Australia vs New Zealand Prediction

    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    5
    17
    11

    On October 4, New Zealand will host Australia in the final round of the Rugby Championship. The match will take place at Optus Stadium in Perth. As the tournament reaches its thrilling conclusion, both teams have incentives to finish as high as possible: the visitors aim to affirm their upward trajectory, while the hosts seek to close the season with a victory and leave on a high note.

    Head-to-Head

    The teams have faced each other 44 times, with Australia securing only six victories and three draws to their name.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    13%
    6 Wins
    7%
    3 Draws
    80%
    36 Wins
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    17
    5
    11
    27.09.25
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    24
    20
    17
    13
    7
    28.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Australia
    Australia
    33
    13
    19
    13
    14
    0
    21.09.24
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    28
    31
    14
    28
    14
    3
    29.07.23
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    7
    38
    7
    19
    0
    19
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Australia Team Overview

    Under the leadership of Scott Robertson, the All Blacks approach the game with several personnel setbacks: lock Tupou Vaa'i is sidelined with a knee injury, and there are concerns about the fitness of several key players, forcing the coaches to adjust the lineup and make changes to the forward pack. However, key performers in the backline remain in the squad-Will Jordan, Ardie Savea, and Damian McKenzie, who bring speed and creativity to the team. Robertson is looking to offset these losses with depth and tactical flexibility. The hosts have an edge in set-pieces and top-level experience, but injuries remain a troubling factor.

    Match Results: Australia

    22.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    France
    France
    Australia
    Australia
    48
    33
    19
    19
    29
    14
    L
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ireland
    Ireland
    Australia
    Australia
    46
    19
    19
    14
    27
    5
    L
    08.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Italy
    Italy
    Australia
    Australia
    26
    19
    9
    12
    17
    7
    L
    01.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    England
    England
    Australia
    Australia
    25
    7
    10
    7
    15
    0
    L
    25.10.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Japan
    Japan
    Australia
    Australia
    15
    19
    3
    14
    12
    5
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Zealand Team Overview

    The Wallabies have immense motivation: the team aims to finish the tournament with a victory and pay tribute to veteran James Slipper in his farewell match. Coach Joe Schmidt has brought back several seasoned forwards, including Will Skelton and Rob Valetini, while surprisingly selecting Tane Edmed at fly-half. Throughout the tournament, Australia have demonstrated their ability to score in the final stages and play aggressively in perimeter attacks.

    Match Results: New Zealand

    22.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Wales
    Wales
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    26
    52
    14
    24
    12
    28
    W
    15.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    England
    England
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    33
    19
    11
    12
    22
    7
    L
    08.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Scotland
    Scotland
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    17
    25
    0
    17
    17
    8
    W
    01.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Ireland
    Ireland
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    13
    26
    10
    7
    3
    19
    W
    04.10.25
    The Rugby Championship
    Australia
    Australia
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    14
    28
    9
    17
    5
    11
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editor's Prediction

    We anticipate a tight, emotionally charged, and tactically rich match. Key factors include New Zealand's squad availability, or rather the lack thereof, the freshness and motivation of the Australians, and their set-piece execution. The first 30-40 minutes are likely to be intense, with plenty of battles on the field. Those who have the stamina for the second half will likely come out on top. Our bet is on a total match score over 54.5.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (54.5) at odds of -118*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 October 2025, 11:05)

    Betting Tips: Australia - New Zealand

    Australia have lost
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 10 games against New Zealand.
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 8 games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 4 home games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 8 of last 9 home games (The Rugby Championship).
    New Zealand Win
    -172
    Australia scored under 28.5 points
    australia-4new-zealand-4in 14 of last 15 games against New Zealand.
    australia-4new-zealand-4in 9 of last 10 games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 11 of last 12 games (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 10 of last 11 games.
    australia-4in last 9 home games.
    australia-4in last 6 home games (The Rugby Championship).
    Australia Total points Under (28.5)
    -
    Under 60.5 points
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 6 Australia games against New Zealand.
    australia-4new-zealand-4in last 5 Australia games against New Zealand (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in 11 of last 12 Australia games (The Rugby Championship).
    australia-4in last 6 Australia home games (The Rugby Championship).
    Total points Under (60.5)
    -
    New Zealand scored over 28.5 points
    australia-4new-zealand-4in 9 of last 10 games against Australia.
    New Zealand Total points Over (28.5)
    -
    View more facts

    Australia - New Zealand Table position

    The Rugby Championship 2025
    gWLPForm
    1.
    South Africa
    South Africa
    64219
    2.
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    64218
    3.
    Australia
    Australia
    62411
    4.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    6249