Ottawa vs Washington Prediction 11 November 2026
π Ottawa and Washington have each had three days off before their first meeting of the season. Both teams won their previous games, though neither victory came easily. The Senators turned around a game that had been going badly against Utah, and the Capitals ended a two-game losing streak by beating Florida. Ottawa sit sixth in the Eastern Conference, five points ahead of Washington. The Capitals have played three fewer games, though, so the gap in the standings does not tell the whole story. The more interesting question is whether the visitors can handle Ottawaβs high-scoring offense.
From a heavy defeat to revenge
π The teams met three times last season, with Ottawa winning twice. The October game was particularly painful for Washington: the Senators routed the Capitals on their home ice (7:1). The Canadian team won again in January, though it was a much closer game this time - 4:3. The Capitals did not get a win of their own until March (4:1). The teams scored 20 goals across the three games, and total over 5.5 landed in four of their last five meetings. Their head-to-head record clearly points to a high-scoring game.
Head-to-head statistics Ottawa - Washington
Victory despite a poor start
Ottawa have won 11 of their 18 games and sit sixth in the Eastern Conference with 23 points. They have won their last two games, and Tim StΓΌtzle remains the driving force in attack with 23 points (9+14). Drake Batherson has added 18. There are plenty of injury concerns, though: Warren Foegele and Andre Burakovsky are out, while Ridly Greigβs participation is in doubt. That has forced coach Travis Green to change his line combinations even during games.
Against Utah, the Senators nearly paid for a poor first period. The visitors outshot them 14-7 and regularly created dangerous chances, but Samuel Ersson kept them from pulling away. Ottawa stayed level thanks to a power-play goal from Fabian Zetterlund, then gradually took control after the intermission. The deciding moment came in the third period, when Nick Cousins scored the game-winner off a pass from Thomas Chabot. The 4-2 final showed how Ottawa can get a result without playing convincingly for the full 60 minutes.
Match Results: Ottawa Senators
Bounced back after two defeats
Washington have 18 points from 15 games, with nine wins. Before playing Florida, Spencer Carberyβs team lost twice at home, allowing 11 goals against Minnesota and Dallas. The Capitalsβ offense continues to create chances regularly, though. Alex Tuch has already scored 11 goals, and Dylan Strome has recorded just as many assists. The problems on defense look more serious: Rasmus Sandin and Vincent Desharnais are injured. The upcoming game in Ottawa will open a road trip for the Capitals.
The game against Florida also started nervously. Washington opened the scoring early, but conceded an equalizer just 52 seconds later. They then lost Tom Wilson, who was ejected. The Panthers took advantage of the five-minute power play to go ahead. In the second period, however, Alex Tuch tied the game after a neutral-zone takeaway, and Aliaksei Protas finished a play involving Pierre-Luc Dubois. Dubois extended the lead in the third, and even a late Florida goal could not prevent a 4:3 win. Logan Thompson helped the team get through several dangerous moments, while the Capitals had more high-danger chances at even strength - 13:8.
Match Results: Washington Capitals
First-Period Prediction
The first period ended with fewer than 2.5 goals in 14 of Ottawa's last 15 games. Ottawa scored fewer than 1.5 goals in the first period in 14 of their last 16 games. We pick first-period total under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35.
Reliable Bet
Over 4.5 total goals has landed in 8 of Ottawa Senators' last 9 games. Washington Capitals' last 11 games have all had over 5.5 goals - that also clears the selected line. We pick over 4.5 total goals in the game at odds of 1.25.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between sportsbooks.*
βοΈ Editor's Pick
It's hard to picture Washington in a low-scoring game right now. More than 5.5 goals have been scored in 11 straight Capitals games, including their recent win over Florida. Ottawa's games have produced plenty of goals too: eight of the Senators' last nine have had at least five. At home, Ottawa average 3.38 goals scored, while Washington allow three per road game. In head-to-head games, the total has gone over 5.5 in four of the last five. Both teams have plenty to offer in attack, and the visitors regularly make defensive mistakes. My pick is - total over 5.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals
in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
in 8 of last 9 games (NHL).in 6 of last 7 away games (NHL).
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