Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Prediction 5 December 2025

Details
The main thing
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
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    🔊 The upcoming clash between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Pittsburgh Penguins promises to be thrilling. Both teams are near the top of the standings, and this encounter could significantly impact their progress. For the home side, it's an opportunity to solidify their position among the league's leaders, while the visitors from Pittsburgh aim to enhance their standing and secure a playoff spot.

    Head-to-Head

    Review of the official head-to-head statistics between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins:

    • They have faced off in 48 games;
    • The home team has secured 21 victories (including overtime), while the visitors have claimed 27;
    • Goals scored: 151 for the hosts, 176 for the guests;
    • Average goals in the 1st period - 1.79, in the 2nd - 2.4, in the 3rd - 2.48;
    • Average total goals per match - 6.67.

    The last meeting between the sides was on 25 March 2025 at the Tampa Bay Lightning's arena, with a final score of 6-1.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    45%
    23 Wins
    55%
    28 Wins
    02.04.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    6
    3
    1
    2
    3
    0
    2
    1
    14.01.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    05.12.25
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    3
    4
    0
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    25.03.25
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    6
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1
    12.01.25
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    3
    Empty
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    Tampa Bay Lightning Team Overview

    In matchups like these, it's common for secondary players to take the spotlight, and the upcoming clash will be no exception. This could impact the usual gameplay of the Tampa Bay Lightning. Analyzing their last 10 games, the numbers speak for themselves: the team has secured 8 wins and suffered 2 losses. Over this 10-game stretch, they have averaged 3.6 goals per game, with an average of 3.4 goals scored at home, while conceding an average of 1.9 goals.

    Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning

    03.05.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    L
    01.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    W
    29.04.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    L
    26.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    2
    W
    24.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Pittsburgh Penguins Team Overview

    The Pittsburgh Penguins are set to showcase their determination in the upcoming clash. To gain a deeper understanding of the team's current form, let's examine their performance over the last 10 games. The team's record during this stretch shows 4 wins and 6 losses. It's crucial to note the goal statistics: they have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches, while conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game over the same period.

    Match Results: Pittsburgh Penguins

    29.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    27.04.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    W
    26.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    2
    4
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2
    W
    22.04.26
    NHL
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    5
    2
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2
    1
    L
    20.04.26
    NHL
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 48;
    • Home victories - 21, away victories - 27.
    Trends
    • Tampa Bay Lightning remain unbeaten in regulation time in 7 of their last 8 NHL games.
    👉Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose(odds: 1.24)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Average goals per game for the home team - 3.15, for the visitors - 3.67;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 6.67;
    • Both teams scored in the 1st period - 13 times;
    • Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 24 times;
    • Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 25 times.

    Statistics: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins

    • Average tournament total: 5.65 vs 5.76;
    • Average goals scored: 3.27 vs 3.16;
    • Average goals conceded: 2.58 vs 2.84;
    • Tampa Bay Lightning: average home total in the tournament - 3.08;
    • Pittsburgh Penguins: average away total in the tournament - 3.25;
    • Last 10 games (average goals scored): 3.6 (home - 3.4) vs 2.5 (away - 2.75).
    Trends
    • Tampa Bay Lightning have scored over 2.5 goals in five consecutive head-to-head NHL matches against Pittsburgh Penguins.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (5,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Editorial Prediction

    The upcoming clash between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Pittsburgh Penguins promises to be intense. Both teams have been high-scoring, as evidenced by trends showing totals over 5.5 goals in recent home games for the hosts. Considering their current form, Tampa Bay have won 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.6 goals per game, which highlights their potent offense and solid defense, allowing just 1.9 goals on average. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh have been less consistent, suffering 6 losses in their last ten outings and conceding more than two goals per game. Our bet is on the total being over 5.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (5,5) at odds of -137*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 December 2025, 16:51)

    Betting Tips: Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins

    Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost the 1st period:
    tampa-bay-lightningpittsburgh-penguinsin 11 of last 12 home games against Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin 9 of last 10 games (NHL).
    1st Period Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose
    -333
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not won the 3rd period:
    tampa-bay-lightningpittsburgh-penguinsin 6 of last 7 home games against Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL).
    Pittsburgh Penguins have not lost the 3rd period:
    pittsburgh-penguinsin 9 of last 10 away games (NHL).
    3rd Period Pittsburgh Penguins will not lose
    -182
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost the 3rd period:
    tampa-bay-lightningin last 8 games (NHL).
    3rd Period Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose
    -286
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not lost (in regular time):
    tampa-bay-lightningin 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
    Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose
    -303
    View more facts

    Tampa Bay - Pittsburgh Table position

    Eastern Conference
    gWLPPForm
    2.
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    825032288-241109
    3.
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    825032290-231106
    4.
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    824834283-256106
    6.
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa Senators
    824438278-24699
    7.
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    824141293-26898
    8.
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia Flyers
    824339250-24398