Madura United vs Persebaya Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 January 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Madura United and Persebaya Surabaya. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 12:00 3 January. The tournament match will take place at the Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium stadium in the city of Pamekasan. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Persebaya Surabaya):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 0.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Madura United and Persebaya Surabaya:
- played 15 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 2, for the away team - 9, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 17 against 29;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.67, in the 2nd half - 1.4;
- average total goals in the match - 3.07.
Head-to-head statistics Madura United - Persebaya

Madura United Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 28 December 2025 as part of the Liga 1 tournament (home team - Madura United, away team - Semen Padang). The match concluded with a scoreline of 5:1.
Here's the game statistics (Madura United vs Semen Padang):
- ball possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
- 4 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 5 draws.
📈Currently, Madura United stands at a mid-tier position within the Liga 1 standings, with a win percentage of 27% and a loss percentage of 40%.
⚽️Madura United has scored a total of 18 goals. On the defensive end, Madura United has allowed 20 goals over the season.
Match Results: Madura United

Persebaya Surabaya Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 28 December 2025 as part of the Liga 1 tournament (home team - Persebaya Surabaya, away - Persijap Jepara). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here are the match stats (Persebaya Surabaya vs Persijap Jepara):
- ball possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 8;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 1.
- 5 wins,
- 3 losses,
- 7 draws.
📈Currently, Persebaya Surabaya stands at a mid-tier position within the Liga 1 standings, with a win percentage of 33% and a loss percentage of 20%.
⚽Persebaya Surabaya has scored a total of 21 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 15 goals over the season.
Match Results: Persebaya Surabaya
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 15;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.67;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 1.
First-Half Stats: Madura United (home) vs Persebaya Surabaya (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 2 (28.57%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 2 (28.57%) vs 6 (85.71%);
- Average goals scored: 1.29 vs 0.43;
- Average goals conceded: 0.71 vs 0.14.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 6 vs 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6) vs 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5).
- Persebaya Surabaya have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Liga 1).
- Persebaya Surabaya have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 away games (Liga 1).
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 9, draws - 4.
Statistics: Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- win percentage: 27% vs 33%;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 7.
- Persebaya Surabaya have drawn in 5 of last 6 games (Liga 1).
Total Goals Prediction
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 1.93;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.07;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya
- average total in the tournament: 2.53 vs 2.4;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 1.4;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.53;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.87;
- Madura United: average total at home in the tournament - 1.43;
- Persebaya Surabaya: average total away in the tournament - 0.71;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.4 (away - 0.8).
- Persebaya Surabaya have scored under 1.5 goals in 17 of last 18 away games (Liga 1).
Corners Prediction
Madura United: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.93; at home field - 4.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; at home field - 4.75.
Persebaya Surabaya: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47, away - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; away - 3.8.
- Madura United have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games (Liga 1).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Madura United at home - 5 (71%);
- number of BTTS matches for Persebaya Surabaya away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Madura United at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Persebaya Surabaya away - 4 (80%).
- Persebaya Surabaya have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Liga 1).
Correct Score Prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (19/135, 14.1%);
- Madura United at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 1:4 , 2:1 , 5:1 (1/7, 14.3%);
- Persebaya Surabaya away most often play: 1:1 (4/7, 57.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.84% (odds 5.8)
0:1 - 9.77% (odds 6.83)
1:0 - 9.49% (odds 6.99)
- Persebaya Surabaya drew 1:1 in last 3 away games (Liga 1).
Editorial Prediction
- Persebaya Surabaya have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Liga 1).