    5
    8
    6
    0
    0
    27.02.22
    LI1
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    16
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    15
    16
    1
    2
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    Nantes Team Overview

    🟡 This season, Nantes have scored 10 goals in ten matches while conceding 15. Luis Castro's side often ends up "parking the bus." This doesn't happen because they dominate possession and deny their opponents the ball, but rather because they simply set up a defensive wall in front of their goal, hoping for a miracle in attack.

    🟢 After an unexpected 2-1 away victory over Paris FC, Nantes suffered a home defeat to Monaco (3-5). The match against the Monégasques was sheer chaos on the pitch - both teams played without a midfield, which favored the visitors. It's unclear why the Canaries' head coach didn't recognize this, as it's challenging to compete openly with such opponents. The result was a defeat, leaving them in 15th place, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone.

    Match Results: Nantes

    Last matches
    08.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.03
    1.24
    8
    3
    15
    15
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    Olympique Marseille
    Olympique Marseille
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.06
    1.44
    7
    8
    12
    11
    1
    3
    W
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Nantes
    Nantes
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.36
    2.22
    6
    8
    15
    15
    3
    2
    L
    22.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2.08
    1.2
    7
    6
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    19.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Nantes
    Nantes
    2
    Stade Brest
    Stade Brest
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.97
    0.33
    11
    0
    13
    17
    2
    2
    D
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    Metz Team Overview

    🔴 Metz recently secured their first league victory, pulling off a stunning win at home against Lens, who were sitting second in the standings at the time. It took ten rounds for Stéphane Le Mignan's side to realize they can win and pick up points in the competition.

    ⚪ Despite this victory, Metz's situation remains precarious-they are currently at the bottom of the league, trailing their nearest rival by two points. However, if Metz can earn points in the upcoming match, they will significantly close the gap to the "safe zone," while potentially sending Nantes to the bottom of the standings.

    Match Results: Metz

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Nice
    Nice
    Metz
    Metz
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.83
    0.98
    10
    4
    11
    15
    2
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Lorient
    Lorient
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    0.68
    1.61
    7
    4
    8
    8
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Ligue 1
    Metz
    Metz
    Monaco
    Monaco
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.21
    1.3
    5
    9
    10
    15
    0
    2
    L
    29.04.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Seraing
    Seraing
    Metz
    Metz
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    D
    26.04.26
    Ligue 1
    Havre
    Havre
    Metz
    Metz
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    4
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2.16
    1.49
    6
    4
    12
    12
    3
    1
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Nantes

    ❌ Nantes will take the field against Metz without Francis Coquelin, Hong Hyun-seok, and Joann Lepenant. The Canaries' midfielders are sidelined due to injuries and have been out for a while, so the coaching staff likely wasn't counting on their presence. 

    Metz

    🟥 Gauthier Hein and Sadibou Sané have both received red cards, ruling them out of the upcoming match. Hein picked up two yellow cards in the game against Lens in the previous round, while Sané is suspended due to a rough tackle on a Toulouse player during their Matchday 8 encounter.

    ❌ Metz are dealing with more significant injury concerns. Joseph M'Bondo, Malick Mbaye, and Warren Tchimbembé have been sidelined for some time due to injuries. The availability of defender Fodé Ballo-Touré and midfielder Boubacar Traoré remains uncertain as they continue to recover.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The appointed referee for the upcoming match is Gaël Angoula. Over the course of 79 matches he has officiated, he averages 3.2 yellow cards per game with 25 fouls. In Ligue 1 this season, Nantes average 1.6 yellow cards per game, while Metz average 1.4. Both teams have received few cautions this season, and Gaël Angoula is not known for handing out many cards either. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Nantes' average individual total in the French championship is 1 goal per match, while Metz average 0.8. Given the low scoring nature of both teams this season, we recommend considering a bet on total match goals under 2.5.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    In their last ten French championship games, Nantes have averaged 3.4 corners per match, while Metz have averaged 4 during the same period. Both teams are not particularly aggressive on the wings and do not frequently test the goalkeeper, resulting in fewer corner kicks. We suggest considering a bet on total corners under 9.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are treading on thin ice this season, with a real possibility that one, or even both, might face relegation from the top division at the end of the campaign. Recently, Metz secured their first win and the players are riding a wave of confidence, so we anticipate another success for the visitors, predicting a narrow 1-0 victory this time around. For our main bet on this encounter, we suggest considering a +1 handicap on Metz, as Nantes have only managed one home win this season, and that was by the slimmest of margins.

    Our choice
    Metz Handicap (+1) at odds of -130*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 November 2025, 12:00)

    Betting Tips: Nantes - Metz

    Metz have lost the 2nd half
    fc-metzin last 5 away games (Ligue 1).
    2nd Half Nantes Win
    Everygame
    +140
    Metz have lost
    fc-metzin last 5 away games (Ligue 1).
    Nantes Win
    Bovada
    +110
    Nantes have not won
    fc-nantesfc-metzin 8 of last 9 games against Metz (Ligue 1).
    Metz will not lose
    Everygame
    -139
    Metz have not won
    fc-metzin 10 of last 11 games (Ligue 1).
    fc-metzin 9 of last 10 games.
    Nantes will not lose
    Everygame
    -333
    View more facts

    Nantes - Metz Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    13.
    Angers
    Angers
    34991629-4836
    14.
    Havre
    Havre
    347141332-4435
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032
    17.
    Nantes
    Nantes
    33582029-5223
    18.
    Metz
    Metz
    34382332-7617

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    3 - Draws
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 0
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 6
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 12
    -5
    -13
    10 - Scored
    23 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    0
    3
    Draws
    4
    6
    Loses
    6
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    10
    12
    Conceded
    23
    1.9
    Match goals average
    3.3
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.3
    3
    Both teams scored
    5
    129'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats