Molde vs Kristiansund Prediction 4 October 2026
The season has split these two neighbours from the county of Møre og Romsdal to opposite ends of the Eliteserien table. Molde are fourth, two points behind third place, while Kristiansund are 15th, in the automatic relegation zone. During the three-week international break, the two sides will play each other in a single friendly. For the hosts it is a warm-up ahead of the push for bronze, for the visitors it is preparation for a survival battle.
Head-to-Head
Starting with the head-to-head record, which spans 23 meetings. The current hosts have won 12 of those, while the visitors have come out on top in 8.
Head-to-head statistics Molde - Kristiansund
Molde Team Overview
Sindre Tjelmeland took charge of Molde at the end of May, when the club were sitting fifth. Since then they have moved up one place. Going into the break, Molde won four consecutive Eliteserien matches - their best run of the season. But on 19 September they lost at home to Ålesund (1-2). That was only their third defeat in 11 league matches at Aker Stadion.
Match Results: Molde
Kristiansund Team Overview
Kristiansund are two points behind the 14th-place relegation play-off spot. Away from home is where they struggle most: one win in 11 away Eliteserien matches. The club have not changed their manager - Amund Skiri has been in charge since 2023 and had his contract extended to 2029 in May. But Skiri's side went into the break without a point from their last two matches. On 13 September, Kristiansund lost 8-1 to Viking - their heaviest defeat of the season. Six days later, they also fell at home to Rosenborg.
Match Results: Kristiansund
Total Goals Prediction
At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Molde's last 8 home friendlies. On the other side, Kristiansund's defence has conceded 26 goals in 11 away Eliteserien matches. We don't expect the teams to stop at two goals. The bet is Total Goals - Over 2.5.
Safe Bet
Molde have conceded in 8 of their last 9 home friendlies. For the visitors, that means a chance to score should be there even if they play cautiously. We expect Kristiansund to find the net against the hosts. The bet is Kristiansund to Score: Yes.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 2:1 (9.10%), 3:1 (7.61%) and 2:2 (7.06%). These options reflect the probability distribution across all possible scorelines.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The benchmark for this friendly is Molde's past results in such matches. At home, they have scored in 18 of their last 20 friendlies. Their defence has been open: they have conceded in 11 of their last 12 friendlies. Six consecutive Molde friendlies have ended with both sides scoring. We expect both teams to find the net here. The bet is Both Teams to Score. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Molde - Kristiansund
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