Akhmat vs Spartak Moscow Prediction 2 August 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 In matchday 2 of the RPL, Spartak travel to Akhmat - a side that has made a habit of troubling Moscow's top clubs. Stanislav Cherchesov's men wasted no time proving that point again, holding Lokomotiv away from home on the opening weekend. That said, Spartak are pretty much the one Moscow club Akhmat can't seem to crack: no wins since 2023, when the match was played in Grozny. Should be an interesting one, especially with both sides coming off solid starts to the season.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the last ten matches, Spartak have four wins to Akhmat's one. Draws dominate the sample, though - five of them.

    Head-to-head statistics Akhmat - Spartak Moscow

    25%
    10 Wins
    23%
    9 Draws
    53%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2.83
    Both teams scored
    60%
    1.13
    Total average
    1.7
    2.42
    Yellow cards
    1.95
    Last matches
    02.08.26
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    1
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    0.87
    0.72
    1
    5
    12
    15
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.87
    0.72
    1
    5
    12
    15
    1
    2
    19.04.26
    RPL
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    2.01
    0.57
    1
    1
    13
    23
    1
    1
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    2.01
    0.57
    1
    1
    13
    23
    1
    1
    09.11.25
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    0.41
    0.73
    8
    1
    16
    24
    0
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0.41
    0.73
    8
    1
    16
    24
    0
    1
    30.03.25
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    0.72
    1.37
    5
    7
    17
    21
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.37
    5
    7
    17
    21
    2
    1
    11.08.24
    RPL
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    16
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    11
    16
    4
    4
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    Akhmat Grozny Team Overview

    Spartak had their first full pre-season under Juan Carlos Carcedo, though it ended on a sour note - a defeat to Lokomotiv in the final friendly. The official season didn't start much better. They let the Russian Super Cup slip away after holding on until the 98th minute, when the St. Petersburg side equalised and took it to penalties, winning 4-2 on spot-kicks (1-1 after normal time).

    The new RPL campaign was a different story. Spartak opened at home with a comfortable win over Rodina in what is now a Moscow derby (3-0). They were in control throughout - 60% possession to 40%, and nearly four times as many chances: 26 shots with 2.51 xG against 7 shots with 0.55 xG.

    Match Results: Akhmat Grozny

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Krylya Sovetov
    Krylya Sovetov
    0.69
    1.29
    6
    2
    7
    20
    3
    3
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0.69
    1.29
    6
    2
    7
    20
    3
    3
    D
    22.08.26
    RPL
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Rostov
    Rostov
    0.42
    0.26
    5
    0
    13
    17
    0
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    0.42
    0.26
    5
    0
    13
    17
    0
    2
    W
    18.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    -
    -
    11
    7
    4
    16
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    11
    7
    4
    16
    0
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    RPL
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    1.03
    1.16
    3
    4
    8
    7
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.16
    3
    4
    8
    7
    1
    4
    L
    10.08.26
    RPL
    Fakel Voronezh
    Fakel Voronezh
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    1.51
    0.76
    10
    4
    11
    14
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.51
    0.76
    10
    4
    11
    14
    2
    1
    D
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    Spartak Moscow Team Overview

    Going back to the penultimate round of last season's RPL, Akhmat have gone ten matches without a defeat. That run includes a solid preseason - they drew just once, 1-1 against Serbian side Novi Pazar. Hard to complain about results like that, especially given the transfer ban that came into effect on July 14. Though in a way, the ban pushed the club into action: seven new signings were registered, with Kirill Shchetinin, Kalidou Sidibe and Erald Maksuti standing out - the latter already on the scoresheet in Matchday 1.

    That momentum carried straight into the league. Chercheov's side opened the season away at Lokomotiv, and while the 1-1 scoreline looks modest, the match was anything but dull. Between them, the two teams managed 38 shots - 22 for Akhmat, 16 for Lokomotiv. Akhmat also came out ahead on expected goals (0.66 xG to 0.44) and possession (53% to 47%).

    Match Results: Spartak Moscow

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    RPL
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    2.08
    0.45
    6
    1
    10
    29
    2
    8
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2.08
    0.45
    6
    1
    10
    29
    2
    8
    D
    23.08.26
    RPL
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    1
    0.96
    0.76
    4
    4
    21
    13
    5
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0.96
    0.76
    4
    4
    21
    13
    5
    3
    W
    19.08.26
    Russian Cup
    Rubin Kazan
    Rubin Kazan
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    -
    -
    4
    4
    11
    14
    5
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    5
    3
    -
    -
    4
    4
    11
    14
    5
    2
    L
    16.08.26
    RPL
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Baltika Kaliningrad
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    0.90
    0.69
    5
    9
    16
    13
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0.90
    0.69
    5
    9
    16
    13
    4
    3
    W
    09.08.26
    RPL
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    1.86
    0.97
    6
    7
    13
    15
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.86
    0.97
    6
    7
    13
    15
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Akhmat Grozny

    ❌ Daniil Zorin will miss the match against his former club, where he spent a year on loan: the midfielder has an Achilles injury. There are also question marks over Jedson Fernandes, who asked to be substituted on the 63rd minute against Rodina due to muscular discomfort. Carcedo was quick to reassure, though - no serious injury for the Portuguese.

