Ludogorets vs Cherno More Prediction 4 October 2026
Last season, Ludogorets failed to score against Cherno More in either meeting, with both matches ending 0-0. On 9 August, at Ticha, the Varna side took the lead, but early in the second half Razgrad scored three times in six minutes. Ludogorets won 3-2. The two sides now meet during the league's international break, and for both it is the last fixture before returning to the championship.
Head-to-Head
Starting with the head-to-head record, which spans 47 meetings. The current hosts have won 28 of those, while the visitors have come out on top in 9.
Head-to-head statistics Ludogorets - Cherno More
Ludogorets Team Overview
In the league, Ludogorets are third, with seven wins and two draws from nine matches. The break, however, began with a change in the dugout. Thomas Rice left for Trabzonspor, and the Razgrad club received compensation for the German. Igor Jovičević returned to the club and took charge on 23 September. The Croatian had his first test on 27 September, when Ludogorets thrashed Râmnicu Vâlcea 3-0 - a second-division side from Romania. The scoreline could have been even bigger, as the Razgrad club missed a penalty and hit the woodwork twice. Four new signings also made their debuts in that match: Ivo Grbić, Ivan Želižko, Amir Hadžiahmetović and Omar Rekik.
Match Results: Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna Team Overview
Cherno More are 13th, with six points from ten rounds under Ilian Iliev. On 26 September, the Varna side beat Dunav in a friendly at home - Jorge Padilla scored the only goal. Straight after the break, Cherno More face the reigning champions: Levski visit Ticha on 11 October.
Match Results: Cherno More Varna
The Risky Bet
The most likely scenario is a clean-sheet win for Ludogorets, and there's a decent price available for it. In 6 of their last 7 matches, Cherno More have been involved in games with fewer than three goals. Ludogorets don't need much to win: they have scored nine goals in their last five home matches in Razgrad. The risk is clear - a single goal from the Varna side kills the bet. The bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5.
Reliable Bet
Cherno More's weak point is their away form. In six away league matches, the Varna side have scored just four goals. Against Ludogorets in Razgrad, it is hard to expect much more from them. Even if the visitors do find the net, we are not expecting a second goal from them. The bet is Cherno More Team Total - Under 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are: 1-0 (10.81%), 2-0 (10.51%), and 2-1 (10.05%). All three are close in probability, with 1-0 having a marginal edge.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This is a friendly, so rotation is likely, and we're basing our assessment on what both sides have shown in the league. At home in the league, Ludogorets are unbeaten: four wins and a draw from five matches. Away from home, Cherno More have taken two points from a possible 18. Over ten rounds, the Varna side have conceded 20 goals and won just once. Even accounting for rotation, we expect Ludogorets to make it two friendly wins under Igor Jovičević. The bet is Ludogorets to win. Predicted score: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Ludogorets - Cherno More Varna
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