New Zealand vs Australia Prediction

    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    24
    20
    13
    17
    7

    On September 27, New Zealand will go head-to-head with Australia in a pivotal Rugby Championship match at Eden Park. Can the Wallabies break their long-standing losing streak at Eden Park and snatch crucial points from the hosts in the title race, or will the All Blacks secure a victory on home turf? Find out in our insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The teams have faced each other 43 times, with Australia securing just six victories and three draws.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    80%
    36 Wins
    7%
    3 Draws
    13%
    6 Wins
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    17
    5
    11
    27.09.25
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    24
    20
    17
    13
    7
    28.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    13
    19
    13
    14
    0
    21.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    28
    31
    14
    28
    14
    3
    29.07.23
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    7
    38
    7
    19
    0
    19
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Zealand Team Overview

    Scott Robertson has announced the lineup for the match: Ardie Savea has been handed the captain's armband, and the coaching staff is banking on an experienced partnership and solidity in set pieces. The All Blacks maintain a strong backline and bench depth, providing them with tactical options throughout the game. However, New Zealand have had some disappointing performances in the tournament, and their key objective is to minimize errors in play and penalties.

    Match Results: New Zealand

    22.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Wales
    Wales
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    26
    52
    14
    24
    12
    28
    W
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    England
    England
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    33
    19
    11
    12
    22
    7
    L
    08.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Scotland
    Scotland
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    17
    25
    0
    17
    17
    8
    W
    01.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ireland
    Ireland
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    13
    26
    10
    7
    3
    19
    W
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    17
    5
    11
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Australia Team Overview

    The Wallabies enter the match with high morale; they currently top the tournament standings and consistently rack up points with late-game surges (the team often scores tries in the final quarters of matches this championship). However, Australia faces injury challenges-losing Rob Valetini and other players has complicated their selection in the back row and pack. Yet, coach Joe Schmidt has assembled a balanced squad, ready to apply high pressure and capitalize on quick transitions.

    Match Results: Australia

    22.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    France
    France
    Australia
    Australia
    48
    33
    19
    19
    29
    14
    L
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ireland
    Ireland
    Australia
    Australia
    46
    19
    19
    14
    27
    5
    L
    08.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Italy
    Italy
    Australia
    Australia
    26
    19
    9
    12
    17
    7
    L
    01.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    England
    England
    Australia
    Australia
    25
    7
    10
    7
    15
    0
    L
    25.10.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Japan
    Japan
    Australia
    Australia
    15
    19
    3
    14
    12
    5
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor’s Prediction

    We anticipate a tough, high-intensity match where the first 40 minutes will set the tone for the battle. Eden Park offers a clear advantage to the hosts-control over set pieces, attention to detail, and exploiting the home backs' pace typically decide encounters of this caliber. Australia can certainly put up a fight and capitalize on mistakes-their strength in the final stretch and ability to find tries in the last 20 minutes make them a dangerous opponent. Our bet is on the total match points being over 53.5.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (53.5) at odds of -159*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 September 2025, 10:25)

    Betting Tips: New Zealand - Australia

    New Zealand have won
    new-zealand-4australia-4in 20 of last 21 home games against Australia.
    new-zealand-4australia-4in last 11 home games against Australia (The Rugby Championship).
    new-zealand-4australia-4in last 9 games against Australia.
    new-zealand-4australia-4in last 7 games against Australia (The Rugby Championship).
    new-zealand-4in 6 of last 7 home games.
    New Zealand Win
    -667
    Under 55.5 points
    new-zealand-4in 6 of last 7 New Zealand home games (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 9 of last 10 Australia games.
    Total points Under (55.5)
    Everygame
    -111
    New Zealand scored under 33.5 points
    new-zealand-4in 7 of last 8 games (The Rugby Championship).
    New Zealand Total points Under (33.5)
    -
    Australia scored over 20.5 points
    australia-4in 6 of last 7 games (The Rugby Championship).
    Australia Total points Over (20.5)
    -115
    View more facts

    New Zealand - Australia Table position

    The Rugby Championship 2025
    gWLPForm
    1.
    South Africa
    South Africa
    64219
    2.
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    64218
    3.
    Australia
    Australia
    62411
    4.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    6249