Zhao Xintong vs Murphy Prediction

    CHN
    Zhao Xintong
    ENG
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    128
    66
    92
    23
    68
    70
    1
    44
    80
    55
    129
    0
    62
    7
    117
    102
    7
    91
    0
    16
    60
    31
    73
    71
    74
    83
    59
    12
    59
    0
    90
    50
    105
    10
    29
    96
    43
    80

    🔊 Will the reigning world champion continue their journey? The opponent is formidable. Zhao Xintong faces off against Shaun Murphy in the quarter-finals of the tournament in Sheffield. This match could very well be the highlight of the month. The winner will be decided in a best-of-25 frames format, and we offer our prediction for this event. The final bet will be revealed at the end of the article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Murphy holds the edge in their head-to-head encounters, but Zhao Xintong has claimed victory in all their recent matches.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    3 Wins
    63%
    5 Wins
    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    20.02.26
    Players Tour Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    3
    6
    20.11.25
    World Masters of Snooker
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    4
    2
    23.11.24
    UK Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    6
    5
    18.03.21
    Pro Series
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Zhao Xintong Player Overview

    The big question is whether Zhao's performance at the World Championship is a strategic choice or if he's genuinely struggling. So far, the Chinese player hasn't been convincing. Yes, he's winning, but it seems that if his opponent were of a higher caliber, he might face some issues. Zhao allowed Liam Highfield to score too many points (10-7). The main concern is that while the world champion can pot difficult balls, he often misses the simple ones.

    This issue significantly impacted his match against Ding Junhui (13-9). Zhao let at least three frames slip away despite having a solid lead. Ding, for his part, held his ground as best as he could, delivering two excellent sessions, though he might have lacked the competitive edge in crucial moments. Meanwhile, Zhao gradually extended his lead, albeit not swiftly. He added three centuries and five half-centuries to his tally.

    Match Results: Zhao Xintong

    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    L
    24.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Ding Junhui
    Ding Junhui
    13
    9
    W
    18.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Liam Highfield
    Liam Highfield
    10
    7
    W
    05.04.26
    Tour Championship
    Judd Trump
    Judd Trump
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    3
    10
    W
    04.04.26
    Tour Championship
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    1
    10
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Shaun Murphy Player Overview

    This is intriguing. Whatever you write about Shaun Murphy, it rarely comes true. He is the most unpredictable player among the top contenders. You never know what he'll deliver in his next match. This World Championship only reinforces that notion: after a lackluster performance against Fan Zhengyi, he demolished Xiao Guodong (13-3). How does this even work?

    To be honest, Guodong greatly assisted Murphy by completely collapsing in their match. His shot accuracy was just 60 percent. Xiao managed only two half-centuries! Meanwhile, Shaun hit with an 81 percent accuracy. He racked up four century breaks and seven breaks over 50 points in this match. The players wrapped up the match in just two sessions. A magical mix of games - will Murphy stumble next?

    Match Results: Shaun Murphy

    15.05.26
    Snooker 900
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Joe Perry
    Joe Perry
    3
    5
    L
    03.05.26
    World Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Wu Yize
    Wu Yize
    17
    18
    L
    30.04.26
    World Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    17
    15
    W
    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    W
    23.04.26
    World Championship
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    3
    13
    W
    Empty
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    Editorial Prediction

    It may sound odd, but there’s a feeling that if Murphy doesn't win this match, the "Crucible curse" might be lifted. Other players seem more predictable for Zhao, yet there’s no sense that the Chinese player will face any issues here either. Shaun is too inconsistent, while Xintong gets the job done even when playing at an average level. We can't put our faith in Murphy, as he often falters against top players. A recent example is the final in Germany, where Murphy was at his peak but suffered a heavy defeat to Judd Trump. Our bet is on Zhao Xintong to win with a -2.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Zhao Xintong Handicap (-2.5) at odds of -128*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 April 2026, 06:27)

    Betting Tips: Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy

    Zhao Xintong has won
    xintong-zhaoin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Zhao Xintong Win
    -233
    Under 21.5 frames
    xintong-zhaomurphy-shaunin last 8 Zhao Xintong games against Shaun Murphy.
    murphy-shaunin last 50 Shaun Murphy games.
    Total frames Under (21.5)
    +117
    Under 22.5 frames
    xintong-zhaoin last 48 Zhao Xintong games.
    Total frames Under (22.5)
    -149
    Shaun Murphy has won with a +3.5 frames handicap
    xintong-zhaomurphy-shaunin last 5 matches against Zhao Xintong.
    Shaun Murphy Handicap (+3.5)
    -154
    View more facts