Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction 2 February 2025

🔊 Will Fiorentina be able to delight their fans once again? Last week, the "Viola" defeated Lazio away (2-1), thus ending their unpleasant streak of 7 matches without a win. Nevertheless, in the upcoming clash, Raffaele Palladino's team will have to work hard, as they face Genoa, who have not known defeat lately. In this situation, we will try to analyze all the strengths and weaknesses of the opponents to provide you with an accurate prediction for the 23rd round Serie A match, which will take place at the "Stadio Artemio Franchi".

📊 Head-to-Head

In head-to-head encounters, Genoa rarely achieves a positive result. Over a stretch of 33 matches, the "Griffin" has won only 3 times, while Fiorentina has upset their opponent as many as 14 times. In the game that took place in the first round, Genoa also failed to take advantage of their home field and suffered a narrow defeat (0-1).

🟣 Fiorentina

Has Fiorentina managed to overcome their crisis situation? In the previous round, the team defeated Lazio away, a direct competitor in the fight for the top-4 (2-1), and ended their winless streak of 7 matches. However, based on their play, the "Viola" did not deserve even a draw. Raffaele Palladino's team hardly held possession (30% possession), managed only 0.59 goals according to xG metrics, but a strong start to the game (2-0 by the 17th minute) allowed them to secure a long-awaited victory. Considering the current circumstances, points gained by any means will be of great significance for Fiorentina - players need to restore their confidence. As for the upcoming match, the coaching staff will not be able to count on 5 players, including Yacine Adli (suspension), who scored the first goal against Lazio.

🔴 Genoa

The appointment of Patrick Vieira as head coach of Genoa is one of the best decisions made by management in recent years. Even Claudio Ranieri did not have such a significant impact on Roma's success as the French specialist has had on his team. Over a stretch of the last 12 matches, the "Griffin" has suffered only 2 defeats and has risen from the relegation zone to twelfth place in the standings. In the previous round, for example, Genoa easily handled Monza with the support of their home fans (2-0). In general, the team could have achieved a rout, but they were constantly let down by their finishing (6-0 in created scoring chances). As for the upcoming match, there is a big question mark over the participation of 3 players, including key defender Alessandro Zanoli (illness).

⚽️ Goal Prediction

What has changed since Patrick Vieira was appointed as head coach of Genoa? The team has begun to play much more confidently on their own half of the field. In 6 out of the last 9 matches, the "Griffin" has kept a clean sheet, with even AC Milan leaving the field without scoring a goal (0-0). Fiorentina, on the other hand, has serious issues with creativity, and a relatively recent game against Torino (1-1) is an excellent confirmation of this. In such a situation, we recommend considering an option with total under 2.5 goals.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Fiorentina is not a big fan of set pieces. The team earns an average of 4.7 corners per game and ranks ninth in Serie A in this statistical parameter. Genoa, preferring to play on the counterattack, cannot boast about their numbers either - 4.2 corners and fifteenth position. The most obvious decision would be to go with an option of total corners under 9.5.

📝 Editorial Prediction

Bookmakers consider Fiorentina a clear favorite in the upcoming match. However, we would like to challenge this opinion. Firstly, Genoa has long ceased to be perceived as a team that is easy to beat. Since early November, the "Griffin" has only lost to Napoli (1-2), who lead Serie A standings, and Roma (1-3), who are on a streak of 7 home wins. Secondly, Fiorentina themselves are far from their ideal form. Yes, last week the "Viola" defeated formidable Lazio away (2-1), but that was more luck than a result of their play. Moreover, in the head-to-head encounter that took place in the first round, Raffaele Palladino's team barely squeezed past their opponent (1-0), although at that time the "Griffin" was dropping points left and right. Therefore, our key betting option is Genoa win with a handicap (+1). We wouldn't be surprised if the game ends with a score of 0-0.