CSKA vs Arsenal Tula Prediction 4 October 2026
🔉 CSKA go into this match without the players who have joined their national teams. On 27 September the club lost a friendly to Nizhny Novgorod, and now face another match against a First League side. The Tula club, for their part, have already beaten one Moscow club - on 26 September Arsenal beat Lokomotiv 2-0.
Head-to-Head
📊 Let's start with the head-to-head record, which spans 19 matches. The home side have won 13 of those, while the visitors have taken victory in 4. In terms of goals, CSKA have scored 39 times against this opponent, with Arsenal Tula replying with 17. That gives an average total of 2.95 goals per head-to-head meeting.
Head-to-head statistics CSKA - Arsenal Tula
CSKA: A Surprising Rise to the Top of the Russian Premier League
In their last five matches, CSKA have won three and lost one, which points to decent current form. Over a longer run of ten games, they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, though their overall scoring averages are higher - 2.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Those numbers suggest a tendency towards open play at home and some defensive vulnerabilities even against lower-level opposition.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Arsenal: three First League wins and a spot just above the relegation zone
Arsenal Tula come into this match without any real positive momentum: just two wins, four draws and four defeats from their last ten games points to a team struggling to pick up points. Their scoring numbers are modest - exactly one goal scored per game against 1.6 conceded - which suggests a fairly cautious approach away from home or problems converting chances. At the same time, the team have shown an ability to avoid heavy defeats, as reflected in a run of successful results against the +1.5 handicap.
Match Results: Arsenal Tula
Prediction for the 1st half
Arsenal Tula have lost the first half in 8 of their last 9 away matches, which points to problems for the visitors in the early stages of games. While CSKA don't have a particularly strong record in first-half statistics, Arsenal Tula's consistent trend makes a bet on the hosts leading at half-time a reasonable one. Our selection: CSKA to win the first half at 2.03*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
CSKA have both scored and conceded in each of their last 8 consecutive home matches, which points to consistent goalscoring on both sides at their ground. On top of that, CSKA have conceded in 13 matches in a row, while Arsenal Tula average 0.5 goals per away game - modest, but given such an unreliable home defence, it does increase the visitors' chances of getting on the scoresheet. Taken together, the data supports the selection of Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.45.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines for this match: 1-0 (18.37%), 2-0 (11.66%) and 0-0 (11.36%). A narrow CSKA win carries the highest probability, though a clean-sheet victory or a goalless draw are fairly close behind. This reflects expectations of low scoring and a home advantage.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the trend of Arsenal Tula covering the +1.5 handicap in seven consecutive friendly matches, along with the visitors' moderate attacking output and the hosts' less-than-solid defence even when pressing forward, the match looks set to be a competitive one without a clear margin in the scoreline. CSKA's strong form gives them a chance to win the game, but the statistics don't support expecting a comfortable, convincing victory over Arsenal Tula at this point - particularly given the visitors' recent away record of holding acceptable results against stronger sides and their general performances on the road of late. The pick is Arsenal Tula - Handicap +1.5.
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Betting Tips: CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula
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