Winnipeg vs Montreal Prediction 25 October 2026
🔊 The teams approach this clash in starkly contrasting moods. The Jets have dropped five of their last six games and are now without Connor Hellebuyck, while the Canadiens are slowly clawing their way out of a slump. Last season, Montreal defeated Winnipeg twice, including a resounding win on the Jets’ home ice. Can the hosts claim revenge under these unusual circumstances?
Winnipeg have plenty of memories to draw on
📊 Last regular season, Montreal came out on top in both meetings. In December, the Canadiens edged out a win at home in a shootout after the game was tied 2-2 through regulation and overtime. The February clash in Winnipeg was far less dramatic, with the visitors cruising to a 5-1 victory. Brendan Gallagher and Josh Anderson each tallied three points, while Sam Montembeault made 36 saves. However, lopsided scorelines are rare in this matchup: nine of the last ten head-to-head games have finished with a total under 6.5 goals.
Head-to-head statistics Winnipeg - Montreal
Without Hellebuyck, things have become even tougher.
Winnipeg are going through a tough stretch, and parting ways with Connor Hellebuyck has certainly unsettled the team. Over the summer, the goaltender refused to report to training camp and demanded a trade, and now he’s set to continue his career in New Jersey. For Scott Arniel’s side, this is a significant blow-especially in light of their recent form. The Jets have dropped five of their last six games, though they did manage a convincing 5-2 win over Minnesota during that span. However, they ran into trouble against both Chicago and St. Louis: they fell to the Blackhawks in overtime (3-4), and managed just a single goal in a 1-2 defeat to the Blues. The injury situation is far from ideal as well. Morrissey and Namestnikov are sidelined, while Niederreiter, Mercer, Daws, and Bjugstad remain questionable for the upcoming fixture.
In their most recent outing against Dallas, Winnipeg stayed in contention for a long time thanks to Stuart Skinner’s efforts between the pipes. The goaltender stood tall against a barrage of Stars’ attacks, and in the second period, Gabriel Vilardi and Kyle Connor scored within two minutes to give the Jets a promising lead. That advantage looked like it might be enough for the win. However, Winnipeg couldn’t hold on late, as the hosts pulled their goalie for an extra attacker. Roope Hintz leveled things up before securing the overtime winner for Dallas (3-2). The Stars outshot Winnipeg 60-41 and dominated the faceoff circle 40-24. Skinner kept the visitors in it, but Winnipeg’s skaters surrendered momentum far too often. Now, the Jets are set to face another opponent who know how to turn things around as a game progresses.
Match Results: Winnipeg Jets
Results are improving, but the defense still leaves much to be desired.
After a strong campaign last season, Montreal were expected to get off to a more confident start. However, Martin St. Louis’ side currently sit outside the playoff picture, with their biggest issue being the sheer number of goals they have conceded. Through ten games, the Canadiens have allowed opponents to score 35 times-no other team among the top 12 in the Eastern Conference has a worse defensive record. Still, Montreal have managed to pick up points in five of their last six outings. Even their overtime loss to San Jose (3-4 OT) earned them a point, though the nature of that defeat left a bitter taste. The Canadiens held a two-goal lead in the third period but let it slip away, in part due to penalty trouble. Injuries to Demidov, Montembeault, Florian Djeckaj, and Suzuki only complicate matters further.
On the bright side, Montreal managed to bounce back and correct previous mistakes in Chicago. The Blackhawks struck first, opening the scoring inside five minutes. But the Canadiens responded before the first intermission, as Jake Evans finished off a move involving Kirby Dach and Owen Beck. In the second period, Evans struck again-this time shorthanded-and later set up Kaiden Guhle for his first goal of the season. In the closing stages, Mike Matheson found the empty net to seal a 4-1 win. Evans finished with three points, while Jacob Fowler stopped 20 shots. Crucially, after conceding early, Montreal shut the door on Chicago’s offense-a significant response for a team that recently squandered a lead against San Jose. This victory carries added weight for a group looking to steady themselves.
Match Results: Montreal Canadiens
Prediction for the 1st period
Winnipeg have long struggled to find their rhythm early in games. The Jets have failed to win the opening period in 20 of their last 21 outings. Montreal, meanwhile, are unbeaten in the first 20 minutes for ten straight games, nine of those coming in the NHL. The bet: Montreal to avoid defeat in the first period at odds of 1.38.
Match Result Prediction
Despite their ongoing losing streak, Winnipeg rarely lose by a wide margin. In nine of their last ten games, the Jets have managed to cover the +1.5 spread. Even their recent setbacks against Chicago, St. Louis, and Dallas ended with just a one-goal difference. The pick: Winnipeg +1.5 handicap at 1.38.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Montreal are enjoying a noticeable uptick in results, but their defense still leaves much to be desired. The Canadiens have conceded 35 goals in their last ten games, and they recently let a two-goal lead slip against San Jose. Winnipeg, meanwhile, are far from their best: they’ve dropped five of their last six and are still reeling from the loss of their starting goaltender. However, the head-to-head history suggests we shouldn’t necessarily expect a high-scoring affair, even given both teams’ current struggles. In their last nine meetings, these sides have never combined for more than six goals. On top of that, Winnipeg have often been involved in tight contests lately. My pick is under 6.5 total goals.
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Betting Tips: Winnipeg Jets - Montreal Canadiens
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