Toronto vs Chicago Prediction 17 December 2025
📣 On the horizon is a regular-season clash between Toronto and Chicago, set to take place at the Scotiabank Arena. Both teams are eager to climb the standings and inch closer to the playoff zone. How will the absence of Connor Bedard affect the scoring prowess of the Illinois squad? This is the question we aim to address in this prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 A breakdown of the head-to-head statistics between Toronto and Chicago:
- They have faced off in 33 games;
- The home team has secured 13 wins (including overtime), while the visitors have claimed 20 victories;
- Goals scored: 102 versus 118;
- Average total goals in the 1st period - 2.12, in the 2nd - 2.21, in the 3rd - 2.09;
- Average total goals per match - 5.88.
The last encounter between these teams was on 16 November 2025 at Chicago's arena, ending in a 3-2 scoreline.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto - Chicago
Toronto Maple Leafs Team Overview
The Maple Leafs have managed just two wins in their last five outings. On home ice, Matthews and company are averaging around 3.21 goals per game, which is a respectable figure. However, their defense leaves much to be desired, as they allow nearly the same number of goals. This often renders their offensive efforts futile. While the team's attack is a delight for fans, the defense is a cause for concern. Additionally, player discipline is questionable. Interestingly, even the home advantage hasn't led to decisive victories in regulation time - in eight of their last nine home games, Toronto has settled for a tie in regulation. Defenseman Chris Tanev and goaltender Joseph Woll are close to returning to the lineup, which should bolster the home side's defense.
Match Results: Toronto Maple Leafs
Chicago Blackhawks Team Overview
Chicago are currently navigating a challenging period. Over their last five games, the Blackhawks have managed just one win. They often find the back of the net by the end of the first period-this trend is particularly evident in their head-to-head matchups against Toronto. However, as the game progresses towards the final buzzer, things change: their defense falters, and Chicago concede an average of 3.56 goals per game, which ranks among the worst in the league. This situation clearly calls for drastic measures and a tactical overhaul from the coaching staff. Offensively, the scenario is complicated by the loss of their top scorer, Connor Bedard, who will be sidelined for Chicago until at least December 20. Meanwhile, captain Nick Foligno is nearing a return to the lineup, having been out since mid-November.
Match Results: Chicago Blackhawks
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matchups:
- Total encounters - 33;
- First period home victories - 7; away victories - 5;
- Average total in the first period: 2.12;
- Today's home team averages 0.88 goals, while the visitors average 1.24.
First Period Statistics: Toronto Maple Leafs (home) vs Chicago Blackhawks (away)
- Tournament games played: 19 vs 16;
- Wins: 7 (36.84%) vs 2 (12.5%);
- Losses: 4 (21.05%) vs 5 (31.25%);
- Draws: 8 (42.11%) vs 9 (56.25%).
- Average goals scored: 0.95 vs 0.69;
- Average goals conceded: 0.74 vs 0.94.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 6 vs 1;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first period total: 1.5 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.9).
- Toronto Maple Leafs have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in the first period in six consecutive head-to-head games against Chicago.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 33;
- Home team wins - 13, Away team wins - 20.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs have failed to win in regulation time at home in 8 of their last 9 games.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Average goals per match for the home team - 3.09, for the away team - 3.58;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 5.88;
- Both teams scored in the first period - 14 times;
- Both teams scored in the second period - 18 times;
- Both teams scored in the third period - 14 times.
Statistics: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks
- Average tournament total: 6.29 versus 5.69;
- Average goals scored: 3.29 versus 2.84;
- Average goals conceded: 3.29 versus 3.06;
- Toronto Maple Leafs: average home total in the tournament - 3.21;
- Chicago Blackhawks: average away total in the tournament - 2.94;
- Last 10 games (average goals scored): 3 (home - 2) versus 2.2 (away - 1.6).
- Chicago scores more than 1.5 goals on the road in 14 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings with Toronto.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Chicago have been struggling both defensively and offensively lately. A four-game losing streak emphasizes the need for a strategic overhaul for the Blackhawks. Considering Connor Bedard's absence from the lineup, and the fact that even with Bedard, the team has failed to score more than two goals in 4 of their last 5 games, let's consider a bet on Chicago's individual total under 2.5 goals. With the potential return of Joseph Woll and Chris Tanev for the Leafs, this bet seems well-founded.
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Betting Tips: Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks
in 7 of last 8 games against Chicago Blackhawks (NHL).in last 9 games (NHL).in 12 of last 13 games (NHL).in 11 of last 12 away games (NHL).
in last 9 home games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 home games (NHL).in 14 of last 15 away games against Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL).
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