Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 July 2026
📢 Vila Nova and São Bernardo are set to clash in a top-of-the-table battle in Brazil’s Serie B. Both sides remain highly motivated: the hosts are chasing the top spot, while the visitors are fighting for automatic promotion. Over their last ten matches, there’s been little to separate these teams, and neither has gained a clear edge in their recent five-game form. The key difference lies in São Bernardo’s defensive solidity, as the visitors consistently deliver low-scoring results.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Vila Nova - Sao Bernardo
Vila Nova Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Novorizontino, away team - Vila Nova). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Vila Nova vs Novorizontino):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
Vila Nova head into the match with mixed form, having picked up five wins but suffering four defeats in their last ten outings. Offensively, the hosts look confident, averaging 1.53 goals per game, a tally that keeps them within touching distance of the league leaders. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding 1.13 goals on average, which has cost Vila Nova points even in tightly contested fixtures.
Match Results: Vila Nova
Sao Bernardo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Criciuma, away - Sao Bernardo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Sao Bernardo vs Criciuma):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 10 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
São Bernardo present a well-balanced side: over their last ten matches, they've suffered just two defeats, although draws have been a recurring outcome. Their recent form lacks a decisive surge, just one win in their last five outings, but their defensive solidity remains a key asset, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. This approach fits perfectly with the team's low-scoring trend: São Bernardo rarely open up matches, preferring a cautious style of play with minimal risks.
Match Results: Sao Bernardo
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 8 vs 7;
- win percentage: 53% vs 47%;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 4.
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 27 games.
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games.
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 15 games (Serie B).
- Sao Bernardo won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo
- average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 2.13;
- average total goals scored: 1.53 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.73 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.8 vs 0.93;
- Vila Nova: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Sao Bernardo: average total away in the tournament - 1.86;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1.75).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Vila Nova home games (Serie B).
Prediction on corners
Vila Nova: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.73; at home field - 5.14;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 5.8.
Sao Bernardo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.47, away - 2.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 2.
- Sao Bernardo have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Vila Nova vs Sao Bernardo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
- number of BTS matches for Vila Nova at home - 5 (71%);
- number of BTS matches for Sao Bernardo away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Vila Nova at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Sao Bernardo away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (23/156, 14.7%);
- Vila Nova at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Sao Bernardo away most often play: 0:1 , 0:3 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:3 (1/7, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.04% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.74% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.88% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Vila Nova head into this clash as favourites, but the hosts are unlikely to have it all their own way. São Bernardo are right up there in the top half of the table and have a knack for making games scrappy, often disrupting their opponents' rhythm. Recent matches involving the visitors have also been low-scoring affairs: in 6 of their last 7 Serie B outings, no more than two goals have been scored. Given these factors, backing under 2.5 goals looks like a well-founded prediction.No comments
Betting Tips: Vila Nova - Sao Bernardo
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