Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza Prediction 3 May 2025
🔊 São Paulo host Fortaleza in a match that promises to be both thrilling and action-packed. São Paulo are enjoying a stable run of form, boasting a 10-match unbeaten streak that boosts the home side's confidence. However, they often struggle to capitalize on their attacking opportunities, which is reflected in their average goal-scoring record. On the flip side, Fortaleza are eager to climb up the standings after a string of draws and losses. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, which could lead to an open and entertaining game.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Fortaleza:
- 16 matches played;
- home wins - 5, away wins - 6, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 19 for São Paulo, 22 for Fortaleza;
- average goals in the first half - 0.88, in the second half - 1.69;
- average total goals per match - 2.56.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa tournament (home team - Sao Paulo, away team - Nautico PE). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Sao Paulo vs Nautico PE):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 11 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
São Paulo have been consistent at home, remaining unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 matches. However, the team frequently ends up in draws, with five ties in their last six games, highlighting issues with finishing. The Tricolor prefer a defensive strategy, aiming to control possession and dictate the game's pace to their opponents. This season, they average one goal per game while conceding slightly less, around 0.83 goals per match. The last head-to-head between these teams saw Fortaleza clinch a 1-0 victory.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Fortaleza Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa tournament (home team - Retro Brasil, away - Fortaleza). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Fortaleza vs Retro Brasil):
- ball possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 8.
Fortaleza find themselves in the lower half of the table, currently sitting in 15th place. Their form leaves much to be desired: just one win, alongside four draws and five losses in their last ten matches, highlights the Lions' inconsistency both in attack and defense. Their scoring average is also struggling, with less than one goal per game (0.7). However, historically, Fortaleza have performed well against São Paulo on the road, evidenced by a streak of eight consecutive away games without major defeats.
Match Results: Fortaleza
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 6, draws - 5.
Statistics: Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of wins: 1 vs 1;
- win percentage: 17% vs 17%;
- number of losses: 0 vs 2;
- number of draws: 5 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 1;
- number of losses: 0 vs 4;
- number of draws: 6 vs 5.
- Fortaleza won with a +1.5 handicap in last 8 away games against Sao Paulo.
- Fortaleza won with a +1.5 handicap in 25 of last 26 games.
- Fortaleza won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 away games.
- Fortaleza won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.19, the guests - 1.38;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 10; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza
- average total in the tournament: 1.83 vs 1.67;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.83;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.83 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.17 vs 0.33;
- Sao Paulo: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Fortaleza: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.4) vs 0.7 (away - 0.8).
- Sao Paulo have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Fortaleza (Serie A).
- Sao Paulo have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Fortaleza (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 9.88 (5.94 - for home team and 3.94 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.01 (5.88 - for home team and 3.13 - for away team).
Sao Paulo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.17; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 6.8.
Fortaleza: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.83, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 4.8.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.12 (2.56 for home team and 2.56 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.13 (2 for home team and 2.13 for away team).
Sao Paulo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; at home - 3.4.
Fortaleza: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.33, away - 2.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 2.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 16;
- both teams scored all-time - 10 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza
- number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Sao Paulo at home - 2 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Fortaleza away - 2 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Sao Paulo at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Fortaleza away - 4 (80%).
- Sao Paulo have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
- Fortaleza have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Editor's Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-head statistics, a closely contested match with chances at both ends is expected. São Paulo benefit from home advantage and perform better with the backing of their fans; however, their history against Fortaleza at home has posed challenges for the Tricolor. Based on recent trends, the bet on both teams to score seems promising, given the frequent goal exchanges between these sides lately.
Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Fortaleza
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
