Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction 4 January 2025

🔊 Can Fiorentina achieve a long-awaited victory in the upcoming clash? Recently, the "Viola" have not been playing the most effective football and have been unable to win for 4 games now. Napoli, fighting for the championship, is clearly aiming to secure 3 points in the match that will take place at the "Stadio Artemio Franchi". In this situation, we will try to analyze all the details to provide you with an accurate prediction for one of the central games of the 19th round of Serie A.

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head encounters, Napoli has celebrated victory more often. Over a stretch of 38 matches, Fiorentina achieved the desired result in 9 cases, while suffering 19 defeats. However, in the previous Serie A season, the "Partenopei" couldn't please their fans with a victory neither at home (1-3) nor away (2-2). Yet, they confidently dealt with the "Viola" in the semifinals of the Italian Super Cup (3-0).

🟣 Fiorentina

The start of the season did not go well for Fiorentina. The team hardly pleased their fans with positive results, facing serious difficulties even in matches against not the strongest opponents. However, in autumn, the "Viola" managed to reach their best form and demonstrated an impressive winning streak. Now Raffaele Palladino's team has entered a rough patch again - 4 games without a win. Last weekend, Fiorentina miraculously avoided an away defeat against Juventus (2-2). If it weren't for Riccardo Sottil's goal in the 87th minute, the team would already be in sixth place in the standings. Perhaps the reason for the series of failures lies in the creative crisis of the head coach. The team stopped winning right after Raffaele Palladino's mother's death. However, the "Viola" have no personnel issues - only Edoardo Bove is in the infirmary.

⚪ Napoli

Napoli approaches the upcoming clash in great spirits. Yes, the team couldn't finish 2024 as the leader of the Serie A standings, but they played their last matches very successfully. The "Partenopei" are on a 3-game winning streak, and in the previous round, they comfortably defeated Venezia (1-0). Napoli created a lot of dangerous moments at their opponent's goal (4), took 25 shots (8 on target), earned a penalty, and only Filip Stankovic's brilliant performance on the goal line (7 saves) prevented a more confident victory for the Neapolitans. Regarding the upcoming clash, Antonio Conte will not be able to rely only on Alessandro Buongiorno.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

There should be no problems creating dangerous moments in the upcoming clash. Both teams adhere to an attacking style of play and strive to force their opponent to defend. This approach allows teams to score a large number of goals. For example, Fiorentina scores against opponents' goalkeepers on average 1.82 times, Napoli - 1.5 times. Considering that both "Viola" and "Partenopei" rarely finish a match without a goal, our betting option will be both teams to score (yes).

🚩 Corner Prediction

Napoli is one of the best teams in Serie A by the number of set pieces earned at opponents' goals. In this statistical parameter, the "Partenopei" rank second, only behind Inter. Antonio Conte's team takes corner kicks on average 6.1 times per game. In the last match against Venezia (1-0), they even took 14 corners. However, we will take a more reliable bet to minimize risks - total corners for Napoli over 3.5.

📝 Editorial Prediction

Despite the fact that the match will take place at "Stadio Artemio Franchi", bookmakers consider Napoli a slight favorite for the upcoming clash. Although it's hard to argue with this opinion. Unfortunately, Fiorentina is not showing the football we saw a month ago. The team has lost its winning attitude, leading to decreased motivation among Raffaele Palladino's players. If the "Viola" manage to draw a match, it's only due to individual actions by their leaders. The saving goal against Juventus (2-2), for example, was rated at 0.05 xG. The "Partenopei", on the other hand, are in form. Considering that Atalanta is missing this round due to the Italian Super Cup, Antonio Conte's team has a great opportunity to lead the Serie A standings again. Therefore, our key betting option is Napoli to win with a handicap (0). We believe that after 90 minutes, the scoreboard will show 1-2.