Colorado vs Dallas Prediction 15 October 2026
🔊 Colorado and Dallas barely had time to settle their scores in Texas before they're set to clash again-this time in Denver. The Avalanche took the opener, though by the run of play, the Stars hardly deserved to lose. Both sides are still searching for consistency, but their issues differ: Colorado are giving up far too many chances in their own end, while Dallas are struggling to find the back of the net. Still, after yesterday’s contest, it’s clear this matchup can get physical-even in October.
Winning at home is not a must.
📊 Last regular season, these teams faced off four times, with the away side coming out on top in every encounter. The first two meetings saw the clubs trade shootout victories, each finishing 5-4, before Dallas edged out a 2-1 shootout win in Denver. The final clash of the campaign ended with Colorado shutting out the Stars 2-0 in Texas, as the Avalanche netted both goals in the last ten minutes of the third period.
This season has picked up right where things left off. Most recently, Colorado once again claimed victory on the road, this time by a 3-2 margin. That makes it five consecutive head-to-head games where the visitors have prevailed. However, it's worth noting that the last three matchups have been noticeably lower-scoring compared to the high-octane contests at the start of last season.
Head-to-head statistics Colorado - Dallas
Blackwood helps Toronto bounce back
Colorado have come out strong, winning four of their first six games, though not without a few stumbles along the way. The home defeat to Toronto (3-6) was particularly painful-Avalanche outshot the Maple Leafs 33-23 but were far too generous in front of their own net. MacKenzie Blackwood bounced back in the very next outing, stopping 24 shots against Dallas. Martin Nečas netted a brace, Artturi Lehkonen scored his fourth goal of the campaign, and Nathan MacKinnon picked up two assists. Still, even with a 3-1 lead, Jared Bednar’s side couldn’t avoid a tense finish: Roope Hintz pulled one back for Dallas, forcing Colorado to defend a narrow advantage down the stretch. Offensively, though, Avalanche continue to impress-29 goals in six games, averaging 3.47 expected goals per contest, and MacKinnon already tallying 12 points (5 goals, 7 assists).
Match Results: Colorado Avalanche
There are plenty of chances, but goals remain in short supply.
Dallas opened the season with back-to-back defeats, then routed San Jose 5-0 and Buffalo 4-0, but couldn’t build on that momentum. After six games, Glen Gulutzan’s side have picked up just five points, despite the defense showing signs of improvement lately. Last night against Colorado, the Stars outshot the Avalanche 26-25, dominated the faceoff circle 36-27, and led in shot attempts 59-47. Tyler Seguin and Roope Hintz both found the net, with Miro Heiskanen providing two assists, but it still wasn’t enough for the win. The main issue remains unchanged: over their last 140 minutes of play, Dallas have managed just one even-strength goal. Their average output stands at only 2.17 goals per game-ranking 30th in the NHL. Even with solid puck movement and a decent number of chances, the Stars are struggling to convert opportunities into goals.
Match Results: Dallas Stars
Prediction for the 1st period
Dallas rarely find themselves in high-scoring shootouts right from the opening faceoff. In eight of their last nine games, the Stars have seen no more than two goals scored in the first 20 minutes. Their previous outing followed a similar pattern, with the score tied at 1-1 after the first period. Given this trend, expecting three or more goals in the opening frame seems unlikely. The recommended bet is under 2.5 goals in the first period.
Total Prediction
Despite generating plenty of shots, Dallas are struggling to convert their chances right now. They found the net only twice in yesterday’s game, and over their last 140 minutes at even strength, the Stars have managed just one goal. On the road, Dallas rarely hit four goals either: their individual total has stayed under 3.5 in six of their last seven away fixtures. The pick here is Dallas under 3.5 goals (individual total).
Outcome Prediction
Yesterday’s defeat doesn’t quite tell the full story of Dallas’s performance. The Stars generated more shots on goal, dominated in the faceoff circle, and stayed within striking distance right up until the final minutes. This level of competitiveness has become a trend: Dallas have covered the +1.5 spread in five straight games, and this bet has paid off in seven of their last eight road outings. Even if Colorado come out on top again, it’s unlikely the hosts will run away with a comfortable margin. The pick - Dallas +1.5 handicap.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Colorado have racked up 29 goals over their last six games, but Dallas have already shown they can contain the Avalanche’s offense. Just yesterday, the Avalanche were held to three goals, with one of those coming from Martin Necas during a 5-on-3 power play. The Stars continue to struggle converting chances at even strength, but their defensive play has improved significantly since a shaky start to the season.
There’s good reason to expect another low-scoring contest in this rematch. None of Dallas’ last ten games have seen more than six goals in regulation, and the under 6.5 has hit in five straight outings. The last three head-to-head meetings have also finished with five goals or fewer. Given how hard the Stars are finding the back of the net and how fiercely both sides battled in the previous game, a sudden surge in scoring seems unlikely. My pick is under 6.5 total goals.
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