Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction 5 April 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Valencia promises to be a highlight of the football weekend. On paper, the hosts appear as favorites, confidently sitting in second place in the standings. Their consistent form, with eight wins in their last ten matches, underscores their intent to contend for the title. Meanwhile, the visitors are striving to stay afloat, currently positioned in fifteenth. The strategy for both teams is clear: Madrid will go on the offensive, leveraging their strengths in attack, while Valencia will aim to counter and withstand the pressure.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Real Madrid and Valencia:
- 41 matches played;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 8, draws - 10;
- goals scored - 92 for Real, 55 for Valencia;
- average first-half total - 1.54, second-half - 2.05;
- average total goals per match - 3.59.
The last game took place on 03 January 2025 at Valencia's ground and ended with a 1-2 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - Valencia
Real Madrid Team Overview
Real Madrid currently hold second place in the league. Their recent form is impressive, with eight wins out of their last ten matches highlighting the strength of Los Blancos. Earlier this week, they played a cup tie against Real Sociedad, ending in a 4-4 draw after extra time. Antonio Rüdiger's goal in the 115th minute paved the way for the capital club to reach the tournament final.
Recently, a significant controversy has surrounded Carlo Ancelotti, who is facing substantial tax debt issues. The Madrid prosecutor's office is seeking a four-year prison sentence for one of the most prominent managers of our time. Could this be distracting the Italian from his primary duties?
It's worth noting that the Galácticos are not without their injury woes. Dani Carvajal has been sidelined since October last year due to a cruciate ligament rupture. A similar injury has kept Éder Militão out of action since November 2024. Muscle injuries to Dani Ceballos, Thibaut Courtois, and Ferland Mendy cast significant doubt over their participation in the upcoming match.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Valencia Team Overview
Valencia seem to have found their stride towards stability. The "Bats" have picked up points in 7 of their last 8 La Liga matches. A four-point cushion from the relegation zone significantly eases the pressure on the players.
Interestingly, Diego Lopez was named La Liga's Best Under-23 Player for March. The Spanish forward shared his thoughts on working with Carlos Corberan: "He asks us to stay focused and keep working hard. It's a very demanding daily routine. He always demands 100% effort from us and himself."
One of Valencia's major personnel issues remains the absence of Thierry Correia. The Portuguese defender suffered an ACL tear back in October last year. Due to an accumulation of yellow cards, Dimitri Foulquier, Jose Gaya, and Luis Rioja will be unavailable for the upcoming match.
Match Results: Valencia
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 8, draws - 10.
Statistics: Real Madrid vs Valencia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of wins: 19 vs 7;
- win percentage: 66% vs 24%;
- number of losses: 4 vs 12;
- number of draws: 6 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 8 vs 4;
- number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- number of draws: 1 vs 3.
- Valencia has lost the 2nd half in 6 of the last 7 La Liga games against Real Madrid.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.24, the guests - 1.34;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.59;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Real Madrid vs Valencia
- average total in the tournament: 3.14 vs 2.69;
- average total goals scored: 2.14 vs 1.1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.97 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.17 vs 0.59;
- Real Madrid: average total at home in the tournament - 2.57;
- Valencia: average total away in the tournament - 0.79;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.67) vs 1.3 (away - 1.5).
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of the last 9 Real Madrid games in the La Liga.
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 7 of the last 8 Valencia games in the La Liga.
- There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of the last 7 Valencia games.
Prediction on corners
Real Madrid: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.59; at home field - 6.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.6; at home field - 7.67.
Valencia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.28, away - 4.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 4.
- Real Madrid has taken under 6.5 corners in 7 of the last 8 La Liga games against Valencia.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4.3 (2.15 for home team and 2.15 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5.05 (2.05 for home team and 3 for away team).
Real Madrid: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.59; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.17.
Valencia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.03, away - 1.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 2.
- There have been Over 2.5 yellow cards in 6 of the last 7 Real Madrid games in the La Liga.
- There have been Over 2.5 yellow cards in each of the last 5 Real Madrid games.
- There have been Over 2.5 yellow cards in each of the last 6 Valencia in the La Liga games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 41;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: Real Madrid vs Valencia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 29 vs 29;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 17;
- number of BTTS matches for Real Madrid at home - 7 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Valencia away - 9 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Real Madrid at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Valencia away - 4 (100%).
- Real Madrid has scored and conceded in 11 of the last 12 home games.
- Real Madrid has scored and conceded in 6 of the last 7 La Liga games.
- Valencia has scored and conceded in each of their last 6 La Liga away games.
Editorial Prediction
Madrid are feeling the strain after their cup tie, and with a Champions League quarter-final clash against Arsenal in London next week, they might opt for a more conservative approach in the upcoming match. As a result, we don't expect a high-scoring game. Our pick is under 3.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Valencia
in 6 of last 7 games against Real Madrid (La Liga).
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in 7 of last 8 games (La Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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