Vitoria vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 November 2026
🔊 EC Vitoria BA head into this match with plenty at stake. They sit just one point above the relegation zone and need points as the season draws to a close. Fluminense are in the upper reaches of the table and are pushing for a top-four finish. With both sides struggling for consistency, expect a cautious contest in which the result matters more than entertainment, especially for the hosts.
One team dominate the head-to-head record
Fluminense and EC Vitoria BA drew 2-2 in their Serie A match on 09 May 2026. Fluminense led 1-0 at half-time and enjoyed more possession (58% to 42%), but EC Vitoria BA fought back to level. EC Vitoria BA also recorded the higher xG, 1.55 to 0.98.
In 24 competitive head-to-head meetings, Fluminense have won twice as often as EC Vitoria BA - 10 times to five - with the other nine matches ending in draws. Both teams have scored in 17 of those 24 games.
Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Fluminense
The team play pragmatically.
EC Vitoria BA lost 2-0 away to Coritiba in their latest Serie A match on 31 October 2026. Despite an almost even share of possession, they managed just one shot on target to the hosts’ seven and trailed 0.44 to 2.58 on xG.
EC Vitoria BA are going through a difficult spell, with two wins, two defeats and a draw in their last five matches. They have won just twice in their last 10, losing five, and have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Goals have been hard to come by: EC Vitoria BA have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 14 of their last 16 matches. Their fight to stay in the league has pushed them towards a more pragmatic approach, with fewer risks taken in attack.
Match Results: Vitoria
There is a lack of cutting edge up front.
Fluminense beat Internacional 2-1 at home in their previous Serie A match on 28 October 2026. The score was 0-0 at half-time, but Fluminense finished with a commanding advantage in possession (76% to 24%) and attacks (160 to 67).
Fluminense sit fourth and have a clear objective for their remaining matches: secure a top-four finish. They have won just once and lost four times in their last five games, while their 10-match record stands at three wins and seven defeats, with no draws. Over those 10 matches, they have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Fluminense rarely score more than once away from home, having netted fewer than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 17 away matches - a trend that reflects their cautious approach on the road.
Match Results: Fluminense
Prediction for the 1st half
EC Vitoria BA have scored in the first half of six consecutive matches. That makes a strong case for backing them to score before the break, although no separate first-half statistics are available. The pick is EC Vitoria BA over 0.5 team goals in the first half at odds of 2.20*.
Match Result Prediction
Fluminense have failed to win 15 of their last 17 away matches. EC Vitoria BA have recorded 10 home wins this season, alongside two draws and four defeats. They have also covered the +1.5 handicap in seven of their last eight matches. The pick is EC Vitoria BA to win or draw at odds of 1.52*.
Total Goals Prediction
There have been over 1.5 goals in each of EC Vitoria BA’s last seven matches. EC Vitoria BA are averaging 1.44 goals per home game this season, while Fluminense are averaging 1.31 away goals per game. Fluminense are also conceding 1.56 goals per away game. The pick is over 1.5 total goals at odds of 1.32*.
Corners Prediction
EC Vitoria BA have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in five straight matches. The higher line of under 6.5 has landed in seven of their last eight, although the two trends overlap and should not be treated as independent evidence. The pick is EC Vitoria BA under 5.5 team corners at odds of 1.42*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Fluminense have scored and conceded in seven of their last eight away matches, while EC Vitoria BA have scored in eight straight games. This season, EC Vitoria BA have averaged 1.44 goals per home game, compared with Fluminense’s 1.31 away from home. The caveat: EC Vitoria BA have conceded just 0.81 goals per home game on average. The pick is both teams to score (yes) at odds of 1.76*.
Safer Bet
Fluminense have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 17 away matches. They have averaged 1.31 goals per away game this season and 1.17 in their recent away matches. EC Vitoria BA have conceded an average of 0.81 goals per home game this season. The pick is Fluminense under 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.49*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary between bookmakers.*
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.21%), 0-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.8%). A 1-1 draw is the likeliest outcome, followed by narrow wins for either side.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Fluminense’s high-tempo approach should shape this match. They need to commit players forward to protect their place in the top four, creating chances and driving up their corner count regardless of the result. Fluminense have taken more than 4.5 corners in seven consecutive Serie A head-to-head meetings with EC Vitoria BA. Our prediction: Fluminense over 4.5 team corners.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria - Fluminense
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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