Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction 22 February 2026
🔈How will refereeing decisions affect the course and outcome of the match? We will find out all about this over the 90 minutes of the match between the teams Mara Sugar FC and Ulinzi Stars. The confrontation of the Premier League tournament is scheduled for 11:00 on 22 February. As of today, bookmakers have set the following odds for wins: and .
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 05 October 2025 and ended with a score of 1:2. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Ulinzi Stars):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
📊 The sides have played three official matches. The statistics are as follows:
- goals: 3 against 3;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.33, in the 2nd half - 0.67;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Mara Sugar FC - Ulinzi Stars

Mara Sugar FC Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 31 January 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Kakamega Homeboyz, away team - Mara Sugar FC). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:3.
Here's the game statistics (Mara Sugar FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
- 4 wins,
- 6 losses,
- 9 draws.
📈Currently, Mara Sugar FC stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 24% and a loss percentage of 29%.
⚽️Mara Sugar FC has scored a total of 16 goals. On the defensive end, Mara Sugar FC has allowed 18 goals over the season.
Match Results: Mara Sugar FC

Ulinzi Stars Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 15 February 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Ulinzi Stars, away - Kenya Police). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Ulinzi Stars vs Kenya Police):
- ball possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 21 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 5.
- 4 wins,
- 10 losses,
- 6 draws.
📈Currently, Ulinzi Stars stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 20% and a loss percentage of 50%.
⚽Ulinzi Stars has scored a total of 18 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 22 goals over the season.
Match Results: Ulinzi Stars
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 3;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 0; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.33;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.67.
First-Half Stats: Mara Sugar FC (home) vs Ulinzi Stars (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 10;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 3 (37.5%) vs 5 (50%);
- draws: 5 (62.5%) vs 5 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 0.63 vs 0.9;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.7.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 7;
- draws: 6 vs 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.8).
- Ulinzi Stars conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
- Ulinzi Stars conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- home team wins - 1, away team wins - 1, draws - 1.
Statistics: Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 20;
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 24% vs 20%;
- losses: 5 vs 10;
- draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 6;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- average total goals scored: 0.94 vs 0.9;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.29 vs 0.3;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.65 vs 0.6;
- Mara Sugar FC: average total at home in the tournament - 0.63;
- Ulinzi Stars: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.75) vs 0.9 (away - 0.25).
- Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals in 15 of last 17 home games.
- Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals in 14 of last 16 home games (Premier League).
- Mara Sugar FC have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 3;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 20;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC at home - 1 (13%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ulinzi Stars away - 4 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Mara Sugar FC at home - 1 (25%);
- BTTS matches for Ulinzi Stars away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (30/192, 15.6%);
- Mara Sugar FC at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Ulinzi Stars away most often play: 1:0 (3/10, 30%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 17.34% (odds 5)
0:0 - 16.02% (odds 5)
1:1 - 12.05% (odds 7)
- Ulinzi Stars lost 0:1 in 3 of last 4 away games (Premier League).