Australia vs New Zealand Prediction 4 October 2025

    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    5
    17
    11

    On October 4, New Zealand will host Australia in the final round of the Rugby Championship. The match will take place at Optus Stadium in Perth. As the tournament reaches its thrilling conclusion, both teams have incentives to finish as high as possible: the visitors aim to affirm their upward trajectory, while the hosts seek to close the season with a victory and leave on a high note.

    Head-to-Head

    The teams have faced each other 44 times, with Australia securing only six victories and three draws to their name.

    Head-to-head statistics Australia - New Zealand

    13%
    6 Wins
    7%
    3 Draws
    80%
    36 Wins
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    17
    5
    11
    27.09.25
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    24
    20
    17
    13
    7
    28.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    13
    19
    13
    14
    0
    21.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    28
    31
    14
    28
    14
    3
    29.07.23
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    7
    38
    7
    19
    0
    19
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Australia Team Overview

    Under the leadership of Scott Robertson, the All Blacks approach the game with several personnel setbacks: lock Tupou Vaa'i is sidelined with a knee injury, and there are concerns about the fitness of several key players, forcing the coaches to adjust the lineup and make changes to the forward pack. However, key performers in the backline remain in the squad-Will Jordan, Ardie Savea, and Damian McKenzie, who bring speed and creativity to the team. Robertson is looking to offset these losses with depth and tactical flexibility. The hosts have an edge in set-pieces and top-level experience, but injuries remain a troubling factor.

    Match Results: Australia

    27.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Australia
    Australia
    South Africa
    South Africa
    42
    38
    24
    17
    18
    21
    W
    05.09.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Australia
    Australia
    28
    28
    14
    14
    14
    14
    D
    29.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Argentina
    Argentina
    Australia
    Australia
    21
    27
    14
    22
    7
    5
    W
    15.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Australia
    Australia
    Japan
    Japan
    56
    17
    21
    17
    35
    0
    W
    08.08.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Japan
    Japan
    Australia
    Australia
    32
    35
    14
    14
    18
    21
    W
    Empty
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    New Zealand Team Overview

    The Wallabies have immense motivation: the team aims to finish the tournament with a victory and pay tribute to veteran James Slipper in his farewell match. Coach Joe Schmidt has brought back several seasoned forwards, including Will Skelton and Rob Valetini, while surprisingly selecting Tane Edmed at fly-half. Throughout the tournament, Australia have demonstrated their ability to score in the final stages and play aggressively in perimeter attacks.

    Match Results: New Zealand

    12.09.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    43
    28
    17
    14
    26
    14
    L
    05.09.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    29
    24
    12
    12
    17
    12
    L
    29.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    33
    26
    24
    14
    9
    12
    L
    25.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    The Lions
    The Lions
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    35
    41
    21
    17
    14
    24
    W
    22.08.26
    Rugbys Greatest Rivalry
    South Africa
    South Africa
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    16
    33
    13
    12
    3
    21
    W
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    We anticipate a tight, emotionally charged, and tactically rich match. Key factors include New Zealand's squad availability, or rather the lack thereof, the freshness and motivation of the Australians, and their set-piece execution. The first 30-40 minutes are likely to be intense, with plenty of battles on the field. Those who have the stamina for the second half will likely come out on top. Our bet is on a total match score over 54.5.

    Total points Over (54,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-118
    Published: 03/10/2025, 11:05

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    Betting Tips: Australia - New Zealand

    Australia have lost:
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 10 games against New Zealand.
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 8 games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 4 home games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 8 of last 9 home games (The Rugby Championship).
    New Zealand to Win
    -172
    Australia scored under 28.5 points:
    australia-4new-zealand-4in 14 of last 15 games against New Zealand.
    australia-4new-zealand-4in 9 of last 10 games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 11 of last 12 games (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 10 of last 11 games.
    australia-4in last 9 home games.
    australia-4in last 6 home games (The Rugby Championship).
    Australia Total points Under (28,5)
    -
    Under 60.5 points:
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 6 Australia games against New Zealand.
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 5 Australia games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 11 of last 12 Australia games (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in last 6 Australia home games (The Rugby Championship).
    Total points Under (60,5)
    -
    New Zealand scored over 28.5 points:
    australia-4new-zealand-4in 9 of last 10 games against Australia.
    New Zealand Total points Over (28,5)
    -
    View more facts

    Australia - New Zealand Table position

    The Rugby Championship 2025
    gWLPForm
    1.
    South Africa
    South Africa
    64219
    2.
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    64218
    3.
    Australia
    Australia
    62411
    4.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    6249