Boyaca Chico vs Deportes Tolima Prediction 23 March 2026
🔊 Boyacá Chicó are set to face Deportes Tolima in what promises to be a tense encounter. The teams find themselves in contrasting league positions: Boyacá Chicó are battling for survival in 19th place, while Tolima comfortably hold the 8th spot. The hosts have struggled recently, suffering four defeats in their last five matches. Meanwhile, the visitors have been consistent, often finding success even on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 4:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 22 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 5.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Boyaca Chico and Tolima:
- played 30 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 15, draws - 10;
- number of goals (home/away) - 27 against 48;
- average total goals in the match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Boyaca Chico - Deportes Tolima

Boyaca Chico Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primera A, with Deportivo Pasto hosting Boyacá Chicó. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home side.
The game statistics were as follows (Boyacá Chicó vs Deportivo Pasto):
- possession percentage: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 0 vs 4.
Boyacá Chicó are currently navigating a challenging phase, having lost four of their last five matches. Their lackluster attack and inconsistent defense have led to frequent defeats. On average, they score just 0.9 goals over their last ten games, while conceding around 1.5 goals per match. At present, the club finds themselves in second-to-last place in the Primera A standings, placing them at risk of relegation.
Match Results: Boyaca Chico

Tolima Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera A, featuring Deportes Tolima as the home side against Fortaleza C.E.I.F. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for Deportes Tolima.
Here are the match statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
Deportes Tolima are showcasing impressive form with six victories in their last ten matches, suffering only two losses. Their defense stands strong, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game, making them one of the most efficient teams in the tournament. Currently sitting in eighth place, they continue to push for a better position in the league standings.
Match Results: Tolima
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 30;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 15, draws - 10.
Statistics: Boyacá Chicó vs Deportes Tolima
- matches in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
- losses: 8 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 2 vs 6;
- losses: 7 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Deportes Tolima have drawn in 4 of their last 5 away matches (Primera A).
Total Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- home team - 0.9, away team - 1.6;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 17 times; at the home ground - 8 times.
Average Total Statistics: Boyacá Chicó vs Deportes Tolima
- in the tournament: 2.55 vs 2;
- goals scored: 0.82 vs 1.27;
- in the first half: 0.55 vs 0.73;
- in the second half: 0.27 vs 0.55;
- Boyacá Chicó: at home in the tournament - 1.4;
- Deportes Tolima: away in the tournament - 1.17;
- last 10 matches: 0.9 (home - 1.4) vs 1.1 (away - 0.8).
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in the last 9 head-to-head matches between these teams.
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in the last 7 head-to-head matches in Primera A.
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in the last 6 home matches between these teams.
- Total over 1.5 goals has occurred in 6 of Boyacá Chicó's last 7 matches (Primera A).
Corners Prediction
Boyacá Chicó: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 2.64; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 4.
Deportes Tolima: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.91, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 5.6.
- Total under 9.5 corners has occurred in 6 of Boyacá Chicó's last 7 matches (Primera A).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (21/117, 17.9%);
- Boyacá Chicó most frequently finishes home matches: 0-1 (3/5, 60%);
- Deportes Tolima most frequently plays away matches: 0-0 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
0-1 - 15.15% (odds: 4.85)
1-1 - 12.92% (odds: 6)
0-0 - 11.97% (odds: 6.05)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current trends, it's reasonable to predict that the visitors will win this match. Deportes Tolima are in excellent form and exhibit high efficiency in various phases of the game. Their flexibility and strong understanding among the players also work in favor of the away side.