Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte Prediction 4 July 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 Both teams head into this fixture under similar circumstances: Libertad and Leones del Norte are level on points and find themselves in the lower reaches of the table. At this stage of the season, it's crucial for both sides to consistently pick up points. However, with both clubs showing only moderate attacking output and patchy form, the chances of an open game or one team dominating appear slim.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 28 February 2026 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (Leones del Norte were the hosts):

    • Possession: 39% vs 61%;
    • Corners: 3 vs 7;
    • Fouls committed: 10 vs 5;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 6 vs 3.

    📊 Officially, Libertad and Leones del Norte have faced each other just once. That encounter took place on 28 February 2026 at Leones del Norte's home ground and ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Head-to-head statistics Libertad Loja - Leones Del Norte

    0%
    0 Wins
    50%
    1 Draw
    50%
    1 Win
    Total games
    2
    Avg. total goals
    3
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1
    Average total
    2
    4.5
    Corners
    5
    2.5
    Yellow cards
    2
    10.5
    Fouls
    10
    Last matches
    04.07.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    1
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    -
    -
    2
    7
    16
    10
    2
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    16
    10
    2
    2
    28.02.26
    Serie A
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    3
    7
    10
    5
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    10
    5
    2
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Libertad Loja Team Overview

    The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in Serie A, with Manta playing host to Libertad. The match ended in a 2-1 victory.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key statistics (Libertad vs Manta):

    • Possession: 32% vs 68%;
    • Corners: 2 vs 8;
    • Fouls: 17 vs 9;
    • Yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
    • Shots on target: 3 vs 8.

    Libertad have struggled over their last ten matches, managing just two wins alongside seven defeats, a clear sign of instability and a lack of confidence within the squad. Over their previous five outings, they have claimed only one victory, suffered three losses, and drawn once. This downward trend has impacted not only their results but also their attacking output: they are averaging just one goal scored per game while conceding 1.7 during this stretch. At home, Libertad tend to play with a cautious approach: each of their last six home fixtures has finished with under 9.5 corners, highlighting limited attacking intent and a lack of threat from wide areas.

    Match Results: Libertad Loja

    Last matches
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    1
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    7
    8
    11
    12
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    8
    11
    12
    1
    4
    W
    13.09.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    13
    13
    2
    0
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    6
    13
    13
    2
    0
    L
    07.09.26
    Serie A
    Cuenca
    Cuenca
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    12
    2
    8
    9
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    12
    2
    8
    9
    3
    2
    W
    04.09.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Emelec
    Emelec
    -
    -
    6
    5
    10
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    10
    12
    2
    1
    D
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    2
    2
    13
    9
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    13
    9
    2
    1
    L
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    Leones Del Norte Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, facing Leonés del Norte away from home. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key match statistics (Leonés del Norte vs Macará):

    • Possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • Corners: 4 vs 5;
    • Fouls committed: 13 vs 11;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • Shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    Leones del Norte sit just one spot above their rivals, but their stats hardly suggest any clear advantage. Over their last ten matches, they have picked up four wins and suffered five defeats, consistency remains elusive. In their previous five outings, Leones del Norte have posted two victories, two losses, and a single draw, further highlighting their unpredictable form. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game during this stretch: their attacking output edges Libertad's, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Motivation in the league table appears lacking; Leones del Norte frequently come up short in key moments and continue to drop valuable points.

    Match Results: Leones Del Norte

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Serie A
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    11
    13
    3
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    11
    13
    3
    4
    D
    13.09.26
    Serie A
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    1
    Tecnico Universitario
    Tecnico Universitario
    -
    -
    4
    2
    8
    13
    2
    4
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    8
    13
    2
    4
    L
    08.09.26
    Serie A
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    -
    -
    6
    5
    9
    13
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    9
    13
    0
    2
    D
    03.09.26
    Serie A
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    6
    3
    14
    11
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    14
    11
    2
    1
    W
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte

    • matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • wins: 4 vs 4;
    • win percentage: 25% vs 25%;
    • losses: 7 vs 7;
    • draws: 5 vs 5.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 4;
    • losses: 7 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Leones Del Norte have not won in last 6 away games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Libertad Loja will not lose (odds: 1.34)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte

    • average total in the tournament: 2.38 vs 2.06;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 0.94;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.31 vs 0.44;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.69 vs 0.5;
    • Libertad Loja: average total at home in the tournament -  1.14;
    • Leones Del Norte: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Libertad Loja games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Leones Del Norte games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.37)

    Prediction on corners

    Libertad Loja: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.88; at home field - 4.57;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 4.67.

    Leones Del Norte: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 2.8.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 6 Libertad Loja home games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Leones Del Norte Total Under (4,5) (odds: 1.85)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Libertad Loja vs Leones Del Norte

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 16 vs 16;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 3 (43%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Leones Del Norte away - 4 (67%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Libertad Loja at home - 1 (33%);
    • BTTS matches for Leones Del Norte away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.85)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (22/128, 17.2%);
    • Libertad Loja at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
    • Leones Del Norte away most often play: 2:1 (3/6, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 13.76% (odds 5.6)
    1:0 - 11.75% (odds 6.5)
    0:0 - 10.62% (odds 7.6)

    Trends
    • Leones Del Norte lost 1:2 in 3 of last 4 away games (Serie A).

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The teams head into this match with little at stake in terms of league position, and neither side has shown consistent attacking dominance. Libertad have adopted a cautious approach in recent home games, as evidenced by a run of six consecutive matches finishing under 9.5 corners. This trend highlights a lack of creativity from both the hosts and their opponents. Leonés del Norte, meanwhile, also struggle to generate sustained attacking pressure, and the overall matchup points towards a cagey affair. Our prediction: under 9.5 corners.

    Corners - Total Under (9,5)
    Odds-118
    Published: 02/07/2026, 12:50

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    Betting Tips: Libertad Loja - Leones Del Norte

    Leones Del Norte have not won:
    club-leones-del-nortein last 6 away games (Serie A).
    Libertad Loja will not lose
    -238
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    club-leones-del-nortein 19 of last 20 Leones Del Norte games.
    club-leones-del-nortein 17 of last 18 Leones Del Norte away games.
    club-leones-del-nortein 15 of last 16 Leones Del Norte games (Serie A).
    club-leones-del-nortein last 6 Leones Del Norte away games (Serie A).
    in 8 of last 9 Yerson Zambrano games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -435
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    libertad-lojain 6 of last 7 Libertad Loja games.
    club-leones-del-nortein last 7 Leones Del Norte games (Serie A).
    in last 5 Yerson Zambrano games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -294
    Libertad Loja have conceded:
    libertad-lojain last 11 games.
    libertad-lojain last 10 games (Serie A).
    Leones Del Norte will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    Libertad Loja - Leones Del Norte Table position

    LigaPro Primera A 2026
    MPWDLGPForm
    5.
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    301371031-2446
    6.
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    301111832-2544
    7.
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    301181133-3441
    8.
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    301091131-3239
    9.
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    301091133-3639
    10.
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    309111035-3838

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 3
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 9
    +7
    -9
    9 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    2
    2
    Draws
    3
    2
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    9
    9
    Conceded
    18
    2.5
    Average total per match
    2.7
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats