Severstal Cherepovec vs Torpedo Prediction
🔊 On March 25, Severstal host Torpedo once again in Cherepovets. This marks the second game of their first-round series, and such matchups often turn out to be more tactical and tightly contested. After the initial encounter, coaches have a clearer understanding of each other's strategies, meaning both teams will play with increased caution and attention to detail. The series itself appears to be one of the most evenly matched in the West: the teams share a similar style and frequently play on a knife-edge. However, Severstal hold a crucial advantage with home ice and a more consistent system throughout the season.
Head-to-Head
📊 During the regular season, the teams were evenly matched in hockey, though Severstal held a slight edge. However, their recent head-to-head encounters have seen a dip in scoring as both teams have shifted focus to defense. In the first playoff game, Torpedo claimed victory with a 4-1 win. Despite this, Severstal's performance was not lacking, outshooting their opponent 25 to 23, but they faltered in converting chances and made some defensive errors. Overall, this matchup is gradually moving away from open hockey towards a tighter style, which is particularly typical of playoff games.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Severstal Cherepovec Team Overview
Andrey Kozyrev's team finished third in the Western Conference during the regular season, marking the best performance in the club's history. Throughout the season, Severstal averaged 2.90 goals per game while conceding 2.72. A crucial factor in the playoffs remains their special teams play: the team converts power plays at a rate of 20.5%, ranking them among the top five in the West, and their penalty kill stands at an impressive 80.2%, placing them among the conference's elite.
On home ice, Severstal are particularly formidable, winning 58.8% of their home games. While their scoring slightly dips below the season average at 2.82 goals per game, their defense tightens up, allowing just 2.56 goals, making their home performance more reliable and structured.
In the first game of the series, Severstal fell 1-4, yet did not appear inferior in terms of gameplay. The team outshot Torpedo 25-23 but struggled with finishing chances. Severstal also dominated face-offs with a 56.5% success rate compared to Torpedo's 43.4%, providing additional puck control that unfortunately didn't translate into goals. Key issues were individual defensive errors and poor finishing, which often prove decisive in playoff scenarios.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec

Torpedo N. Novgorod Team Overview
Torpedo concluded the regular season in 6th place, winning 54.4% of their games. The team's average stats show 2.81 goals scored and the same number conceded per game. In terms of special teams, they slightly trail their opponents: with a power play conversion rate of 20.3%, their penalty kill is concerning at just 74.5%, one of the league's lowest. On the road, Torpedo deliver fairly solid results with a 55.9% win rate, though their scoring drops to 2.53 goals per game. Defensively, they maintain relative stability, conceding an average of 2.65 goals.
The first period of the opening game was cautious and ended in a 0-0 draw, as both teams played it safe and sized each other up. By the second period, Torpedo ramped up their aggression, pressing harder and creating more chances in front of the opponent's net.
The team played noticeably tougher, with nearly 2.5 times more hits recorded, allowing them to impose their will and disrupt Severstal's rhythm. This pressure helped them turn the game around. Additionally, an empty-net goal firmly secured the visitors' advantage.
Match Results: Torpedo N. Novgorod
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Severstal Cherepovec
💬 Head coach Andrey Kozyrev commented after the first match: "We created chances that we couldn't capitalize on. At the same time, we made a lot of individual mistakes that affected the outcome. The most devastating loss is losing your head. We lost it in crucial moments." The coach also highlighted that the team kept playing until the end and created opportunities, which is a positive going into the next match.
❌ The injury list is clear - the team approaches the match with a full-strength squad.
Torpedo N. Novgorod
💬 Head coach Alexey Isakov, following the victory, remarked: "We capitalized on our chances. We need to analyze the game and make adjustments. In the playoffs, everything starts from scratch-what worked in the regular season might not work here." The main focus is on analyzing the first encounter and preparing with the experience already gained in the series.
❌ The injury list is clear-the team approaches the match at full strength.
⚡️ Key Players
In the opening game of the series, Severstal saw Adam Liska stand out as he netted the team's sole goal in the 56th minute. Vladimir Grudinin also made his mark with an assist, while Ilya Ivantsov contributed significantly through his physical play and added dynamism to their attack.For Torpedo, multiple players stepped up to the plate. Vladislav Firstov opened the scoring in the 28th minute. Nikita Shavin then extended the lead in the 33rd minute. After the break, Yegor Vinogradov scored the third goal, and Andrey Belevich sealed the victory by hitting an empty net.
🥅 Goalkeepers
Alexander Samoylov was Severstal's mainstay in the first game, spending 57:22 on the ice before being replaced by an extra skater. He returned to the ice for the final stretch from 59:37 to 60:00. The goalkeeper saved 19 out of 22 shots, posting an 86.4% save percentage. While he didn't have a disastrous game, crucial saves were lacking in key moments for the team.Denis Kostin played the entire match for Torpedo and was a pivotal factor in their victory. He stopped 24 out of 25 shots, boasting an impressive 96.0% save percentage. The goalie performed confidently under pressure and largely neutralized Severstal's shot advantage.
Editorial Prediction
It's too early to write off Severstal after just one game-the first match of the series was more of a warm-up. The team held their own on the ice: they outshot their opponent, won face-offs, but struggled with finishing. This aspect should improve in the second match, especially since Severstal traditionally performs more confidently at home.
Throughout the season, the team has been consistently scoring-averaging 2.90 goals per game, and in head-to-head matchups, they surpassed the two-goal mark in seven out of ten occasions. Considering the home advantage and their motivation to bounce back from a loss, I anticipate a more aggressive offensive display. Our pick is Severstal's individual total over 2.5 goals.