    Spartak Moscow

    ✅ On top of a busy summer in the transfer market, Akhmat have kept their squad fit and healthy. The only real losses are Rizvan Utsiev - a club legend and long-serving captain - who retired, the end of Daniil Khlusevich's loan, and the sale of Mehdi Zare for €800k.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Worth noting how solid both teams have been defensively. That applies to Akhmat in particular - the Grozny side rarely concede more than once, especially at Akhmat Arena, where seven straight matches have produced no more than two goals.

    Spartak under Juan Carlos Carcedo have also become a disciplined side, getting results through a pragmatic approach and scoring fewer than three goals in 8 of their last 9 matches across all competitions. We think total goals under 2.5 at 1.9 is the right call here.

    🚩 Corner Kick Prediction

    Last season both teams ranked in the top 7 for average corners over 30 rounds: 5.43 for Spartak against 4.53 for Akhmat. At the start of the new campaign they backed that up, combining for 17 corners in matchday 1 and outpacing their respective opponents in that department. In 6 of their previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the corner count didn't drop below nine either. We're going a step further and backing total corners over 9.5 at 1.83*.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Any team managed by Stanislav Cherchesov tends to be disciplined. The same goes for Juan Carlos Carcedo's sides. The opening round of the RPL was telling - both teams went through it without a single booking. On top of that, across their last three head-to-head meetings, they've combined for no more than three yellow cards. Given all that, total yellow cards under 4.5 at 1.61 looks worth backing.

    🚀 Player Stats Bet

    Christopher Martins is now in his sixth season at Spartak, and a regular fixture in the squad for the last five. Despite being a midfielder by trade, in the two most recent competitive matches this season the Luxembourger has played either behind the striker or as an outright centre-forward. Juan Carlos Carcedo's call has paid off. Martins is currently on a two-game scoring run and will want to keep it going. Back the versatile midfielder - Martins to score at 3.45*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    There's an interesting pattern in Akhmat's recent matches: three league rounds in a row now - going back to the end of the previous season - they've played out the exact same 1-1 scoreline. Over ten head-to-head meetings with Spartak, a draw is the most common result. Both clubs have looked decent going forward in the early stages of the new Premier League campaign. So why not back Akhmat to extend their run of exact 1-1 scorelines? Yes, it's a risk - but the odds of 6.4* make it worth considering.

    🎯 Reliable Bet

    Spartak haven't been scoring a lot lately, but they've been scoring consistently. Across all competitions, the red-and-whites have found the net in 15 of their last 16 matches - and in 10 of 11 in the league. Even in head-to-head meetings with Akhmat, the Muscovites have scored in six straight. Factor in their impressive output in matchday 1, and Spartak to score looks like a solid enough call. Available at 1.2*.

    👀 If the match doesn't go to script

    When mapping out a likely scenario, you naturally start from the favourite's strong position in the odds. There's little doubt Spartak will try to press Akhmat from the first minute. But in round one we saw a surprisingly bold Akhmat in positional play - nothing left of the low block they ran last season.

    The defensive discipline is still there, though. This new version of Cherchesov's side can keep danger away from their own goal and bite back in attack. For an upset outcome, the obvious bet is Akhmat not to lose. Bookmakers are offering 1.9* on that line.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Both sides opened the season by picking up points. A draw against Lokomotiv is a decent result for Akhmat - they were away from home, and they actually created more chances than the hosts. The summer squad overhaul seems to be helping in the final third.

    Spartak's squad quality hasn't dropped. Maybe they're not producing the same output as right after Carcedo arrived, but they score regularly. Exactly half of the last ten meetings between these two ended with both teams on the scoresheet - and so did both matches last season. That points toward Both Teams To Score - Yes again. A 1-1 draw feels like a fair result.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 31/07/2026, 16:56
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis and football specialist
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    Statistics for July 2026

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    Betting Tips: Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow

    Akhmat Grozny have drawn in the 2nd half:
    fc-akhmat-groznyfc-spartak-moscowin 6 of last 7 games against Spartak Moscow (Premier League).
    2nd Half Draw
    +163
    Akhmat Grozny have not lost:
    fc-akhmat-groznyin 7 of last 8 home games (Premier League).
    Akhmat Grozny will not lose
    -119
    Akhmat Grozny have not won:
    fc-akhmat-groznyfc-spartak-moscowin 14 of last 15 games against Spartak Moscow (Premier League).
    fc-akhmat-groznyfc-spartak-moscowin 9 of last 10 home games against Spartak Moscow (Premier League).
    fc-akhmat-groznyin 8 of last 9 games (Premier League).
    Spartak Moscow have not lost:
    fc-spartak-moscowin last 6 games.
    Spartak Moscow will not lose
    -417
    Spartak Moscow have scored under 2.5 goals:
    fc-akhmat-groznyfc-spartak-moscowin last 6 away games against Akhmat Grozny (Premier League).
    fc-spartak-moscowin 17 of last 18 away games (Premier League).
    fc-spartak-moscowin 8 of last 9 games.
    Spartak Moscow Total goals Under (2,5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Akhmat - Spartak Moscow Table position

    Premier League 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Krasnodar
    Krasnodar
    660011-418
    2.
    Spartak Moscow
    Spartak Moscow
    641111-513
    3.
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    640213-412
    9.
    Orenburg
    Orenburg
    61415-77
    10.
    Akhmat Grozny
    Akhmat Grozny
    61329-86
    11.
    Krylya Sovetov
    Krylya Sovetov
    61328-106

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 12
    +2
    +10
    19 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    6
    5
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    19
    12
    Conceded
    9
    2.6
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    8
    Both teams scored
    8
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    47'
    View all stats