Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction 4 October 2025

    🔥 The clash between Necaxa and Pachuca promises to be intriguing as both teams vie for crucial points. Neither side is enjoying their best form in Liga MX, yet their motivations differ: the hosts are fighting to climb out of the lower part of the standings, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the top half. Read the prediction for this showdown below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams ended with a 3-5 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match's statistics (home team - Necaxa):

    • possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
    • fouls: 4 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 12.

    📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Necaxa and Pachuca:

    • 38 matches played;
    • home wins - 8, away wins - 16, draws - 14;
    • goals scored - 47 for Necaxa, 66 for Pachuca;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.16, in the second half - 1.82;
    • average total goals per match - 2.97.

    Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Pachuca

    20%
    8 Wins
    35%
    14 Draws
    45%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2.93
    Both teams scored
    68%
    1.2
    Total average
    1.73
    1.88
    Yellow cards
    1.43
    Last matches
    04.03.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1.52
    0.61
    8
    8
    18
    14
    2
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.52
    0.61
    8
    8
    18
    14
    2
    4
    04.10.25
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    1.35
    0.93
    8
    4
    15
    6
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.35
    0.93
    8
    4
    15
    6
    4
    3
    12.04.25
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.5
    1.8
    8
    4
    4
    12
    3
    2
    3
    5
    1
    2
    2
    3
    0.5
    1.8
    8
    4
    4
    12
    3
    2
    03.11.24
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2.62
    0.55
    3
    5
    5
    5
    1
    2
    6
    2
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2.62
    0.55
    3
    5
    5
    5
    1
    2
    06.05.24
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    1
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    -
    -
    9
    4
    7
    14
    4
    5
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    4
    7
    14
    4
    5
    Empty
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    Necaxa Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament (home team - Atlas, away team - Necaxa). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3-2.

    The game statistics were as follows (Necaxa vs Atlas):

    • possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corners: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 11 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 6.

    Necaxa are currently sitting 15th in the Liga MX standings, struggling significantly to accumulate points. Their recent run has been particularly dismal, with just one win and seven losses in their last ten matches. One of their main issues is a highly inconsistent defense, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. The hosts' attacking potential is also lacking, having managed to score more than one goal in only one of their last nine league outings. 

    Match Results: Necaxa

    Last matches
    28.09.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    CF America
    CF America
    2.83
    3.94
    3
    5
    16
    6
    3
    2
    2
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2.83
    3.94
    3
    5
    16
    6
    3
    2
    L
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    San Luis
    San Luis
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1.39
    0.49
    2
    5
    13
    11
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1.39
    0.49
    2
    5
    13
    11
    1
    1
    L
    12.09.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1
    Puebla
    Puebla
    1.12
    0.64
    8
    5
    11
    12
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.12
    0.64
    8
    5
    11
    12
    1
    3
    L
    06.09.26
    Primera Division
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    2
    2.9
    6
    3
    1
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.9
    6
    3
    1
    3
    3
    2
    D
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    0.45
    1.53
    7
    7
    15
    14
    5
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0.45
    1.53
    7
    7
    15
    14
    5
    2
    L
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    Pachuca Team Overview

    The most recent official match for the visiting team took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Pachuca hosting San Luis. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side.

    Here are the match statistics (Pachuca vs San Luis):

    • possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corners: 1 vs 4;
    • fouls: 21 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    Pachuca, currently sitting eighth in the standings, are showcasing a more balanced game compared to Necaxa. After enduring a streak of three consecutive losses, the team has managed to regain form, securing three victories in their last ten matches with an average scoring rate of 1.1 goals per game. Pachuca's defense operates with considerable reliability, conceding an average of around 1.4 goals per match, which stands as one of the best records among mid-table teams in this season's Liga MX.

    Match Results: Pachuca

    Last matches
    27.09.26
    Primera Division
    Santos Laguna
    Santos Laguna
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    2.09
    0.77
    10
    4
    12
    14
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.09
    0.77
    10
    4
    12
    14
    2
    3
    L
    21.09.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    1
    Tijuana
    Tijuana
    2.72
    2.05
    10
    0
    16
    6
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2.72
    2.05
    10
    0
    16
    6
    1
    3
    D
    12.09.26
    Primera Division
    Atlante
    Atlante
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    1.78
    1.31
    5
    5
    7
    14
    2
    4
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    1.78
    1.31
    5
    5
    7
    14
    2
    4
    W
    05.09.26
    Primera Division
    Juarez
    Juarez
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.73
    1.21
    1
    3
    15
    16
    6
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.73
    1.21
    1
    3
    15
    16
    6
    4
    W
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Guadalajara Chivas
    Guadalajara Chivas
    1.59
    1.36
    8
    7
    20
    8
    4
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.59
    1.36
    8
    7
    20
    8
    4
    0
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • First half wins at home - 6; away wins - 6; draws - 7;
    • Average first-half total: 1.16;
    • Today's home team averages 0.45 goals, while the visitors average 0.71.

