Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction 16 January 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Sporting and Casa Pia are set to clash on the football pitch in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Sporting are comfortably holding second place in the table, showcasing consistent form. The team is renowned for their strong attack and solid defense, conceding very few goals. On the other hand, Casa Pia are struggling, sitting in fifteenth place with a patchy run of form behind them. Can the favorites live up to their high status?
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 08 August 2025 and ended with a 0-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (Casa Pia were the home side):
- possession percentage: 32% vs 68%;
- corners: 2 vs 9;
- fouls: 14 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 11.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Sporting and Casa Pia:
- 8 matches played;
- home team victories - 8, away team victories - 0, draws - 0;
- goals scored - 26 against 7;
- average total goals in the 1st half - 2.25, in the 2nd half - 1.88;
- average total goals per match - 4.13.
Head-to-head statistics Sporting - Casa Pia
Sporting Lisbon Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Portuguese League Cup, with Sporting hosting Vitória Guimarães. The match ended with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Sporting vs Vitória Guimarães):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
Sporting, currently sitting second in the table, are showcasing impressive form. In their last five matches, they have secured three victories and suffered just one defeat. Over the past 10 games, the team has clinched six wins, boasting an impressive average scoring rate of 2.8 goals per game. The "Lions" are renowned for their attacking prowess and solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.53 goals per match. Sporting not only score frequently but also excel at keeping clean sheets, managing to do so in six consecutive home games.
Match Results: Sporting Lisbon
Casa Pia Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Rio Ave hosting Casa Pia. The match concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Casa Pia vs Rio Ave):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 9;
- fouls: 23 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
Casa Pia continue their search for form, currently sitting in 15th place in the standings. The team has been inconsistent, with just one win and two losses in their last five outings. They have an average scoring rate of about one goal per match, which is considerably lower than their rivals. In their most recent clash against Sporting, Casa Pia fell 0-2, highlighting their ongoing struggles both offensively and defensively. Despite their efforts, the club has yet to stabilize their form and improve their position in the league table.
Match Results: Casa Pia
Latest news
Sporting Lisbon
📝 Zheni Katamo in the spotlight: €20 million as a starting point for negotiations. Although contract extension talks have already begun, there is a strong likelihood of his departure in the summer transfer window. In the last 2025 transfer window, the 24-year-old winger attracted interest from Fenerbahçe and Aston Villa.
📝 Trincão's contract extension has stalled, and there is a chance he could leave in the summer. Clubs from the Arabian leagues continue to closely monitor the winger, who has been performing exceptionally well at Sporting. Top European leagues are also paying attention to the performance and consistency of the player wearing number 17.
❌ Sporting are dealing with several injuries that have impacted their squad depth. Nuno Santos, Zeno Debast, Giovanni Cuenda, Pedro Gonçalves, and Eduardo Quaresma are all sidelined with significant injuries.
Casa Pia
✅ All the key players for the visitors are available.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 8;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 0;
- Average first-half total: 2.25;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.63, while the visitors net 0.63.
First-Half Stats: Sporting Lisbon (home) vs Casa Pia (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 5 (62.5%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.22;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 7 vs 1;
- losses: 0 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored - 1.5, conceded - 0.2) vs 0.8 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.6).
- Casa Pia have lost the 1st half in last 5 games against Sporting Lisbon (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 0, draws - 0.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 13 vs 3;
- win percentage: 76% vs 18%;
- losses: 1 vs 9;
- draws: 3 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Sporting Lisbon have won in last 8 games against Casa Pia.
- Sporting Lisbon have won in last 7 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).
- Sporting Lisbon have won in last 8 home games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 3.25, the guests - 0.88;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4.13;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia
- average total in the tournament: 3.29 vs 2.88;
- average total goals scored: 2.76 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.18 vs 0.35;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.59 vs 0.65;
- Sporting Lisbon: average total at home in the tournament - 3.38;
- Casa Pia: average total away in the tournament - 1.11;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.8 (home - 3.6) vs 1.3 (away - 1.6).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Sporting Lisbon games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in last 5 Sporting Lisbon home games.
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of last 8 Casa Pia away games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 8;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Sporting Lisbon at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/153, 11.1%);
- Sporting Lisbon at home most often finish matches: 4:0 , 6:0 (2/8, 25%);
- Casa Pia away most often play: 0:2 , 4:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 12.89% (odds 5)
3:0 - 11.48% (odds 5.25)
1:0 - 10.14% (odds 6.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Taking all factors into account, Sporting are expected to deliver a confident performance. The team are in excellent form, showing high scoring ability and a solid defense. They have won six of their last ten matches and have kept a clean sheet at home for six consecutive games. Meanwhile, Casa Pia are struggling both offensively and defensively, sitting in 15th place. Their inconsistent form and weak attack could play into the hands of the home side. Considering the trends and statistics, betting on Sporting's individual total over 2.5 seems like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia
in 7 of last 8 games against Casa Pia.in last 8 home games.
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in last 8 games against Casa Pia.in last 7 games against Casa Pia (Primeira Liga).in 31 of last 32 games (Primeira Liga).in 20 of last 21 home games.in 17 of last 19 games.in 15 of last 16 home games (Primeira Liga).in 11 of last 12 games (Primeira Liga).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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