Almeria vs Burgos Prediction 14 December 2025
🎙️ The upcoming clash between Almería and Burgos promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams showcasing commendable performances in their recent outings. Almería sit third in the table and aim to maintain their position, boasting a strong form with 6 wins in their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, Burgos continue to impress with their resilience on the road, finding the net in almost every match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 21 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Burgos CF):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 3;
- fouls: 16 vs 18;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Almeria and Burgos CF:
- played 4 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 1, draws - 0;
- number of goals - 7 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.5, in the 2nd half - 1;
- average total goals in the match - 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Almeria - Burgos

Almeria Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Segunda Division, featuring Andorra as the home side against Almeria. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Almeria vs Andorra):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 4 vs 10;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
Almería have been delivering solid performances throughout the season, currently sitting third in the standings. The team has secured 9 victories out of 17 matches, showcasing consistency and attacking efficiency with an average of 1.94 goals per game. They also boast a reliable defense, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals over their last ten games.
Match Results: Almeria

Burgos CF Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda Division, with Burgos hosting Albacete. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (Burgos vs Albacete):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Burgos have established themselves as the surprise package of the championship, particularly impressing with their performances on the road-they have scored in seven of their last eight away matches. Despite sitting sixth in the table and displaying inconsistent form with two wins and three losses, the "Black and Whites" remain a formidable opponent due to their ability to adapt to various playing styles of their rivals. In their last ten matches, they have secured six victories and suffered three defeats, while maintaining an average of just 0.7 goals conceded per game.
Match Results: Burgos CF
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 4;
- Home wins - 3, Away wins - 1, Draws - 0.
Statistics: Almería vs Burgos
- Matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- Wins: 9 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 53% vs 41%;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 6;
- Losses: 2 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Almería have avoided defeat in 11 of their last 12 matches (Segunda).
- Almería are unbeaten at home in their last 6 matches (Segunda).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team averages - 1.75 goals, the visitors - 0.75;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.5;
- Both teams scored: overall - once; at the home team's ground - never.
Statistics: Almería vs Burgos
- Average tournament total: 3.24 vs 2.18;
- Average goals scored: 1.94 vs 1.24;
- Average first-half total: 0.76 vs 0.59;
- Average second-half total: 1.18 vs 0.65;
- Almería: Average home total in the tournament - 2.38;
- Burgos: Average away total in the tournament - 1.43;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 1.75) vs 1.1 (away - 1.67).
- Burgos have scored in 7 of their last 8 away matches.
Corners Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average corners in head-to-head matches - 8.5 (4.75 for the home side and 3.75 for the visitors);
- Average corners at the home ground - 11.5 (6 for the home side and 5.5 for the visitors).
Almería: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 5.76; at home - 8.88;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.1; at home - 9.
Burgos: Statistics
- Season: Average tournament total - 4.06, away - 4.29;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.2; away - 5.
- Burgos have taken more than 3.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Burgos have taken more than 3.5 corners in their last 8 consecutive matches (Segunda).
- Burgos have taken more than 3.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 away matches (Segunda).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (current season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-0 (23/189, 12.2%);
- Almería's frequent home results: 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, 2-3, 3-0, 3-1, 4-2, 4-4 (1/8, 12.5%);
- Burgos' frequent away result: 2-1 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-0 - 12.73% (Odds: 5.25)
1-1 - 12.03% (Odds: 6.2)
2-1 - 9.66% (Odds: 8.1)
- Almería have won by a score of 2-0 in 3 of their last 4 head-to-head encounters with these teams (Segunda).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be a hard-fought contest given both clubs' current form and their motivation to solidify their standings as the season draws to a close. Considering the statistical trends in many of their matches and Burgos' overall away performance, betting on Burgos to score appears to be the most reasonable prediction for this encounter.