Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 4 May 2026
🔥 The clash between Toluca and Pachuca promises to be an intriguing encounter, given the current form of both teams. They will face off in the first quarter-final match of the Clausura playoffs. Both sides favor an attacking style of play, which could result in a thrilling match filled with action. How will it end? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Pachuca were the home side):
- possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corners: 9 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official head-to-head encounters between Toluca and Pachuca:
- 49 matches played;
- home team victories - 19, away team wins - 16, draws - 14;
- goals scored - 73 for Toluca, 70 for Pachuca;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.29, in the second half - 1.63;
- average total goals per match - 2.92.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Pachuca
Deportivo Toluca Team Overview
The last official match took place in the CONCACAF Champions League, featuring Los Angeles as the home side and Toluca as the visitors. The game ended with a scoreline of 2-1.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Los Angeles):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Toluca have climbed to fifth in the league standings, largely thanks to their impressive attacking prowess, averaging nearly two goals per game. However, their recent form has been inconsistent, with three losses and two wins in their last five matches, highlighting the need for defensive improvements. Over their last ten games, they have secured four victories but also suffered four defeats, underscoring their fluctuating form. Playing at home has traditionally been an advantage for Toluca, where they frequently delight their fans with high-scoring performances.
Match Results: Deportivo Toluca
Pachuca Team Overview
The latest official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX, with Pachuca hosting UNAM Pumas. The game ended with a score of 0-2.
Here are the match statistics (Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas):
- possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corners: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Pachuca have showcased an impressive streak with three consecutive victories before suffering two recent defeats. Their away performance has been solid, securing five wins in their last ten matches with an average scoring rate of about 1.5 goals per game. However, their defense occasionally falters, with the number of goals conceded highlighting a need for stronger defensive efforts. Currently sitting in fourth place in the standings, the team is eager to climb higher.
Match Results: Pachuca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 10; for visitors away - 7; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.29;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.65, while the visitors net 0.63.
First-Half Stats: Toluca (home) vs Pachuca (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 18;
- wins: 11 (55%) vs 3 (16.67%);
- losses: 3 (15%) vs 10 (55.56%);
- draws: 6 (30%) vs 5 (27.78%);
- Average goals scored: 1.7 vs 1.72;
- Average goals conceded: 0.55 vs 1.06.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1).
- Toluca scored in the 1st half in last 8 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Pachuca conceded in the 1st half in last 7 games (Liga MX).
- Pachuca conceded in the 1st half in last 6 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 19, away team wins - 16, draws - 14.
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against Toluca (Liga MX).
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of last 16 games (Liga MX).
- Pachuca won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.49, the guests - 1.43;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.92;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: Toluca vs Pachuca
- average total in the tournament: 2.95 vs 2.58;
- average total goals scored: 1.95 vs 1.39;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.83 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.13 vs 0.72;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.4;
- Pachuca: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 3.25) vs 1.6 (away - 1.4).
- Toluca have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.5; at home field - 5.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 3.75.
Pachuca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.72, away - 4.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 5.
- Pachuca have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
- Toluca have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Toluca have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Liga MX).
- Toluca have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
- Pachuca have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/323, 11.5%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (5/20, 25%);
- Pachuca away most often play: 2:2 (3/18, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.46% (odds 7.7)
2:1 - 9.43% (odds 7.95)
1:0 - 8.43% (odds 8.65)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the attacking prowess of both teams and the trend of goal exchanges in their head-to-head clashes, a bet on both teams to score seems the most logical for this match. Toluca continue to display a high level of offensive play despite some defensive issues, while Pachuca are capable of capitalizing on their chances against the hosts' vulnerable backline. A thrilling encounter with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities for both sides is likely. A 1-1 draw is a possible outcome.
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Toluca - Pachuca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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