Atletico PR vs Gremio Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 2 May 2026

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Key points

    🔊 Athletico Paranaense and Gremio are gearing up for a crucial match that promises to be thrilling. Athletico have been in outstanding form at home, winning five consecutive games. Meanwhile, Gremio are striving to find consistency following a series of mixed results on the road. Both clubs are fighting to improve their standings in the league table, adding extra motivation for both sides.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 04 August 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 0-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Atlético Paranaense as the home side):

    • possession percentage: 73% vs 27%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
    • fouls: 13 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atletico Paranaense and Gremio:

    • 41 matches played;
    • home wins - 11, away wins - 22, draws - 8;
    • goals scored - 34 for Atletico Paranaense, 55 for Gremio;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.07, in the 2nd half - 1.1;
    • average total goals per match - 2.17.

    Head-to-head statistics Atletico PR - Gremio

    26%
    11 Wins
    21%
    9 Draws
    52%
    22 Wins
    Total games
    42
    Avg. total goals
    2.12
    Both teams scored
    36%
    0.81
    Average total
    1.31
    1.74
    Yellow cards
    1.55
    Last matches
    02.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    1.09
    0.88
    7
    3
    11
    13
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.09
    0.88
    7
    3
    11
    13
    2
    0
    04.08.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Gremio
    Gremio
    -
    -
    9
    0
    13
    12
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    9
    0
    13
    12
    2
    0
    17.04.24
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    14
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    14
    1
    3
    18.10.23
    Serie A
    Gremio FB Porto Alegrense
    Gremio FB Porto Alegrense
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    -
    -
    4
    8
    8
    12
    2
    6
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    8
    8
    12
    2
    6
    27.05.23
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
    Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
    -
    -
    10
    5
    14
    15
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    5
    14
    15
    2
    4
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    Atletico Paranaense Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Serie A tournament, with Atletico Paranaense playing at home against Vitoria. The match concluded with a 3-1 victory.

    The game statistics were as follows (Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria):

    • possession: 61% vs 39%;
    • corners: 4 vs 4;
    • fouls: 16 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 11 vs 2.

    🔴 Atlético Paranaense are showcasing an impressive home form, clinching victory in their last five Serie A matches on their own turf. This strong performance places them high in the standings, currently sitting in 5th position. The team is also displaying a potent attacking prowess, scoring more than 1.5 goals per game at home in five consecutive matches. Recent results highlight a positive trend: two wins and a draw in their last five outings, with a solid scoring average of 1.6 goals per game.

    Match Results: Atletico Paranaense

    Last matches
    24.10.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.72
    0.57
    3
    5
    11
    19
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.72
    0.57
    3
    5
    11
    19
    2
    4
    D
    17.10.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    1.27
    1.17
    16
    1
    11
    8
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1.27
    1.17
    16
    1
    11
    8
    2
    1
    L
    12.10.26
    Serie A
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1.56
    1.58
    6
    7
    17
    11
    2
    1
    1
    4
    0
    3
    1
    1
    1.56
    1.58
    6
    7
    17
    11
    2
    1
    W
    08.10.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    2.25
    1.26
    10
    3
    13
    11
    0
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.25
    1.26
    10
    3
    13
    11
    0
    2
    D
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    1
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0.93
    1.36
    6
    3
    8
    13
    3
    2
    W
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    Gremio Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the South American Cup, with Palestino hosting Gremio. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here's the match statistics (Gremio vs Palestino):

    • possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
    • fouls: 8 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    🔵 Gremio face certain challenges on the road, yet they maintain a fighting spirit and aim to improve their standing-they currently sit 11th in the table. In their last ten matches, Gremio have struggled offensively, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 0.7, highlighting a solid defense but an ineffective attack.

    Match Results: Gremio

    Last matches
    18.10.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    2.17
    1.33
    8
    8
    19
    16
    1
    3
    2
    4
    2
    1
    0
    3
    2.17
    1.33
    8
    8
    19
    16
    1
    3
    L
    11.10.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Internacional
    Internacional
    1.33
    1.12
    6
    5
    10
    26
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.33
    1.12
    6
    5
    10
    26
    3
    3
    D
    07.10.26
    Serie A
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.75
    1.75
    10
    4
    11
    16
    3
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.75
    1.75
    10
    4
    11
    16
    3
    4
    D
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.92
    2.53
    2
    9
    19
    14
    5
    5
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.92
    2.53
    2
    9
    19
    14
    5
    5
    D
    16.09.26
    Serie A
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.03
    0.62
    3
    3
    13
    11
    1
    1
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.03
    0.62
    3
    3
    13
    11
    1
    1
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 41;
    • First-half wins at home - 7; away - 4; draws - 10;
    • Average first-half total: 1.07;
    • Today's home team averages 0.41 goals, while the visitors score 0.66.

