Casa Pia vs Estrela Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 1 November 2025
🔊 In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Casa Pia take on Estrela. Both teams are languishing in the lower half of the table, adding an extra layer of intrigue to their showdown. The hosts have struggled for consistency, securing just two wins in their last nine matches. Meanwhile, the visitors face their own challenges in away games, struggling to find the back of the net. The key question is whether either side can capitalize on their opponent's vulnerabilities to improve their standings. The observed trend towards a low-scoring affair could significantly impact the outcome of this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 09 February 2025 and ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Casa Pia were the home side):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 17 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Casa Pia and Estrela:
- 6 matches played;
- home wins - 3, away wins - 3, draws - 0;
- goals scored - 6 for Casa Pia, 5 for Estrela;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.67, in the 2nd half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 1.83.
Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Estrela
Casa Pia Team Overview
The last official match for the team took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Braga hosting Casa Pia. The match ended with a 4-0 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Casa Pia vs Braga):
- possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corners: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 8.
Casa Pia are still searching for their rhythm, currently sitting 14th in the table. Their recent form is far from ideal, with just two wins and five losses in their last nine matches. They've conceded in every home game, highlighting their defensive frailties. However, they demonstrated resilience in their recent head-to-head clash with Estrela, securing a narrow 1-0 victory. The team's strengths lie in their tenacity and ability to capitalize on rare opportunities in front of goal.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Estrela Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Estrela hosting Rio Ave. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Estrela vs Rio Ave):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 6;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Estrela currently sit in 16th place, fighting for survival in the league. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one win while suffering three defeats. The team is known for its disciplined defense, but a lack of attacking sharpness limits their ability to pick up points away from home. Notably, there's a trend of under 2.5 goals in nearly all of their recent away games. This indicates a defensive style of play with a strong focus on keeping things tight at the back.
Match Results: Estrela
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 3, draws - 0.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Estrela
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- win percentage: 22% vs 11%;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Estrela
- average total in the tournament: 2.78 vs 1.89;
- average total goals scored: 0.89 vs 0.78;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.56;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.33 vs 0.22;
- Casa Pia: average total at home in the tournament - 0.75;
- Estrela: average total away in the tournament - 0.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 0.75) vs 0.8 (away - 0.4).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 15 of last 16 Estrela away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 11 (6.67 - for home team and 4.33 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 11.67 (6.67 - for home team and 5 - for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4; at home field - 3.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 3.75.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.11, away - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.4.
- Casa Pia have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.66 (1.83 for home team and 1.83 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 4.33 (2.33 for home team and 2 for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.56; at home - 2.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home - 2.75.
Estrela: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.56, away - 2.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Estrela
- number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 2 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estrela away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Estrela away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editors' Prediction
Considering the current form and stats of both teams, a tight game with few goals seems likely. Casa Pia, despite their weak defense and inconsistent results, showed resilience in their previous match against Estrela. However, their trend of home losses highlights the hosts' instability. Meanwhile, Estrela have been solid defensively in away matches, often resulting in low-scoring games. Taking all these factors into account, along with the tendency for low-scoring outcomes, betting on under 2.5 goals appears to be the most reasonable prediction for this encounter. This decision is backed by recent head-to-head statistics and the overall form of both sides.
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Betting Tips: Casa Pia - Estrela
in 6 of last 7 home games (Liga Portugal).
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in last 6 Helder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro games.in last 5 Helder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro games (in the Liga Portugal).in last 23 away games (Liga Portugal).in last 19 away games.in 6 of last 7 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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