CD Castellon vs Ceuta Prediction 4 October 2026
🔊 Castellón go into matchday 8 of Segunda División as leaders: 19 points from a possible 21, six wins and no defeats. Ceuta are at the opposite end of the table - 21st place, 4 points and five losses. The difference is equally clear in the goals: the hosts have a record of 14:2, the visitors 6:17.
Ceuta have at least started to show signs of life: after three consecutive defeats, they drew with Valladolid (1-1) and then beat Real Sociedad B (3-1). Castellón, meanwhile, keep winning game after game, which makes this one of the toughest tests for the visitors so far this season.
Castellón’s stats are slightly better.
📊 Castellón and Ceuta have met four times. The hosts have won just one of those matches, the visitors are yet to win any, and three have ended in draws. In terms of goals scored, Castellón have the edge with 9 against Ceuta's 7. The average total across those meetings is 4 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics CD Castellon - Ceuta
Castellón are on a five-match winning streak.
Castellón are in excellent form, having won their last five matches, and over their last ten they have seven wins, two draws and just one defeat. On average, the hosts score 1.9 goals per game and concede just 0.7.
Their defence looks even more solid in this season's Segunda - two goals conceded in seven rounds. Castellón are capable of not only building an advantage but holding it comfortably: in six of their previous seven matches, fewer than four goals were scored. Even as leaders, the team show no inclination to turn every game into a high-scoring affair.
Match Results: Castellon
Ceuta are starting to find their rhythm, but their defense continues to let them down.
Ceuta have had a difficult start to the season. In their last five matches they have one win, one draw and three defeats, and over a longer run they have three wins and six losses. On average, they score around one goal per game and concede more than two.
Their main problem is plain to see in the current league campaign as well: after seven rounds, Ceuta have a goal difference of 6-17, the worst among the teams in the lower half of the table. That said, their last two matches offered some cautious grounds for optimism - first a draw with Valladolid, then a win over Real Sociedad B. Now they will have to show whether that improvement holds up against the league leaders.
Match Results: Ceuta
Corner Kick Prediction
Ceuta have taken fewer than four corners in 7 of their last 8 away matches. That trend fits well with their current attacking struggles on the road: away from home they average under a goal per game and often go long spells without sustained pressure near the opposition box.
Against league leaders Castellón, space in the final third is unlikely to open up any more. The hosts are good at controlling territory and rarely allow opponents to string together attacks that lead to crosses and blocked shots. Our prediction: Ceuta Team Total Corners - Under 3.5 at 1.54*.
The Reliable Bet
Ceuta have scored fewer than two goals in 7 of their last 8 matches. This season their average of 0.86 goals per game is low enough, but away from home it drops further to 0.67. Now they face the best defence in the division: Castellón have conceded just 2 goals in 7 rounds and have kept a clean sheet in every home match so far. Even Ceuta's recent upturn does nothing to close the enormous gap between their attack and the league leaders' defence. We're backing Ceuta Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.20*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes are 2-0 (13.61%), 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (10.76%). All three results point to a Castellón win to nil, with 2-0 standing out as the most probable of the three. The percentage differences are minimal, so each of these scenarios is rated at roughly the same likelihood.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Castellón's position at the top is built on control rather than a high volume of goals: 14 scored and just 2 conceded in 7 rounds. So even against one of the bottom sides, they may well settle for a comfortable margin rather than chasing a big scoreline in the second half.
Ceuta concede frequently but rarely help push the total up themselves. Adding to that picture is the hosts' recent run: 6 of Castellón's last 7 matches have produced no more than three goals. Expected score: 2-0. Main prediction: Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Castellon - Ceuta
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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