Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico Prediction 3 October 2026
📢 Deportes Tolima are still pushing for a place in the top eight and head into round 13 of the Clausura in eighth position. Boyacá Chicó sit considerably lower in 14th, though they have picked up points here and there in recent matches. Tolima have lacked consistency so far, which means even a home game against a side from the lower half of the table is unlikely to be straightforward.
Head-to-Head
📊 Deportes Tolima and Boyacá Chicó have met 31 times in official matches. The hosts have won 15 of those, the visitors five, with 11 draws. Tolima also have the edge in goals, having scored 49 to their opponents' 28. The average number of goals per match between the two sides is 2.48.
Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Boyaca Chico
Tolima Team Overview
Deportes Tolima have 18 points from 11 matches and sit eighth, though inconsistent results have prevented them from establishing themselves among the leading sides. In their last ten matches they have won three, drawn three and lost four. In terms of playing statistics there is no significant imbalance: Deportes Tolima are averaging 1.35 goals scored and around 1 conceded per game.
Match Results: Tolima
Boyaca Chico Team Overview
Boyacá Chicó have played one game fewer and sit 14th with 11 points. Their form has improved slightly heading into round 13 - three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. Over the last ten matches the picture is less convincing: three wins and five defeats, with defensive problems particularly evident. They concede an average of 1.8 goals per game while scoring just 0.86. Despite those weak numbers, the team often keeps the scoreline tight, which means even stronger opponents don't always find it straightforward against them.
Match Results: Boyaca Chico
Total Goals Prediction
In 14 of their last 15 home matches, Deportes Tolima have seen Total Goals - Under 3.5, which points to a consistent low-scoring trend in this team's home games. The numbers back this up: Tolima average 1.61 goals scored at home, while Boyacá Chicó average just 0.27 goals scored away from home and concede 2.8. The match is expected to be low-scoring, and the bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.35* is well supported.
Corners Prediction
Deportes Tolima have won more than 5.5 corners at home in five consecutive matches, pointing to a consistent corner-taking pattern in their home games. That trend over five matches suggests the run could continue in the upcoming fixture against Boyacá Chicó. We're backing Tolima Team Total Corners - Over 5.5 at 1.61*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines in this match are 1-0 (14.39%), 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.99%). All three scenarios point to a Deportes Tolima win with moderate scoring. The 1-0 result has the highest probability, though 2-0 is close behind.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Deportes Tolima are clear favourites here, backed by better recent results and home advantage. Boyacá Chicó, though, have rarely lost by a large margin lately: the handicap (+1.5) on their side came through in seven of their last eight league matches. Deportes Tolima are not a particularly high-scoring side and don't currently look convincing enough to be expected to run away with this one. Our pick is Boyacá Chicó - Handicap +1.5.
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Betting Tips: Tolima - Boyaca Chico
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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