Jaro vs Ilves Prediction 4 July 2026
📢 Matchday 14 in the Finnish championship brings us a fixture that promises plenty of attacking football. Hosts FF Jaro are desperate to snap their winless streak and secure points on home soil. Visiting them are an ambitious Ilves side, who are firmly in the hunt for a top spot and a coveted European berth. With both teams under pressure in the standings, there’s little incentive to sit back, expect both clubs to push for all three points from the opening whistle.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between these sides ended in a commanding 5:0 victory. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that encounter (Ilves were the home team):
- Possession: 53% vs 47%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Fouls: 5 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 12 vs 2.
📊Head-to-head stats for official fixtures between FF Jaro and Ilves:
- They have faced off 5 times;
- The hosts are yet to win, while the visitors have claimed all 5 victories, with no draws recorded;
- Goals scored: 3 for FF Jaro, 16 for Ilves;
- Average goals in the first half: 2; in the second half: 1.8;
- Average total goals per match: 3.8.
Head-to-head statistics Jaro - Ilves
Jaro Team Overview
The most recent official fixture for both sides came in the Veikkausliiga, with TPS Turku hosting FF Jaro. The match ended in a 3-2 victory.
Here’s a look at the key statistics (FF Jaro vs TPS Turku):
- Possession: 46% vs 54%;
- Corners: 8 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 9 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 11.
The biggest headache for FF Jaro’s coaching staff throughout the season has been their extremely shaky defense. The team have been conceding far too many goals, and over the last ten matches that number has ballooned to a disastrous average of three goals allowed per game. Unsurprisingly, their results have suffered-a run of three straight defeats in recent rounds tells the story. Despite their defensive woes, the hosts still manage to create chances up front, averaging just over a goal per match. With FF Jaro languishing near the bottom of the table and no clear objectives left in the league, they have the freedom to play with more abandon and take risks on the pitch.
Match Results: Jaro
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent competitive outing came in the Finnish Cup semi-final, where HJK hosted Ilves. The match ended 2-1 in favour of the home side.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Ilves vs HJK):
- Possession: 52% vs 48%;
- Corners: 3 vs 6;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 5.
Ilves head into this fixture with huge motivation, as the race for a coveted top-six spot is heating up. The visitors currently trail that threshold by just three points, making any slip-up against a struggling opponent simply unacceptable. Ilves rely on an aggressive attacking style, consistently finding the net nearly twice per match. However, their back line remains a concern, frequently making costly errors when put under pressure. Recently, Ilves have found some momentum, winning half of their last ten matches thanks largely to their firepower up front.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 5, draws - 0.
Statistics: Jaro vs Tampereen Ilves
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- win percentage: 7% vs 29%;
- losses: 8 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 5;
- losses: 8 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Jaro won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 home games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.6, the guests - 3.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.8;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Jaro vs Tampereen Ilves
- average total in the tournament: 3.14 vs 3.64;
- average total goals scored: 0.93 vs 1.71;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.86;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.29 vs 0.86;
- Jaro: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Tampereen Ilves: average total away in the tournament - 1.57;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 2) vs 2.1 (away - 1.33).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Jaro games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Jaro games (Veikkausliiga).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Tampereen Ilves away games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Tampereen Ilves games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10 (1.8 - for home team and 8.2 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 18 (1 - for home team and 17 - for away team).
Jaro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.93; at home field - 3.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.67.
Tampereen Ilves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.71, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.5; away - 3.67.
- Jaro have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 games against Tampereen Ilves.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Jaro vs Tampereen Ilves
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Jaro at home - 4 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves away - 6 (86%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Jaro at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves away - 2 (67%).
- Tampereen Ilves have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Veikkausliiga).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/82, 20.7%);
- Jaro at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Tampereen Ilves away most often play: 2:2 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 8.78% (odds 6)
2:2 - 7.9% (odds 9.5)
1:2 - 7.62% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both sides have struggled defensively all season, conceding in almost every round of the league. Backed by their home crowd, FF Jaro are certainly capable of catching the attack-minded favourites on the break. Ilves, however, have the edge in quality and should find the net thanks to their powerful and well-drilled attacking line. We’re likely in for a match where defensive lapses play a key role. Backing both teams to score looks like a logical choice here. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.No comments
Betting Tips: Jaro - Tampereen Ilves
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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