Atletico PR vs Gremio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 May 2026
🔊 Athletico Paranaense and Gremio are gearing up for a crucial match that promises to be thrilling. Athletico have been in outstanding form at home, winning five consecutive games. Meanwhile, Gremio are striving to find consistency following a series of mixed results on the road. Both clubs are fighting to improve their standings in the league table, adding extra motivation for both sides.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 August 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 0-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Atlético Paranaense as the home side):
- possession percentage: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atletico Paranaense and Gremio:
- 41 matches played;
- home wins - 11, away wins - 22, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 34 for Atletico Paranaense, 55 for Gremio;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.07, in the 2nd half - 1.1;
- average total goals per match - 2.17.
Head-to-head statistics Atletico PR - Gremio

Atletico Paranaense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Atletico Paranaense playing at home against Vitoria. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.
The game statistics were as follows (Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
- shots on target: 11 vs 2.
🔴 Atlético Paranaense are showcasing an impressive home form, clinching victory in their last five Serie A matches on their own turf. This strong performance places them high in the standings, currently sitting in 5th position. The team is also displaying a potent attacking prowess, scoring more than 1.5 goals per game at home in five consecutive matches. Recent results highlight a positive trend: two wins and a draw in their last five outings, with a solid scoring average of 1.6 goals per game.
Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

Gremio Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the South American Cup, with Palestino hosting Gremio. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Gremio vs Palestino):
- possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
🔵 Gremio face certain challenges on the road, yet they maintain a fighting spirit and aim to improve their standing-they currently sit 11th in the table. In their last ten matches, Gremio have struggled offensively, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 0.7, highlighting a solid defense but an ineffective attack.
Match Results: Gremio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 41;
- First-half wins at home - 7; away - 4; draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.07;
- Today's home team averages 0.41 goals, while the visitors score 0.66.
First-Half Statistics: Atlético Paranaense (home) vs Grêmio (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.71.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 3 vs 1;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
- Grêmio have drawn the first half in 7 of their last 8 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 41;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 22, Draws - 8.
Statistics: Atlético Paranaense vs Grêmio
- Matches in tournament: 13 vs 13;
- Wins: 7 vs 4;
- Win percentage: 54% vs 31%;
- Losses: 5 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 4.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 4 vs 4;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Atlético Paranaense have won their last 5 home matches in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 0.83, Away team - 1.34;
- In head-to-head - 2.17;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 15 times; at home - 9 times.
Average Total Statistics: Atlético Paranaense vs Grêmio
- In tournament: 2.69 vs 2.38;
- Goals scored: 1.54 vs 1.15;
- First half: 0.69 vs 0.46;
- Second half: 0.85 vs 0.69;
- Atlético Paranaense: home in tournament - 2.14;
- Grêmio: away in tournament - 0.57;
- Last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 2.17) vs 0.6 (away - 0.33).
- Atlético Paranaense have scored over 1.5 goals at home in their last 5 Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Atlético Paranaense: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 4.46; at home - 5.29;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; at home - 4.33.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 4.08, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; away - 1.5.
- Atlético Paranaense have had under 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 41;
- Both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- At home - 9 times.
Statistics: Atlético Paranaense vs Grêmio
- Played in tournament: 13 vs 13;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 7 vs 7;
- Atlético Paranaense: BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
- Grêmio: BTTS away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
- Atlético Paranaense: BTTS at home - 3 (50%);
- Grêmio: BTTS away - 2 (33%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (17/127, 13.4%);
- Atlético Paranaense at home most often finishes matches: 2-0, 2-1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Grêmio away most often plays: 2-1 (3/7, 42.9%).
The algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-0 - 13.44% (odds 6.5)
1-1 - 12.3% (odds 6.5)
2-0 - 10.99% (odds 8)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering Atlético Paranaense's trend of home victories and their consistent ability to score more than 1.5 goals at home, they emerge as the favorites in the upcoming clash against Grêmio. The visitors are struggling with scoring away from home and are likely to focus on defending against the hosts' onslaught. Therefore, a bet on an Atlético victory appears to be the most reasonable prediction.