HC Barys Astana vs Admiral Prediction 12 November 2026
🔊 HC Barys Astana are finally returning to Astana. Their last home game was back on 14 October, and a lengthy road trip ended with three straight defeats. The Kazakh club now have a chance to turn things around in front of their home fans. Their opponents, though, are familiar and have proved difficult to beat. Just a few days ago, Admiral Vladivostok beat HC Barys Astana in Vladivostok, scoring five goals to secure the win. Since then, HC Barys Astana have lost again, while Admiral Vladivostok head into this game on a two-game winning streak.
Nine goals and a late twist
📊 On 6 November, the teams traded goals in a high-scoring game in Vladivostok. HC Barys Astana led 2-0 by the ninth minute thanks to goals from Asanali Sarkenov and Logan Day. However, Admiral Vladivostok fought back and then took the lead. In the third period, Justin Bailey scored on the power play to level the game at 4-4. It looked as though the game was heading to overtime, but Grigory Vashchenko scored his first goal of the season in the 58th minute. That goal gave Admiral Vladivostok a 5-4 win.
Head-to-head statistics HC Barys Astana - Admiral
Plenty of shots, hardly any goals
HC Barys Astana ended their nine-game road trip with three straight defeats. In four of their last six games, they scored no more than one goal. That is despite a striking statistic: Mikhail Kravets’s team lead the KHL in average shots on goal, with 32.7 per game. HC Barys Astana are also among the top five teams in the Eastern Conference for expected goals, at 2.83 xG. They are creating chances, but struggling to finish them. Even Justin Bailey’s production of 24 points (13+11) has yet to help turn things around.
HC Barys Astana ran into the same problem again in Khabarovsk. The visitors played confidently in the first period, allowing Amur just two shots on goal. The hosts scored on the power play in the second period, then focused on defence. HC Barys Astana pressed especially hard in the third period, outshooting their opponents 18-4. But Alexander Trushkov kept them off the scoresheet. Late on, HC Barys Astana pulled their goaltender and conceded an empty-net goal (0-2). They finished the game with 39 shots on goal to Amur’s 22.
Match Results: HC Barys Astana
Few chances, but clinical finishing
Admiral Vladivostok have improved noticeably in attack in recent games. Over five games, they averaged 3.6 goals, despite not always outshooting their opponents. Their home run was particularly successful: they first beat SKA 4-0, then overcame HC Barys Astana. In both games, Oleg Bratash’s team had significantly fewer shots on goal than their opponents but made better use of their chances. The power play helped too, producing three goals from eight opportunities. Their power-play percentage for the season, however, is still 18.3%.
In their most recent game against HC Barys Astana, Admiral Vladivostok had to come from behind twice. After a poor start, Danila Moiseyev cut the deficit, while Daniel Usmanov and Artyom Pimenov helped bring them level in the second period. Borna Rendulic then put the hosts ahead with a one-timer on the power play. The third period brought more dangerous moments: both teams took turns surviving five-on-three situations, and Admiral Vladivostok eventually conceded after another penalty. But Grigory Vashchenko had the final say. His goal in the 58th minute gave Admiral Vladivostok their second straight win.
Match Results: Admiral Vladivostok
Prediction for the 1st period
First-Period Prediction
HC Barys Astana have failed to win the first period in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head games against Admiral Vladivostok. In addition, HC Barys Astana have failed to score in the first period in 6 of their last 7 KHL games. We pick Admiral Vladivostok to avoid defeat in the first period at odds of 1.47.
Total Goals Prediction
Total Goals Prediction
Over 4.5 goals has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head games. HC Barys Astana have averaged 4.13 goals scored per home game this season, while Admiral Vladivostok have allowed 2.64 per away game. At the same time, HC Barys Astana have allowed an average of just 1 goal in their recent home games, tempering expectations for the combined score. We pick Over 4.5 Goals in the Game at odds of 1.45.
Safer Bet
Reliable Bet
Under 2.5 goals in the first period has landed in 20 of the last 21 head-to-head games. This season, Admiral Vladivostok average 0.55 goals in the first period away from home, while HC Barys Astana allow 1 at home. We’re backing Under 2.5 goals in the first period at odds of 1.22.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
The second period between these opponents is often higher-scoring than the overall nature of the game might suggest. In eight of their last nine head-to-head games, the teams scored at least two goals after the first intermission. In Astana, that bet landed in seven of the previous eight meetings. There is also a separate argument based on the hosts’ home record: the second period produced over 1.5 goals in eight of HC Barys Astana’s last nine home games. Their recent game in Vladivostok followed the same pattern, with the teams scoring four times in the second period. My pick is Second Period Total Goals Over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: HC Barys Astana - Admiral Vladivostok
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