Torpedo vs Severstal Cherepovec Prediction
🔊 The series between Torpedo and Severstal shifts to Nizhny Novgorod with the score tied at 1-1. Both teams have traded dominant victories and essentially hit the reset button. The psychological edge, following a rout and numerous penalties by the opposition, seems to favor the visitors. But does it really matter? Let's delve into the key statistical trends ahead of Game 3 in this first-round series of the Gagarin Cup 2026.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Severstal and Torpedo have faced off 14 times: the Cherepovets club claimed victory in nine matches, while the Nizhny Novgorod side won five. In the Cherepovets games of the current series, the teams traded convincing wins-Torpedo took the first game 4-1, and Severstal responded with a 4-0 triumph in the second.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Torpedo N. Novgorod Team Overview
The Nizhny Novgorod club has become the first team to suffer a heavy defeat in the current playoff campaign. This loss has significantly impacted the scoring statistics for Alexey Isakov's squad. On average, Torpedo scores 2.0 goals per game in the 2026 Gagarin Cup (ranking 9th among playoff teams) while conceding 2.5 goals (also 9th). With a shooting percentage of 10.26%, Torpedo ranks sixth in the tournament.
The Nizhny Novgorod team has yet to convert a power play opportunity, going 0 for 5 - the worst record in the tournament. They have been shorthanded more than any other team (9 times), although they have managed to kill off 77.8% of those penalties. Most of these penalties came during their second game, where they faltered across all components.
Match Results: Torpedo N. Novgorod

Severstal Cherepovec Team Overview
With an average scoring rate of 2.5 goals per game, the Cherepovets team ranks sixth among playoff contenders. Severstal finds their greatest success in the third period, netting three goals. In terms of average goals conceded (2.00 per game), Severstal stands fifth in the KHL. However, their shot conversion rate is struggling at 6.58%, placing them only tenth.
When it comes to power play efficiency (22.2%), the Cherepovets club falls in the lower half of the Gagarin Cup 2026 teams. Nonetheless, their penalty kill is flawless, successfully neutralizing all five opponent attempts (100.0%).
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec
Latest news
Torpedo N. Novgorod
💬 Torpedo's head coach Yevgeny Isakov: "We took too many unnecessary penalties, which threw us off our game. We knew Severstal would start the match aggressively, but we didn't anticipate playing so much shorthanded."
❌ Torpedo's injury list is clear.
↔️ Torpedo's lineup and player combinations remain unchanged for the second game. Denis Kostin takes his place in goal for the second consecutive match.
Severstal Cherepovec
💬 Severstal forward Ivan Podshivaylo: “In the first match, we failed to capitalize on our opportunities, and that made all the difference. Both teams played with intensity, it was a typical playoff game. Our game plan in Nizhny Novgorod will remain unchanged; we've stuck to the same strategy all season.”
❌ Severstal's injury list is empty.
↔️ After the first game, defenseman Nikita Kamalov was left out of the lineup, with Grigory Vaschenko taking his place. The defensive pair of Timofey Davydov and Vladimir Grudinin was split. Ilya Chefanov replaced Nikolai Chebykin on the second attacking line, while Kirill Tankov took over for Vladislav Tsitsura on the fourth line.
⚡️ Leaders
The top point scorer for Torpedo in the current tournament is defenseman Anton Silaev, who is on the verge of moving to the NHL. He has two assists to his name and ranks among the top-scoring defensemen. The other seven players from the Nizhny Novgorod club have each recorded one point.
The scoring race leaders in the 2026 Gagarin Cup are Severstal's forwards Mikhail Ilyin and Adam Liska, each with two goals. Competing for the assist award are Danil Aimurzin, Ilya Kvotchko, and Alexander Skorenov, all with 0+2.
🥅 Goaltenders
Denis Kostin's playoff performance remains commendable, even after a heavy defeat recently. The goalie has stopped 93.4% of shots with a goals-against average of 2.50, mirroring his regular-season stats.
Alexander Samoylov's save percentage is slightly lower than his counterpart at 92.1%, but his goals-against average stands impressively at 1.54 for playoff games. Recently, Samoylov achieved his first career shutout in a Gagarin Cup match.
Editorial Prediction
Heavy defeats have a detrimental effect on Torpedo's overall performance. In seven of their last eight games following a loss by at least four goals, the Nizhny Novgorod team failed to secure a win in regulation time. The same pattern holds for three consecutive playoff games.
Considering that Torpedo have not beaten Severstal in regulation time on home ice since 2020 (11 games in a row), our pick for the upcoming match is Severstal double chance (X2).