    First Half Stats: Necaxa (home) vs Pachuca (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
    • Wins: 2 (40%) vs 2 (40%);
    • Losses: 2 (40%) vs 1 (20%);
    • Draws: 1 (20%) vs 2 (40%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 2.2;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.8 vs 0.8.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 1 vs 4;
    • Losses: 7 vs 4;
    • Draws: 2 vs 2;
    • Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 1.4) vs 1.7 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.9).
    Trends
    • Necaxa have lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Pachuca to Win (odds: 2.88)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • Home wins - 8, Away wins - 16, Draws - 14.

    Statistics: Necaxa vs Pachuca

    • Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • Wins: 2 vs 5;
    • Win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
    • Losses: 6 vs 4;
    • Draws: 3 vs 2.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 1 vs 3;
    • Losses: 7 vs 5;
    • Draws: 2 vs 2.
    👉Prediction: Pachuca will not lose (Odds: 1.48)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team average goals - 1.24, away team - 1.74;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.97;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 26 times; at the home team's ground - 15 times.

    Statistics: Necaxa vs Pachuca

    • Average total in the tournament: 2.82 vs 2.55;
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.36;
    • Average goals in the first half: 0.55 vs 0.82;
    • Average goals in the second half: 0.45 vs 0.55;
    • Necaxa: average home total in the tournament - 1.2;
    • Pachuca: average away total in the tournament - 1.8;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.67) vs 1.1 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Necaxa score less than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Necaxa Total goals Under (1,5) (Odds: 1.64)

    Corners Prediction

    Necaxa: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.36; at home - 4.6;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 4.33.

    Pachuca: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.91, away - 3.2;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 3.67.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (8,5)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.52 (1.76 for the home team and 1.76 for the away team);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 2.84 (1.47 for the home team and 1.37 for the away team).

    Necaxa: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.64; at home - 2.6;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.67.

    Pachuca: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.55, away - 2;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; away - 2.33.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (4,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • Both teams scored overall - 26 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 15 times.

    Statistics: Necaxa vs Pachuca

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • Total BTTS matches in the season: Necaxa - 7, Pachuca - 4;
    • Necaxa BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
    • Pachuca BTTS away - 3 (60%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: Necaxa - 6, Pachuca - 5;
    • Necaxa BTTS at home - 1 (33%);
    • Pachuca BTTS away - 4 (67%).
    Trends
    • Necaxa score and concede at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters with Pachuca (Liga MX).
    • Necaxa score and concede in six consecutive head-to-head matches against Pachuca (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes) (Odds: 1.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form of the teams and their tendency for high-scoring matches, the most likely scenario for this game is both teams to score. Despite Necaxa's defensive struggles, they are capable of creating chances in attack. Pachuca, on the other hand, shows more consistency but isn't always reliable at the back either. Therefore, it seems reasonable to predict that both teams will find the net in this match. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    MyBookie
    Place a bet-185
    Published: 02/10/2025, 01:24

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    Betting Tips: Necaxa - Pachuca

    Necaxa have lost the 1st half:
    necaxa-1in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
    1st Half Pachuca to Win
    Bovada
    +212
    Pachuca have not won:
    cf-pachucain 7 of last 8 games.
    Necaxa will not lose
    MyBookie
    -227
    Necaxa have not won:
    necaxa-1cf-pachucain 9 of last 10 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1cf-pachucain 7 of last 8 home games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    necaxa-1in 8 of last 9 games (Liga MX).
    Pachuca will not lose
    Everygame
    -192
    Necaxa have conceded:
    necaxa-1cf-pachucain 9 of last 10 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1cf-pachucain 7 of last 8 home games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
    necaxa-1in 14 of last 15 games.
    necaxa-1in 11 of last 12 games (Liga MX).
    Pachuca have scored:
    cf-pachucain 18 of last 20 away games (Liga MX).
    cf-pachucain 7 of last 8 away games.
    Pachuca will score goal
    MyBookie
    -455
    View more facts

    Necaxa - Pachuca Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Juarez
    Juarez
    1765627-2823
    9.
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    1764721-2122
    10.
    Pumas UNAM
    Pumas UNAM
    1756624-2521
    12.
    Queretaro
    Queretaro
    1762919-2920
    13.
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    1745824-3217
    14.
    Atlas
    Atlas
    1745824-3517

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    1 - Win
    2 - Draws
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 10
    Conceded - 21
    -11
    +1
    14 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    1
    Wins
    3
    2
    Draws
    3
    7
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    10
    Scored
    14
    21
    Conceded
    13
    3.1
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    2.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    90'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats