Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte Prediction 4 July 2026
🔊 Both teams head into this fixture under similar circumstances: Libertad and Leones del Norte are level on points and find themselves in the lower reaches of the table. At this stage of the season, it's crucial for both sides to consistently pick up points. However, with both clubs showing only moderate attacking output and patchy form, the chances of an open game or one team dominating appear slim.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 28 February 2026 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (Leones del Norte were the hosts):
- Possession: 39% vs 61%;
- Corners: 3 vs 7;
- Fouls committed: 10 vs 5;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊 Officially, Libertad and Leones del Norte have faced each other just once. That encounter took place on 28 February 2026 at Leones del Norte's home ground and ended in a 1-1 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Leones Del Norte

Libertad Loja Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in Serie A, with Manta playing host to Libertad. The match ended in a 2-1 victory.
Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Libertad vs Manta):
- Possession: 32% vs 68%;
- Corners: 2 vs 8;
- Fouls: 17 vs 9;
- Yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 8.
Libertad have struggled over their last ten matches, managing just two wins alongside seven defeats, a clear sign of instability and a lack of confidence within the squad. Over their previous five outings, they have claimed only one victory, suffered three losses, and drawn once. This downward trend has impacted not only their results but also their attacking output: they are averaging just one goal scored per game while conceding 1.7 during this stretch. At home, Libertad tend to play with a cautious approach: each of their last six home fixtures has finished with under 9.5 corners, highlighting limited attacking intent and a lack of threat from wide areas.
Match Results: Libertad Loja

Leones Del Norte Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, facing Leonés del Norte away from home. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here’s a breakdown of the key match statistics (Leonés del Norte vs Macará):
- Possession: 59% vs 41%;
- Corners: 4 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 13 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Leones del Norte sit just one spot above their rivals, but their stats hardly suggest any clear advantage. Over their last ten matches, they have picked up four wins and suffered five defeats, consistency remains elusive. In their previous five outings, Leones del Norte have posted two victories, two losses, and a single draw, further highlighting their unpredictable form. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game during this stretch: their attacking output edges Libertad's, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Motivation in the league table appears lacking; Leones del Norte frequently come up short in key moments and continue to drop valuable points.
Match Results: Leones Del Norte
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte
- matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- win percentage: 25% vs 25%;
- losses: 7 vs 7;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 4;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Leones Del Norte have not won in last 6 away games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte
- average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.06;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.94;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.31 vs 0.44;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.5;
- Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament - 1.14;
- Leones Del Norte: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 0.8).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Libertad Loja games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Leones Del Norte games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
Libertad Loja: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88; at home field - 4.57;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 4.67.
Leones Del Norte: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 2.8.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 6 Libertad Loja home games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte
- number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Leones Del Norte away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Leones Del Norte away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (22/128, 17.2%);
- Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Leones Del Norte away most often play: 2:1 (3/6, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.76% (odds 5.6)
1:0 - 11.75% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 10.62% (odds 7.6)
- Leones Del Norte lost 1:2 in 3 of last 4 away games (Serie A).