Severstal Cherepovec vs SKA St. Petersburg Prediction 13 October 2026
🔊 Just a week ago, Severstal put five past SKA in St. Petersburg. Now the series shifts to Cherepovets, and the situation for the visitors hasn't improved in the days since. SKA are winless in regulation across their last five games, while Andrei Kozyrev’s side return home riding a four-game winning streak. Still, SKA’s recent comeback against Dynamo Moscow is a reminder that it’s too soon to count the visitors out. Can Severstal once again exploit their opponent's defensive frailties?
Head-to-Head
📊 On October 6, Severstal stunned SKA on their home ice with a commanding 5-2 victory. Early in the first period, Denis Yan and Ioannis Kaldis gave the visitors a two-goal cushion. Danil Aimurzin pulled one back for SKA, but after the break, Ruslan Abrosimov and Timofey Davydov forced the hosts to chase the game once again. Aimurzin completed his brace, but it was Nikita Artamonov who sealed the win with an empty-netter. While this was a convincing win for Severstal, the head-to-head record in Cherepovets tells a different story. In 27 of their last 29 home games against the Army Men, Severstal have failed to claim victory in regulation. So, despite SKA’s current struggles, repeating that recent success will be no easy task.
Head-to-head statistics Severstal Cherepovec - SKA St. Petersburg
Four wins, each with its own story
Severstal are on a four-game winning streak, averaging four goals per game on the road. Ruslan Abrosimov and Danil Veryaev have each found the net twice during this stretch. Against SKA and Torpedo, the Cherepovets side seized the initiative early, scoring twice in the opening period of both matchups. Things played out differently in Kazan, where Ak Bars struck first and held onto their lead for much of the game, with Kozyrev’s team only managing to respond late in the second period. The head coach admitted that the opening belonged to their opponents, but after tactical adjustments, Severstal managed to turn the tide.
The 4-1 victory over Ak Bars stands out for its clinical finishing. Severstal converted four goals from just 20 shots on target, with three of those coming in the third period. Danil Veryaev leveled the score, Ivan Podshivaylov put the visitors ahead just 17 seconds after the break, before Thomas Gregoire and Ilya Ivantsov sealed the result. Defensively, Severstal blocked 21 shots. After the game, Abrosimov noted that with a lead, the team looks to keep things simple and cut off attacking lanes. On the personnel front: Burenov is sidelined with injury, Samoylov remains questionable, while Adam Liska has returned to full training with the squad.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec
They show character, but the results just aren’t there.
In October, SKA have struggled to rediscover their scoring touch. They edged Admiral only in a shootout before stumbling against Severstal and Dinamo Minsk. Not long ago, the Army Men were putting up at least four goals in five consecutive games, but over their last two outings, they have managed just two goals each. Defensive lapses remain a pressing concern-SKA have now allowed at least three goals in seven straight contests. Ahead of another clash with Severstal, this is an especially worrying trend. The situation is further complicated by injuries, with Bardakov, Weissbach, Murphy, and Wilson all sidelined.
SKA suffered another defeat against Dinamo Moscow, though they nearly salvaged a point. Trailing 1-3 entering the third period, Matvei Korotky and Vasily Atanasov struck twice in two minutes to level the score. Earlier, Vladislav Syomin netted his first goal of the season. SKA fired 29 shots on target compared to Dinamo’s 40, conceding twice while shorthanded. Overtime lasted just 33 seconds before Dinamo sealed a 4-3 win. SKA showed resilience, but persistent issues with discipline and defending their own net continue to haunt them.
Match Results: SKA St. Petersburg
Prediction for the 1st period
Severstal have scored in the first period in eight of their last nine home games against SKA. Just a week ago, the Cherepovets side came out strong again and found the net twice before the first intermission. Given how frequently the Army Men have been conceding lately, it makes perfect sense to expect another early goal from the hosts in the opening 20 minutes. My pick: Severstal over 0.5 goals in the first period (individual total).
Match Outcome Prediction
SKA’s current form raises some concerns, but their track record on the road against Severstal remains impressive. The St. Petersburg side have avoided defeat in regulation time in 27 of their last 29 visits to Cherepovets. Moreover, their recent clash with Dynamo Moscow demonstrated that Igor Larionov’s squad are capable of mounting a comeback even after conceding twice. With that in mind, our well-founded prediction is that SKA will not lose in regulation time (Double Chance X2).
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Severstal have been finding the net in all kinds of situations lately. Against SKA, they set the tone in the opening period, while versus Ak Bars, they came from behind to score three times in the final stretch. In Kazan, they needed only 20 shots on target to notch four goals-a clinical conversion rate that bodes well ahead of a clash with a team struggling defensively.
SKA have conceded at least three goals in seven straight games. Severstal, meanwhile, have topped the 2.5 individual goal mark in seven of their last eight outings. St. Petersburg are capable of putting up a fight-as their recent comeback against Dynamo showed-but for our pick, the match result is irrelevant. All that matters is the home side finding the back of the net three times. My pick: Severstal over 2.5 individual goals.
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Betting Tips: Severstal Cherepovec - SKA St. Petersburg
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