Calgary vs New York Rangers Prediction 12 November 2026
🔊 Calgary have been playing well on home ice lately. Even when a game is going badly, the Flames find a way to get back into it. Still, it will not be easy against the New York Rangers. The Rangers recently won three games in a row, but their trip to Edmonton ended in defeat, largely because of a goaltending error. They now face a team they lost to on the road last season. Igor Shesterkin’s absence adds to the intrigue. Can Calgary take advantage of it?
Revenge with a clean sheet
📊 The teams met twice last season, with the home side winning both games. Calgary made home-ice advantage count first, beating the Rangers 5:1. Blake Coleman scored twice in that game. In New York, the Flames were shut out. Alexis Lafrenière scored a hat-trick, while Jonathan Quick stopped 21 shots to help his team win 4:0. Notably, the teams have not combined for more than six goals in any of their last seven head-to-head games.
Head-to-head statistics Calgary - New York Rangers
Victories through adversity
Calgary are still outside the top eight in the Western Conference. After 18 games, Ryan Huska’s team have 17 points and sit tenth in the standings. Their away results leave much to be desired, but the Flames have won six of their last seven games at home. Matt Coronato has already recorded 11 assists, while captain Mikael Backlund helps the team at both ends of the ice. However, the coaching staff will now have to reorganise the defence after losing one of their leading defencemen for the rest of the season.
Against Philadelphia, the hosts fell behind three times. Zayne Parekh equalised first, then Zach Whitecloud scored, and in the third period Joel Farabee converted a breakaway while shorthanded. Coronato scored the winner in overtime. Even so, the statistics make it hard to call Calgary’s win a deserved one. The Flames were outshot 35-26 and trailed 14-7 in high-danger chances at even strength. Devin Cooley played a major part in the win, making 32 saves after returning from injury.
Match Results: Calgary Flames
The cost of one mistake
The New York Rangers sit seventh in the Eastern Conference with 21 points from 19 games. Before travelling to Edmonton, the New Yorkers beat St. Louis, Philadelphia and Seattle in succession. Adam Fox remains their main playmaker with 22 points, including 20 assists. Alexis Lafrenière has scored nine goals. There is a problem, though: Igor Shesterkin is on the injured list, leaving Dylan Garand and Joonas Korpisalo to share goaltending duties. The Rangers’ penalty kill, meanwhile, has been almost faultless, stopping 89.7% of opponents’ power-play opportunities.
Against Edmonton, it was not so much their overall play that let the Rangers down as a few isolated moments. In the first period, Garand mishandled the puck behind the net, and Connor McDavid immediately capitalised. Leon Draisaitl extended the lead in the second period, but Jaroslav Chmelař quickly responded with a shorthanded goal. The visitors had chances to equalise, but Devon Levi dealt with 28 shots. Late on, Draisaitl put the puck into the empty net (1:3). The New Yorkers once again prevented their opponents from scoring on the power play.
Match Results: New York Rangers
First-Period Prediction
No more than two goals were scored in the first period in 11 of Calgary Flames' last 12 games. In their last ten home games, Calgary Flames have allowed an average of 0.5 goals in the first period, while New York Rangers have scored an average of 0.8 in that period across their last ten away games. We pick Under 2.5 Goals in the First Period at odds of 1.3.
Total Goals Prediction
Over 4.5 goals has landed in 9 of Calgary Flames’ last 10 home games. The Flames have scored an average of 4 goals in their last 10 home games, while New York Rangers have allowed an average of 3.8 in their last 10 away games. We pick Over 4.5 Goals for the game at odds of 1.33.
Reliable Bet
The total has stayed under 7.5 goals in each of the Rangers’ last five games. In eight of the last nine head-to-head games at Calgary, the teams also failed to reach 6.5 goals. We pick Under 7.5 Total Goals at odds of 1.3.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Calgary Flames come into this after a tough game against Philadelphia in which they had to come from behind three times. New York Rangers also lost recently, although they created chances against Edmonton and defended well on the penalty kill. The Rangers’ penalty kill could be an important factor: they have killed off 89.7% of their opponents’ power plays. The head-to-head record also gives little reason to expect a high-scoring game. The teams have scored no more than six goals in each of their last seven meetings, and that was also the case in eight of their nine games in Calgary. My pick is Under 6.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Calgary Flames - New York Rangers
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