Almeria vs Burgos Prediction 3 October 2026
🔊 Both Almería and Burgos have made excellent starts to this season. The hosts currently sit third and hold a small gap to the leaders, while the visitors are right behind them, just a point back. Almería have been convincing at home - their winning run there bears that out. Burgos, meanwhile, have also been putting together consistent results in recent matches. Their positions in Segunda División mean both clubs need to keep fighting for a place among the promotion contenders.
Almería hold the edge in head-to-head meetings.
📊 Almería and Burgos have met six times. The hosts have won three of those meetings, Burgos have won two, and one ended in a draw. Almería have the edge in goals scored - 8 against 5. The average total goals per match is 2.17.
Head-to-head statistics Almeria - Burgos
Almería: Consistent Results
Almería have hit excellent form, winning 5 of their last 7 matches. They have been consistent in attack, averaging 1.57 goals per game while conceding just 0.57 - one of the best defensive records in the league at this stage of the season. At home they have been almost faultless, winning 13 of their 15 home matches. The club are trying to close the gap on the leaders and have maintained a high tempo both in attack and out of possession.
Match Results: Almeria
Burgos have suffered just one defeat in their last 10 matches.
Burgos have been picking up points consistently both at home and away - they have won seven of their last ten matches, losing just one. Over that same period, they have conceded an average of 0.7 goals and scored 1.5. Automatic promotion remains the objective, so maintaining this run of results is crucial for the club.
Match Results: Burgos CF
Match Result Prediction
Burgos very rarely collapse even against stronger opposition. They have started the season well, are comfortably placed in the upper part of the table, and are disciplined enough away from home. Almería are genuinely dangerous at home and score plenty of goals, but matches against Burgos tend to be tight.
The visitors are capable of holding level for long periods and preventing the hosts from building a comfortable lead quickly. Even allowing for Almería's advantage, the gap in quality between the two sides does not look particularly large right now. We're backing Burgos with a Handicap (+1) at 1.73*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 8 of Almería's last 9 matches, the teams have not scored more than three goals. The current season has been fairly low-scoring too: after seven rounds, Almería's matches are averaging 2.14 goals, and Total Goals - Over 2.5 has landed only twice.
Burgos have been particularly cautious away from home: across three away matches, they have scored twice and conceded twice. A meeting between two sides in the upper part of the table could well be a tight, restrained affair. Our prediction: Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.85*.
Corner Kick Prediction
In their last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería have never taken more than five corners. That trend has continued into the current season: across seven league rounds, the team are averaging just 3.43 corners per match and have exceeded 5.5 in only 2 of those 7 games.
Playing at home does not necessarily mean a higher volume of corners - Almería have long struggled against Burgos in precisely this area. The pick: Almería Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.88*.
Reliable Bet
Almería have scored in 18 consecutive home matches, which is one of the most consistent trends in this season's Segunda División. That record makes at least one home goal in the upcoming match look almost certain. Our reliable bet is therefore Almería Team Total - Over 0.5 Goals at odds of 1.17*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely outcomes are 1-0 (17.24%), 0-0 (10.65%) and 1-1 (10.18%). A narrow Almería win by 1-0 is the most frequently predicted result. All three outcomes point to a low-scoring, restrained match.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Almería and Burgos are close together in the table and both have their sights set on automatic promotion. The hosts are strong at home, but Burgos have looked very well-organised early in the season - they rarely give opponents much space and are good at controlling the tempo of a match to suit themselves.This is unlikely to be straightforward for Almería. Burgos are capable of making it a contest, weathering the home side's pressure and holding a narrow margin even if things don't go their way. Expected score: 1-1. Editorial prediction: Burgos - Handicap +1.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Almeria - Burgos CF
in 13 of last 15 home games (Segunda División)..svg)
in 12 of last 13 games (Segunda División).
in 8 of last 9 Almeria games (Segunda División).in last 6 Burgos CF away games (Segunda División).in last 6 games against Burgos CF (Segunda División).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
