Rostov vs CSKA Prediction
🔊 Which team will lift the Russian Cup? CSKA have had an outstanding season, and a victory in the super final would be a fitting conclusion. However, Rostov are also in need of the trophy, which would be the culmination of years of work by the coaching staff and management, both of which will see changes next season. In this scenario, the "Army Men" appear to be the favorites, but not with a significant advantage. Therefore, we will explore various scenarios to make a well-founded prediction. It's worth noting that the final will take place at the Luzhniki Stadium.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the course of 41 head-to-head encounters, CSKA hold the upper hand with a 49% win rate. However, this season they have yet to defeat Rostov. In the first round of the RPL, the teams settled for a draw (0-0), and in the second, the "Army Men" surprisingly fell at home (1-2). They took an early lead, but Egor Golenkov came off the bench in the 75th minute to score twice and secure victory for Rostov.
Rostov's win last autumn was their only victory in the last 13 head-to-head matches. Therefore, it's highly likely that CSKA will not lose in regular time.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Rostov Team Overview
🟡 Rostov finished the RPL in eighth place, losing their motivation towards the end of the season. Despite playing reasonably well (at least according to head coach Jonathan Alba, who is satisfied with the players' performance), the team failed to secure a win in their last five matches.
🏆 However, in the Russian Cup, the "Yellow-Blues" are focused on results. For instance, in the Regions' Path, they knocked out both Lokomotiv (2-0) and Spartak (2-1). In both instances, Rostov triumphed away from home. Although the "Red-Whites" were significantly better, they failed to capitalize on their chances. Meanwhile, Rostov scored two goals from two shots on target.
Match Results: Rostov
CSKA Moscow Team Overview
🔴 CSKA have emerged as the top team in the second half of the RPL season. Over 15 matches, they've collected two more points than both Krasnodar and Zenit. Remarkably, they remain unbeaten in the league this spring. In the latest round, the "Red-Blues" secured a 2-0 victory over Pari NN, clinching third place. Even Artem Shumanskiy got on the scoresheet, netting his debut goal for the "Army Men" after coming on late in the game. Let's not forget, CSKA started the spring in sixth place on the table.
🏆 The Moscow side advanced to the Russian Cup superfinal via the RPL Path. In the playoffs, they knocked out Rubin and Dynamo Moscow. CSKA's journey in the final seemed in jeopardy, especially after a 0-2 away defeat to Zenit. However, they mirrored that scoreline in the return leg, scoring in stoppage time. Luck favored the "Army Men" once more as they triumphed in the penalty shootout.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Latest news
Rostov
🎙 Rostov striker Egor Golenko shared that he's willing to do almost anything for a victory in the Russian Cup final: “Vahaniya and I made a bet: if Rostov clinch the Russian Cup, I’ll get a buzz cut, and he’ll get a tattoo.”
📝 Nikolay Komlichenko and Maksim Osipenko are set to leave Rostov at the end of the season. Initially expected to join Krasnodar, Komlichenko has now agreed to terms with Lokomotiv, while Osipenko is leaning towards a move to Dynamo Moscow.
📌 Current Rostov coach Jonathan Alba is slated to join Valery Karpin’s coaching staff, as Karpin is set to take over at Dynamo Moscow next season.
❌ Rostov are gearing up for the final with nearly a full squad. The only injury concern is Eiad El-Askalany, who has featured in just three matches this season.
CSKA Moscow
🎙 CSKA defender Khellven shed light on the team's successful spring results: “Everyone has been maintaining maximum focus in every match. Of course, we have an outstanding roster. The 'diamond' formation at our core has been particularly effective, with players fitting well into it, which is yielding results. The team has united and is delivering strong performances. Perhaps this explains our spring streak.”
📝 The fate of Miralem Pjanić at the club will be decided after the Russian Cup super final. No decisions have been made yet, but the player is keen to continue playing for CSKA. Moreover, Pjanić is ready to finish his career with the army club.
❌ In the upcoming match, Rodrigo Villagra, who joined CSKA in the winter but has yet to debut for the new club, will not play. It seems the club no longer counts on the Argentine. There are no other personnel losses.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the Russian Cup superfinal will be Kirill Levnikov. He recently officiated the playoff match for a spot in the RPL between Ural and Akhmat, leaving both teams dissatisfied with his performance. The first half saw two goals disallowed, a penalty, and a red card. On average, this referee issues 5.33 yellow cards per game. Moreover, Levnikov has handed out at least four cautions in each of his last nine matches, with five of those games featuring a sending-off. Therefore, from an officiating standpoint, the superfinal promises to be eventful.
This season, CSKA hold a slight edge in yellow cards (2.2 compared to 2.1). Matches involving these teams average just over four cautions. Considering the referee's statistics and the importance of the match, betting on total yellow cards over 4.5 seems sensible.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
CSKA have played 12 matches in the Russian Cup, with only two featuring more than two goals. In their last five head-to-head encounters, there weren't even three goals scored. With the superfinal approaching, where every mistake could cost the trophy, both teams are likely to minimize errors. In this scenario, a bet on total goals under 2.5 appears highly probable.
🚩 Corner Prediction
This season, CSKA have a slight advantage in corners (4.6 compared to 4.5). Matches involving these teams average fewer than nine corners. In their two head-to-head meetings this season, there were six corner kicks each time. It's fair to say that other recent games haven't been high in corner counts either. Thus, betting on total corners under 9.5 seems well-founded.
Editor's Prediction
CSKA are rightfully considered the favorites in the grand final, yet Rostov have already overcome several top teams as underdogs, so this doesn't faze them much. We wouldn't be too surprised if the "yellow-blues" put up a fight and manage to draw in regular time, perhaps with a scoreline of 0-0. Given the typically low-scoring head-to-head encounters between these teams, a match without goals is quite possible. Based on this, our main bet recommendation is on under 2.5 goals. Emotions and battles will likely run high, but goals? Not so much.
Betting Tips: Rostov - CSKA Moscow
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
