Zhao Xintong vs Murphy Prediction

    CHN
    Zhao Xintong
    ENG
    Shaun Murphy
    4
    2
    49
    74
    69
    9
    78
    88
    79
    0
    58
    101
    17
    40

    🔊 £250,000 is a prize no one would turn down. That's why the world's top snooker players have eagerly arrived in Riyadh this week. The massive prize pool will be contested over just three days. Let's take a look at the quarterfinal clash: Zhao Xintong faces off against Shaun Murphy. Here's our prediction for this encounter. The winner will be decided in a best-of-seven frames format.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Murphy holds the upper hand in their head-to-head matchups, but most of these encounters took place quite some time ago. We won't rely on this information.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    38%
    3 Wins
    63%
    5 Wins
    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    20.02.26
    Players Tour Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    3
    6
    20.11.25
    World Masters of Snooker
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    4
    2
    23.11.24
    UK Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    6
    5
    18.03.21
    Pro Series
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    1
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Zhao Xintong Player Overview

    Zhao has only suffered three losses in his last ten matches. How can we characterize the past month? It has been a period of solid snooker, with the world champion gradually finding his form. What didn't work at the start of the season is now coming together. The only downside was his setback at the Northern Ireland Open and the defeat to Brown (0-4).

    Zhao put up a fight even against Wu Yize at the International Championship, despite Wu dominating most of his opponents. He also had a strong tournament last week, making it to the semifinals. A standout moment was his victory over Kyren Wilson (6-5), though the loss to Judd Trump (2-6) might raise some eyebrows.

    Zhao is just starting his campaign in Saudi Arabia, as he didn't need to play any additional rounds. His match against Trump was his most recent. Statistically, it was a disappointing encounter: Xintong's game was off, with an accuracy rate of just 52 percent and only one break over 50. However, credit must be given to Trump, who shifted into high gear. Overall, this defeat doesn't signal much. There's no visible dip in form, and one match is unlikely to have a significant impact over the long haul.

    Match Results: Zhao Xintong

    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    L
    24.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Ding Junhui
    Ding Junhui
    13
    9
    W
    18.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Liam Highfield
    Liam Highfield
    10
    7
    W
    05.04.26
    Tour Championship
    Judd Trump
    Judd Trump
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    3
    10
    W
    04.04.26
    Tour Championship
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    1
    10
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Shaun Murphy Player Overview

    Shaun has been playing nearly as effectively as anyone on the tour in recent months. True, he experienced a slight dip in November, but over a longer stretch, he's been strong. The Englishman has faced four defeats in his last 10 matches. While there have been some unexpected setbacks, that's typical for Murphy. His aggressive snooker style naturally leads to occasional slip-ups.

    Murphy lost to Higgins at the International Championship and then fell short against Lei Peifan in the Champion of Champions tournament. Yet, these pale in comparison to his success in Saudi Arabia, where he defeated Ronnie O'Sullivan with a commanding 4-0 scoreline.

    Was it sheer determination or just a twist of fate? Perhaps a bit of both. Ronnie didn't have his best game, managing a highest break of just 46 points. Murphy, on the other hand, scored only two half-centuries. That was it. However, he was precise when it mattered most and excelled in positional play. Fans might have expected more flair, but it wasn't to be. The match turned out to be dull, even though it was Murphy's second of the day, having easily dispatched the wildcard entry earlier.

    Match Results: Shaun Murphy

    15.05.26
    Snooker 900
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Joe Perry
    Joe Perry
    3
    5
    L
    03.05.26
    World Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    Wu Yize
    Wu Yize
    17
    18
    L
    30.04.26
    World Championship
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    John Higgins
    John Higgins
    17
    15
    W
    28.04.26
    World Championship
    Zhao Xintong
    Zhao Xintong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    10
    13
    W
    23.04.26
    World Championship
    Xiao Guodong
    Xiao Guodong
    Shaun Murphy
    Shaun Murphy
    3
    13
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Editor's Prediction

    It's the third match in a short span for Murphy, and fatigue is likely setting in, compounded by his suboptimal performance statistically. On the other hand, Xintong has been delivering a more consistent game in recent tournaments. Zhao appears more reliable and has an edge if the match turns into a tactical snooker battle with a series of exchanges. Shaun needs to play aggressively and flawlessly; only then will his chances of victory be at their peak, but any slip could see him heading to the next tournament prematurely. We're backing Zhao Xintong to win.

    Our choice
    Zhao Xintong Win at odds of -123*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (20 November 2025, 06:20)

    Betting Tips: Zhao Xintong - Shaun Murphy

    Over 5.5 frames
    xintong-zhaoin 8 of last 9 Zhao Xintong games.
    Total frames Over (5.5)
    -196