Necaxa vs Pachuca Prediction 4 October 2025
🔥 The clash between Necaxa and Pachuca promises to be intriguing as both teams vie for crucial points. Neither side is enjoying their best form in Liga MX, yet their motivations differ: the hosts are fighting to climb out of the lower part of the standings, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the top half. Read the prediction for this showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams ended with a 3-5 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match's statistics (home team - Necaxa):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 4 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 12.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Necaxa and Pachuca:
- 38 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 16, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 47 for Necaxa, 66 for Pachuca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.16, in the second half - 1.82;
- average total goals per match - 2.97.
Head-to-head statistics Necaxa - Pachuca

Necaxa Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament (home team - Atlas, away team - Necaxa). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3-2.
The game statistics were as follows (Necaxa vs Atlas):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 6.
Necaxa are currently sitting 15th in the Liga MX standings, struggling significantly to accumulate points. Their recent run has been particularly dismal, with just one win and seven losses in their last ten matches. One of their main issues is a highly inconsistent defense, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. The hosts' attacking potential is also lacking, having managed to score more than one goal in only one of their last nine league outings.
Match Results: Necaxa

Pachuca Team Overview
The most recent official match for the visiting team took place in the Liga MX tournament, with Pachuca hosting San Luis. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Pachuca vs San Luis):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 1 vs 4;
- fouls: 21 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Pachuca, currently sitting eighth in the standings, are showcasing a more balanced game compared to Necaxa. After enduring a streak of three consecutive losses, the team has managed to regain form, securing three victories in their last ten matches with an average scoring rate of 1.1 goals per game. Pachuca's defense operates with considerable reliability, conceding an average of around 1.4 goals per match, which stands as one of the best records among mid-table teams in this season's Liga MX.
Match Results: Pachuca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- First half wins at home - 6; away wins - 6; draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.16;
- Today's home team averages 0.45 goals, while the visitors average 0.71.
First Half Stats: Necaxa (home) vs Pachuca (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
- Wins: 2 (40%) vs 2 (40%);
- Losses: 2 (40%) vs 1 (20%);
- Draws: 1 (20%) vs 2 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1.6 vs 2.2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.8 vs 0.8.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 1 vs 4;
- Losses: 7 vs 4;
- Draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 1.4) vs 1.7 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.9).
- Necaxa have lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Home wins - 8, Away wins - 16, Draws - 14.
Statistics: Necaxa vs Pachuca
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Wins: 2 vs 5;
- Win percentage: 18% vs 45%;
- Losses: 6 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 1 vs 3;
- Losses: 7 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 2.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 1.24, away team - 1.74;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.97;
- Both teams scored: overall - 26 times; at the home team's ground - 15 times.
Statistics: Necaxa vs Pachuca
- Average total in the tournament: 2.82 vs 2.55;
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.36;
- Average goals in the first half: 0.55 vs 0.82;
- Average goals in the second half: 0.45 vs 0.55;
- Necaxa: average home total in the tournament - 1.2;
- Pachuca: average away total in the tournament - 1.8;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.67) vs 1.1 (away - 1.5).
- Necaxa score less than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.36; at home - 4.6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; at home - 4.33.
Pachuca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.91, away - 3.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 3.67.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.52 (1.76 for the home team and 1.76 for the away team);
- Average yellow cards at the home ground - 2.84 (1.47 for the home team and 1.37 for the away team).
Necaxa: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.64; at home - 2.6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; at home - 2.67.
Pachuca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.55, away - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; away - 2.33.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 38;
- Both teams scored overall - 26 times;
- At the home team's ground - 15 times.
Statistics: Necaxa vs Pachuca
- Total matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- Total BTTS matches in the season: Necaxa - 7, Pachuca - 4;
- Necaxa BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Pachuca BTTS away - 3 (60%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Necaxa - 6, Pachuca - 5;
- Necaxa BTTS at home - 1 (33%);
- Pachuca BTTS away - 4 (67%).
- Necaxa score and concede at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters with Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Necaxa score and concede in six consecutive head-to-head matches against Pachuca (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their tendency for high-scoring matches, the most likely scenario for this game is both teams to score. Despite Necaxa's defensive struggles, they are capable of creating chances in attack. Pachuca, on the other hand, shows more consistency but isn't always reliable at the back either. Therefore, it seems reasonable to predict that both teams will find the net in this match. Our prediction is a 1-1 draw.