Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction 22 February 2026

    🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Mara Sugar FC and Ulinzi Stars. The confrontation of the Premier League tournament is scheduled for 11:00 on 22 February. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a score of 1:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Ulinzi Stars):

    • ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1.

    📊 The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:

    • goals: 3 against 3;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.33, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.

    Head-to-head statistics Mara Sugar FC - Ulinzi Stars

    50%
    2 Wins
    25%
    1 Draw
    25%
    1 Win
    Total games
    4
    Total Goals Avg
    2.25
    Both teams scored
    75%
    1.25
    Total average
    1
    4
    Corner
    3.5
    Last matches
    22.02.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    -
    -
    8
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    3
    -
    -
    1
    1
    05.10.25
    Premier League
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    1
    -
    -
    1
    1
    04.05.25
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    -
    -
    1
    2
    12.01.25
    Premier League
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    -
    -
    2
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mara Sugar FC Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 31 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kakamega Homeboyz, away team - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.

    Here's the game statistics (Mara Sugar FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz):

    • ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 8.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Mara Sugar FC has engaged in 19 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 4 wins,
    • 6 losses,
    • 9 draws.

    📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 24% and a loss percentage of 29%.

    ⚽️Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end, Mara Sugar FC has allowed 18 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Mara Sugar FC

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Premier League
    Muranga Seal
    Muranga Seal
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Gor Mahia
    Gor Mahia
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    D
    16.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mathare United
    Mathare United
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    17
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    10
    17
    2
    1
    L
    13.05.26
    Premier League
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    Shabana
    Shabana
    -
    -
    1
    4
    20
    11
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    20
    11
    1
    0
    W
    09.05.26
    Premier League
    Leopards
    Leopards
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    6
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    6
    0
    0
    L
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    Ulinzi Stars Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 15 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Ulinzi Stars, away - Kenya Police). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Ulinzi Stars vs Kenya Police):

    • ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
    • fouls: 21 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 5.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Ulinzi Stars has engaged in 20 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 4 wins,
    • 10 losses,
    • 6 draws.

    📈Currently, Ulinzi Stars stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 20% and a loss percentage of 50%.

    ⚽Ulinzi Stars has scored a total of 18 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 22 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Ulinzi Stars

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Premier League
    Posta Rangers
    Posta Rangers
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    27.05.26
    Premier League
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    Tusker Football Club
    Tusker Football Club
    -
    -
    9
    2
    9
    15
    1
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    9
    2
    9
    15
    1
    2
    W
    23.05.26
    Premier League
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    Mathare United
    Mathare United
    -
    -
    2
    4
    16
    15
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    16
    15
    0
    0
    W
    13.05.26
    Premier League
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    Leopards
    Leopards
    -
    -
    5
    6
    11
    9
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    11
    9
    1
    1
    L
    09.05.26
    Premier League
    Shabana
    Shabana
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    -
    -
    8
    5
    14
    10
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    5
    14
    10
    2
    1
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 3;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
    • Average first-half total: 1.33;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.67.

    First-Half Stats: Mara Sugar FC (home) vs Ulinzi Stars (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 10;
    • wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 3 (37.5%) vs 5 (50%);
    • draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 5 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.63 vs 0.9;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.7.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 1 vs 2;
    • losses: 3 vs 7;
    • draws: 6 vs 1;
    • Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Ulinzi Stars conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    • Ulinzi Stars conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Mara Sugar FC to score goal (odds: 2.35)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 3;
    • home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars

    • matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 20;
    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 24% vs 20%;
    • losses: 5 vs 10;
    • draws: 8 vs 6.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 6;
    • draws: 4 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 2.9)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
    • both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • average total goals scored: 0.94 vs 0.9;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.29 vs 0.3;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.6;
    • Mara Sugar FC: average total at home in the tournament -  0.63;
    • Ulinzi Stars: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 0.25).
    Trends
    • Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals in 15 of last 17 home games.
    • Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals in 14 of last 16 home games (Premier League).
    • Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Mara Sugar FC Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.29)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 3;
    • both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 20;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 11;
    • number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC at home - 1 (13%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Ulinzi Stars away - 4 (40%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC at home - 1 (25%);
    • BTTS matches for Ulinzi Stars away - 1 (25%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.53)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/192, 15.6%);
    • Mara Sugar FC at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
    • Ulinzi Stars away most often play: 1:0 (3/10, 30%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 17.34% (odds 5)
    0:0 - 16.02% (odds 5)
    1:1 - 12.05% (odds 7)

    Trends
    • Ulinzi Stars lost 0:1 in 3 of last 4 away games (Premier League).

    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 21/02/2026, 06:24

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    Betting Tips: Mara Sugar FC - Ulinzi Stars

    Ulinzi Stars have not won:
    ulinzi-stars-fc-3in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    Mara Sugar FC will not lose
    -333
    Mara Sugar FC have not won:
    mara-sugar-fcin 15 of last 17 home games.
    mara-sugar-fcin 14 of last 16 home games (Premier League).
    mara-sugar-fcin last 7 games (Premier League).
    Ulinzi Stars will not lose
    -238
    Ulinzi Stars have scored under 1.5 goals:
    ulinzi-stars-fc-3in 21 of last 22 away games (Premier League).
    ulinzi-stars-fc-3in 12 of last 13 away games.
    ulinzi-stars-fc-3in 9 of last 10 games (Premier League).
    Ulinzi Stars Total goals Under (1,5)
    -435
    Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals:
    mara-sugar-fcin 15 of last 17 home games.
    mara-sugar-fcin 14 of last 16 home games (Premier League).
    mara-sugar-fcin 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
    Mara Sugar FC Total goals Under (1,5)
    -357
    View more facts

    Mara Sugar FC - Ulinzi Stars Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    10.
    Aps Bomet
    Aps Bomet
    3411111237-3544
    11.
    Mara Sugar FC
    Mara Sugar FC
    3410141030-3044
    12.
    Bandari
    Bandari
    34917826-2644
    13.
    Ulinzi Stars
    Ulinzi Stars
    341181535-3741
    14.
    Mathare United
    Mathare United
    341181531-3541

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 7
    Conceded - 7
    0
    +3
    12 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    1
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    7
    Scored
    12
    7
    Conceded
    9
    1.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    0.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    129'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats