Excelsior vs Nijmegen Prediction 4 April 2026
🔊 Will NEC Nijmegen's unbeaten run in the Eredivisie continue? On Saturday, the team travels to Rotterdam to face Excelsior. The hosts are in a tough spot, sitting 16th in the standings and showing inconsistent form. Meanwhile, NEC Nijmegen are solidly in third place, hot on the heels of second-placed Feyenoord. Can the visitors continue their push for the league's silver medal? We'll evaluate their chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 5:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession percentage: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 2;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 10 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen:
- played 26 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 12, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 34 against 45;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.81, in the 2nd half - 2.23;
- average total goals in the match - 3.04.
Head-to-head statistics Excelsior - Nijmegen
Excelsior Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Heracles Almelo, away team - Excelsior). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Excelsior vs Heracles Almelo):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Excelsior are going through a rough patch. The team hasn't secured a victory in their last six Eredivisie matches, which has inevitably affected their standing in the table, dropping the Rotterdam side into the relegation playoff zone. Furthermore, Excelsior's modest scoring record is concerning: they average less than one goal per game while conceding 1.68, highlighting a significant imbalance between their attack and defense.
Match Results: Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away - Heerenveen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 10 vs 5.
NEC Nijmegen are holding onto the 3rd spot in the standings, thanks to their consistent performances, with just two losses in their last 10 matches. NEC have displaced Ajax from the top three and are now chasing second-placed Feyenoord, trailing them by only three points. The team boasts an impressive scoring rate, averaging 2.46 goals per game. Additionally, Nijmegen have an excellent away form, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 away fixtures.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 12, draws - 4.
Statistics: Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
- matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- wins: 7 vs 14;
- win percentage: 25% vs 50%;
- losses: 15 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 5;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Excelsior won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 home games.
- Excelsior won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 home games (Eredivisie).
- Excelsior won with a +1.5 handicap in last 11 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.73;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.04;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 4.14;
- average total goals scored: 1.04 vs 2.46;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.54 vs 0.93;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1.54;
- Excelsior: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 2.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 2.1 (away - 1.67).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 26;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 28 vs 28;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 18 vs 23;
- number of BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 8 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 13 (93%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Excelsior at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 3 (100%).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 18 of last 19 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 15 of last 16 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/252, 11.1%);
- Excelsior at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (5/14, 35.7%);
- NEC Nijmegen away most often play: 1:1 (3/14, 21.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.68% (odds 7.5)
1:2 - 9.26% (odds 8)
0:1 - 7.6% (odds 10)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics of both teams, it's reasonable to expect a high level of scoring from NEC Nijmegen. Their attack impresses with its potency, regularly surpassing the 1.5 goals mark. Excelsior's defense appears vulnerable against such an aggressive opponent, who also delivers outstanding performances on the road. Therefore, we suggest considering a bet on NEC Nijmegen to score over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Excelsior - NEC Nijmegen
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in last 7 home games (Eredivisie).in 37 of last 38 games.in 32 of last 33 games (Eredivisie).in 19 of last 20 away games.in 16 of last 17 away games (Eredivisie).in 6 of last 7 home games (Eredivisie).in last 21 games.in last 17 games (Eredivisie).in last 10 away games.in last 8 away games (Eredivisie).in 14 of last 16 NEC Nijmegen games (Eredivisie).in last 5 NEC Nijmegen games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
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