Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Prediction 14 January 2026
🔊 On the ice in Pittsburgh, teams are set to clash as they aim to climb the standings in the Eastern Conference. The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Tampa Bay Lightning at the PPG Paints Arena. The home team finds themselves mid-table, fighting for a playoff spot, while the visitors from Tampa are comfortably in the top three and looking to extend their winning streak. However, bookmakers don't see a clear favorite in this matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊Review of the statistics of official matches between the teams Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning:
- played 49 matches;
- at home ice 28 wins (including extra time), away - 21;
- scored goals: 180 against 154;
- average total of the 1st period - 1.78, 2nd - 2.41, 3rd - 2.49;
- average total of the match - 6.67.
The last time the sides met was on 05 December 2025 at the arena of the team Tampa Bay Lightning - the match score was 3:4.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Pittsburgh Penguins Team Overview
The Pittsburgh Penguins have been displaying inconsistent form lately. The Penguins have suffered back-to-back losses, despite recently enjoying a six-game winning streak. This slump has knocked them out of playoff contention. At home, they average 3.38 goals per game, but they also concede quite a bit, with an average of 3.62 goals against per game. Dan Muse's squad primarily relies on their defense, as even in recent disappointing outings against Calgary (1-2) and Boston (0-1), they showed some defensive resilience. However, their offense leaves much to be desired and remains the team's weak link.
Match Results: Pittsburgh Penguins
Tampa Bay Lightning Team Overview
The Tampa Bay Lightning are riding a wave of success, boasting a five-game winning streak in regulation. The Bolts remain unbeaten in their last ten outings, solidifying their position at the top of the Eastern Conference. Their offense is impressive, averaging four goals per game on the road, while maintaining a relatively sturdy defense, allowing just 2.39 goals against. John Cooper's squad favors an aggressive style of play with quick transitions from defense to offense, showcasing their effectiveness early on by scoring in the first period for six consecutive games.
Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning
Prediction for the 1st period
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First period wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors - 4;
- Average total in the first period: 1.78;
- Today's home team averages 0.88 goals in the first period, while the visitors average 0.9.
First Period Stats: Pittsburgh Penguins (home) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 23;
- Number of wins: 9 (42.86%) vs 14 (60.87%);
- Number of losses: 6 (28.57%) vs 5 (21.74%);
- Number of draws: 6 (28.57%) vs 4 (17.39%).
- Average goals scored: 1.14 vs 1.39;
- Average goals conceded: 0.9 vs 0.74.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 7;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average total in the first period: 2.5 (scored - 1.6, conceded - 0.9) vs 2.1 (scored - 1.3, conceded - 0.8).
- Pittsburgh Penguins scored over 0.5 goals in the 1st period in 9 of last 10 home games against Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL).
- Pittsburgh Penguins scored over 0.5 goals in the 1st period in 7 of last 8 home games (NHL).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 49;
- Number of wins for the home team - 28, for the away team - 21.
- Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost (in regular time) in last 10 games (NHL).
- Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost (in regular time) in last 9 away games (NHL).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total goals per match for the home team - 3.67, for the away team - 3.14;
- average total goals in H2H - 6.67;
- both teams scored in the 1st period - 13 once;
- both teams scored in the 2nd period - 25 once;
- both teams scored in the 3rd period - 26 once.
Statistics: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- average total in the tournament: 5.95 vs 6.02;
- average total goals scored: 3.18 vs 3.59;
- average total goals conceded: 3.07 vs 2.61;
- Pittsburgh Penguins: average total at home in the tournament - 3.38;
- Tampa Bay Lightning: average total away in the tournament - 4.04;
- last 10 matches (average total goals scored): 3.7 (home - 3.6) vs 5.1 (away - 5.33).
- Tampa Bay Lightning scored over 2.5 goals in last 6 games against Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
An intense clash is expected between two teams with contrasting styles of play. Considering the current form of both sides, Tampa appear to be the favorites. We believe the Lightning will extend their scoring streak, even with a third consecutive road game. They have netted more than two goals in six straight matchups against Pittsburgh and have recently showcased remarkable scoring prowess, hitting 3+ goals in ten consecutive games. Therefore, our primary pick is Tampa Bay to score over 2.5 goals.
Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning
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