St. Louis vs Montreal Prediction 28 October 2026
π St. Louis and Montreal currently sit outside the playoff picture, though both sides have found reasons for optimism in recent outings. The Blues managed to take down Vegas, only to then suffer a four-goal shutout at the hands of Carolina. The Canadiens, meanwhile, picked up two points from an outdoor win in Winnipeg. Still, Martin St. Louisβ team continues to struggle with holding onto leads, while the hosts have yet to show consistent form against top-tier opponents. Last season, St. Louis claimed victory in both head-to-head meetings. Can Montreal turn the tide and rewrite this unfavorable narrative?
Two wins, but in completely different fashion
π Last season, St. Louis beat Montreal twice. Their first head-to-head took place in December at the Canadiensβ home ice, where the visitors edged out a 4-3 win. Brayden Schenn led the way with a three-point night, scoring twice and adding an assist, while Cole Caufield extended his points streak to 11 games. The teams met again in January, this time in St. Louis, and the hosts needed just two goals to claim victory. Jordan Binnington stopped all 25 shots he faced, Jonathan Berggren opened the scoring, and Robert Thomas found the net shorthanded. Montreal couldnβt solve the Bluesβ defense and were shut out, 2-0.
Head-to-head statistics St. Louis - Montreal
They are still struggling against the league leaders.
Three losses in five games isnβt the most impressive run, but St. Louis have faced a tough stretch in their schedule. Jim Montgomeryβs side fell to Minnesota (4-5) and Carolina (0-4), but managed to get the better of Vegas. Against one of the Western Conference favorites, the Blues actually trailed in expected goals-2.8 to 3.4-but made their chances count. Pavel Buchnevich scored on the power play, while Dylan Holloway recorded a brace. Consistency remains an issue for St. Louis, especially given their injury woes. The likes of Mailu, Tucker, Toropchenko, and Duehr are all sidelined, and Johnstonβs status remains uncertain.
The matchup with Carolina highlighted the gap between the Blues and one of the leagueβs top contenders. Early on, the hosts created dangerous opportunities, with Dylan Holloway and Jimmy Snuggerud both threatening to break the deadlock. In the second period, Connor McMichael had a breakaway chance, but Pyotr Kochetkov came up big for the visitors once again. Then, St. Louis conceded twice in a span of 20 seconds before Logan Stankoven extended the lead. Ultimately, the Blues fell 0-4 despite Joel Hofer making 35 saves. After the game, Montgomery admitted that Carolina gave his team a lesson: their opponents maintained discipline and intensity regardless of whether the score was level or they were up by several goals.
Match Results: St. Louis Blues
Theyβve picked up points, but calm is still in short supply.
Montreal are steadily recovering from a rocky start to the season. The Canadiens have picked up at least a point in six of their last eight outings, though a few painful defeats still linger. The loss to San Jose was especially tough to swallow. Martin St. Louisβ side held a two-goal lead in the third period and outperformed the Sharks in expected goals-3.5 to 2.9-yet still fell 4-3 in overtime. The decisive goal came while Montreal were shorthanded. Another regulation defeat came against Washington (4-5). On top of that, the Canadiens have had to cope without Ivan Demidov, Sam Montembeault, and Nick Suzuki, all sidelined with injuries.
Their most recent game told a different story. In Winnipeg, Montreal took part in an outdoor showdown where neither side could break the deadlock for a long stretch. The breakthrough came in the second period: Lane Hutson finished off a play set up by Noah Dobson, and less than four minutes later, Kaiden Guhle doubled the advantage with a blue-line blast. The Jets pulled one back in the third, but couldnβt find an equalizer. Montreal held on for a 2-1 win, with Jacob Fowler stopping 33 of 34 shots. For the 21-year-old netminder, it was a landmark night-he became the youngest goalie in NHL history to start an outdoor game.
Match Results: Montreal Canadiens
Prediction for the 1st period
St. Louis have an intriguing trend when facing Montreal: the Blues have scored at least once in the opening period in 12 of their last 13 head-to-head meetings. At home, that streak stands at seven consecutive games. Even in their recent shutout loss to Carolina, the hosts created early chances. If St. Louis can capitalize on just one of those opportunities, this bet could cash before the first intermission. The pick: St. Louis individual total over 0.5 goals in the first period at 1.48.
Match Result Prediction
Montreal donβt win every time, but heavy defeats have become a rarity for the Canadiens. In nine of their last ten road games, Montreal have covered the +1.5 puck line. The overall trend is even more convincing: theyβve delivered on this bet in seven straight outings. Even when facing San Jose and Washington-games in which the Canadiens conceded four and five goals respectively-the final margin remained tight. Thatβs why backing the visitors with a positive spread looks like a more reasonable prediction than trying to pick an outright winner. The bet: Montreal +1.5 at 1.37.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head clashes in St. Louis tend to produce high-scoring hockey. In six of the last seven home games between the Blues and Montreal, the teams have combined for at least five goals. Meanwhile, the Canadiens have seen over 4.5 goals scored in each of their last five road games. Even their low-scoring win over Winnipeg doesnβt overshadow this longer-term trend, which is worth considering ahead of their trip to Missouri. The pick: over 4.5 total goals at 1.35 odds.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
βοΈ Editorial Prediction
St. Louis have been involved in high-scoring games lately. Matchups against Minnesota, Nashville, and Vegas all saw both teams combine for more than six goals. Montreal are also capable of keeping up that pace, having netted 16 goals in regulation over their last five outings. But the biggest factor here is the head-to-head history. In seven of their last eight meetings, these teams have combined for at least seven goals. Given those numbers, even a 5.5 total doesnβt seem like a tough mark to clear. My pick is over 5.5 goals.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: St. Louis Blues - Montreal Canadiens
in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
in last 11 games (NHL).in 7 of last 8 away games (NHL).
in last 8 home games against Montreal Canadiens (NHL).in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).in last 6 away games (NHL).in last 8 games (NHL).
Other predictions
