Rostov vs CSKA Prediction
🔊 Will CSKA remain the main contender chasing Krasnodar in the Russian Premier League standings? They trail the "Bulls" by just one point, and Krasnodar are unlikely to slip up in the eighth round. Meanwhile, CSKA face a much tougher away fixture at the "Rostov Arena." The home side are desperate for points, making them potentially very dangerous. Despite this, Rostov are seen as clear underdogs. However, we'll explore various scenarios to make an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the span of 42 head-to-head clashes, CSKA hold the upper hand with a 50 percent win rate. However, last season they failed to defeat Rostov in regular time. Their away game in the Russian Premier League ended in a draw (0-0), while at the "VTB Arena," the "Yellow-Blues" celebrated a victory (2-1). The season concluded with a thrilling Russian Cup superfinal where regular time saw no goals, but CSKA came out on top in the penalty shootout.
Despite the head-to-head stats, Rostov have recently been a tough opponent for CSKA. The Moscow side haven't managed a win in their last five away games against Rostov, with each encounter ending in a draw. Considering that the "Red-Blues" have many new signings and national team players who have barely trained with the squad, it might be wise to consider this outcome - Rostov will not lose.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Rostov Team Overview
After seven rounds, Rostov have managed just one victory, defeating Pari NN 1-0, in a match where they played with a numerical advantage for most of the game. At the start of the season, head coach Jonathan Alba spoke about the fight for survival. It seemed hard to believe at the time, but those are exactly the challenges the team faces after losing key players. They needed squad reinforcements or a coaching change before the international break, but neither happened.
It appeared Jonathan Alba was on his way out, yet he remains at the helm. Perhaps the management was impressed by how the team played against Lokomotiv, securing a spirited 3-3 draw with a last-gasp equalizer. In the previous round, they shared the spoils with a resilient Akhmat, drawing 1-1 against a side clearly on the rise.
Match Results: Rostov
CSKA Moscow Team Overview
There was plenty of skepticism surrounding Fabio Celestini's appointment as the head coach of CSKA. Yet, under his leadership, the team has remained unbeaten in regular time, including in the Russian Cup. As a result, the Swiss coach was voted the best manager for July-August. However, the team has been conceding quite a few goals, with only one clean sheet, achieved in the first round against Orenburg (0-0). CSKA are among the bottom teams when it comes to allowing shots on their goal. Nevertheless, they currently sit second in the league standings.
In the seventh round, there was a head-to-head clash with Krasnodar for the top spot. As is often the case in such encounters, there were questions about the officiating. CSKA typically start matches strongly, and once again they managed to score in the first half. However, their opponents equalized before halftime. In the second half, Krasnodar were down to ten men, but the "Red-Blues" failed to capitalize on their numerical advantage (1-1).
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Latest news
Rostov
🎙 Rostov striker Timur Suleymanov shared his thoughts on the result against Akhmat: “We are playing well, maintaining possession throughout. Unfortunately, the result is disappointing, but I hope this match marks the start of something positive.”
❌ Daniil Odoyevsky will miss the upcoming match due to injury, although he hasn't been Rostov's first-choice goalkeeper this season. Additionally, Jonathan Alba cannot count on the recently recovered Umar Sako, who sustained another injury while playing for the Niger national team.
CSKA Moscow
🎙 Fabio Celestini believes that CSKA were close to securing a win against Krasnodar: "I think we could have won today. But I like how frustrated we are with the draw, understanding that we are capable of more. We still have a lot of work ahead, and there's room for improvement, especially in set pieces. Every point counts, so congratulations on earning this one."
📝 CSKA were among the most active teams in the transfer market as the window closed. On the final day, they made three signings: winger Gleb Popolitov from Chaika, Serbian attacking midfielder Matija Popovic from Napoli, and Brazilian winger Henrique Carmo from São Paulo. The club aimed to sign more high-profile players, but negotiations with their agents fell through.
❌ The acquisition of wingers comes at a crucial time, as one of their attacking leaders, Kirill Glebov, sustained an injury while on international duty and will be sidelined for at least three weeks. On a positive note, Rodrigo Villagra has recovered; he joined CSKA in the winter but has yet to make his debut for the team.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Sergei Karasev. This season, he has officiated three RPL matches, averaging 6.67 yellow cards per game. This is an exceptionally high figure, especially considering that last season he averaged only four yellow cards per match.
Rostov have the edge in yellow cards this season (2.6 compared to 2.3). Their games average 4.7 warnings, while CSKA's average is four. Last season, none of their head-to-head clashes featured more than four yellow cards, not even in the Russian Cup final. It's likely that Sergei Karasev will revert to his average from last season. Therefore, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
We've already noted that CSKA typically perform well in the first half. However, they may run out of steam or start playing to protect their lead. After a goalless draw in Orenburg, the "Army Men" scored in the first half of six consecutive rounds. Thus, we can reasonably predict a CSKA goal in the 1st half.
🚩 Corner Prediction
CSKA have the upper hand in corners this season (4.3 compared to 3.4). Rostov have never been known for accumulating a high number of corners. In eight head-to-head meetings at the "Rostov Arena," the hosts have not exceeded four corner kicks. The same holds true for 13 of their last 15 matches. Therefore, it makes sense to bet on Rostov's total corners under 4.5.
Editorial Prediction
CSKA are the favorites heading into this clash, despite the significant loss of Kirill Glebov, known for his speed on the field. Several newcomers, who are still finding their footing, might step in to fill the gap, which could lead to dropped points, especially with Rostov showing improvement lately. In light of these dynamics, a potential scoreline of 2-2 seems reasonable.
This season, CSKA have been playing a rather open style, which puts added pressure on their defense, resulting in goals conceded in nearly every match. Rostov, too, have shown their capability by performing well in their last two games, suggesting that last year's goalless draw is unlikely to repeat itself. Therefore, our key bet is on total goals over 2.5.
Betting Tips: Rostov - CSKA Moscow
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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