    First-Half Statistics: Atlético Paranaense (home) vs Grêmio (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
    • Wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
    • Draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (57.14%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.57 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.71.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 3 vs 1;
    • Losses: 4 vs 2;
    • Draws: 3 vs 7;
    • Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.8) vs 0.5 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Grêmio have drawn the first half in 7 of their last 8 matches.
    👉 Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.08)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 41;
    • Home wins - 11, Away wins - 22, Draws - 8.

    Statistics: Atlético Paranaense vs Grêmio

    • Matches in tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • Wins: 7 vs 4;
    • Win percentage: 54% vs 31%;
    • Losses: 5 vs 5;
    • Draws: 1 vs 4.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 5 vs 3;
    • Losses: 4 vs 4;
    • Draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Atlético Paranaense have won their last 5 home matches in Serie A.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Paranaense to Win (odds: 1.86)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):

    • Home team - 0.83, Away team - 1.34;
    • In head-to-head - 2.17;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 15 times; at home - 9 times.

    Average Total Statistics: Atlético Paranaense vs Grêmio

    • In tournament: 2.69 vs 2.38;
    • Goals scored: 1.54 vs 1.15;
    • First half: 0.69 vs 0.46;
    • Second half: 0.85 vs 0.69;
    • Atlético Paranaense: home in tournament - 2.14;
    • Grêmio: away in tournament - 0.57;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 2.17) vs 0.6 (away - 0.33).
    Trends
    • Atlético Paranaense have scored over 1.5 goals at home in their last 5 Serie A matches.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Paranaense Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.96)

    Corners Prediction

    Atlético Paranaense: Statistics

    • Season: average total in tournament - 4.46; at home - 5.29;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; at home - 4.33.

    Grêmio: Statistics

    • Season: average total in tournament - 4.08, away - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; away - 1.5.
    Trends
    • Atlético Paranaense have had under 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Atletico Paranaense Total Under (5,5) (odds: 1.91)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Played - 41;
    • Both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
    • At home - 9 times.

    Statistics: Atlético Paranaense vs Grêmio

    • Played in tournament: 13 vs 13;
    • Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 7 vs 7;
    • Atlético Paranaense: BTTS at home - 4 (57%);
    • Grêmio: BTTS away - 4 (57%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
    • Atlético Paranaense: BTTS at home - 3 (50%);
    • Grêmio: BTTS away - 2 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.86)

    Exact Score Prediction

    Frequent Results Statistics (Current Season):

    • The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (17/127, 13.4%);
    • Atlético Paranaense at home most often finishes matches: 2-0, 2-1 (2/7, 28.6%);
    • Grêmio away most often plays: 2-1 (3/7, 42.9%).

    The algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:

    1-0 - 13.44% (odds 6.5)
    1-1 - 12.3% (odds 6.5)
    2-0 - 10.99% (odds 8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Considering Atlético Paranaense's trend of home victories and their consistent ability to score more than 1.5 goals at home, they emerge as the favorites in the upcoming clash against Grêmio. The visitors are struggling with scoring away from home and are likely to focus on defending against the hosts' onslaught. Therefore, a bet on an Atlético victory appears to be the most reasonable prediction.

    Atletico Paranaense to Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-123
    Published: 01/05/2026, 13:15

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Paranaense - Gremio

    Gremio have drawn in the 1st half:
    gremio-rs-2in 7 of last 8 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Atletico Paranaense have won:
    atletico-paranaensein last 5 home games (Serie A).
    Atletico Paranaense to Win
    Bovada
    -133
    Atletico Paranaense have not lost:
    atletico-paranaensein last 6 home games.
    Gremio have not won:
    gremio-rs-2in 13 of last 14 away games (Serie A).
    gremio-rs-2in last 12 away games.
    Atletico Paranaense will not lose
    Everygame
    -625
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    atletico-paranaensegremio-rs-2in last 9 Atletico Paranaense home games against Gremio (Serie A).
    atletico-paranaensegremio-rs-2in last 5 Atletico Paranaense games against Gremio (Serie A).
    atletico-paranaensein 9 of last 10 Atletico Paranaense games (Serie A).
    atletico-paranaensein last 5 Atletico Paranaense home games (Serie A).
    gremio-rs-2in 11 of last 12 Gremio away games (Serie A).
    in last 20 Savio Pereira Sampaio games.
    in last 12 Savio Pereira Sampaio games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    4 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 4
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 21
    Conceded - 18
    +3
    -1
    13 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    2
    4
    Draws
    4
    2
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    21
    Scored
    13
    18
    Conceded
    14
    3.9
    Average total per match
    2.7
    2.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    8
    Both teams scored
    7
    43'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats