Severstal Cherepovec vs Lada Prediction 9 November 2026
🔊 Not long ago, HC Lada Togliatti were among the Western Conference’s biggest strugglers. Now they have beaten the reigning Gagarin Cup champions twice, with Lokomotiv failing to score against them in 125 minutes of play. Severstal Cherepovec, by contrast, have been losing more often, although their latest game against Sochi improved matters a little. They remain sixth in the conference but have lost three of their last five games. HC Lada Togliatti have a chance to end their losing streak against Severstal Cherepovec. The most recent head-to-head games, though, do not favour the visitors at all.
One goal made the difference
📊 Severstal Cherepovec and HC Lada Togliatti have already met this season. On September 7, Severstal hosted HC Lada Togliatti at the Ice Palace and earned a narrow 1-0 win. Ilya Ivantsov scored the only goal in the ninth minute. Neither team managed to change the score after that. For Severstal Cherepovec, the win continued a welcome run: they have beaten HC Lada Togliatti in regulation in their last five meetings. Still, the September game showed that they should not expect an easy time. HC Lada Togliatti made them battle for every puck even then.
Head-to-head statistics Severstal Cherepovec - Lada
Victory after two setbacks
Severstal Cherepovec are sixth in the Western Conference, although three losses in their last five games have taken some of the shine off their performances. On the other hand, the opposition was tough. Severstal lost to Lokomotiv (0:1) despite generating 1.9 expected goals, then fell to Spartak (1:5) and the Shanghai Dragons (1:3). Between those defeats, Andrei Kozyrev’s team beat Spartak in a shootout (3:2). Right now, Severstal especially need to regain their confidence in attack. Burenov, Graf, Davydov, Pyanov and Chaly are unavailable through injury.
In their last game against Sochi, Severstal finally had something to celebrate. The start was worrying: they went down to three skaters against five but managed to hold on. After that, the hosts gradually took control, and the second period proved decisive. Andrei Kozyrev singled out those two moments after the 4:1 win. The expected goals margin, though, was not that large - 3.2 to 2.8. Alexander Samoylov conceded late on, missing out on a shutout. Before the game against HC Lada Togliatti, the club also traded Ilya Chefanov to Avangard for Yegor Stepanov.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec
The champion was stopped twice
HC Lada Togliatti have won three of their last four games and cut the gap to the playoff places to eight points. Two wins over Lokomotiv, one of the Western Conference leaders, were particularly surprising. Lada kept the Yaroslavl side from scoring on both occasions, though the second game went to a shootout. Their only loss in that stretch was a painful one: Salavat Yulaev routed Igor Gorbenko’s team 5:0. Lada created chances worth 2.1 expected goals but could not score. Volkov, Karpov, Mikhailov, Romanov and Somerby are out injured.
The latest game against Lokomotiv was more of a test of patience. Neither team scored through three periods and overtime, despite shots on goal being almost even - 23:22 in Lada’s favour. Lada blocked 22 shots and kept the visitors from making use of six minutes of power-play time. Andrei Mishurov was the main man again, recording his second shutout of the season. Both have come against Lokomotiv. Rasim Shakirov scored the shootout winner (1:0 SO). It was the team’s way of marking Igor Gorbenko’s 55th birthday, and it brought them a little closer to the playoff places.
Match Results: HC Lada Togliatti
First-Period Prediction
HC Lada Togliatti have not scored in the first period in 6 of their last 7 KHL away games. This season, they have averaged 0.42 goals in the first period on the road. We pick HC Lada Togliatti first-period team total under 0.5 goals at odds of 1.63.
Prediction on the Result
Severstal Cherepovec have won five straight head-to-head games in regulation. This season, they have eight home wins, while HC Lada Togliatti have one away win. We pick Severstal Cherepovec to win in regulation at odds of 1.63.
Total Goals Prediction
Under 5.5 goals has landed in 9 of HC Lada Togliatti's last 10 games. Over their last ten games, they have averaged 1.1 goals scored, compared with 2.2 for Severstal Cherepovec. At the same time, 8 of Severstal Cherepovec's last 9 games have had over 3.5 goals; that does not rule out the selected under bet. We pick total goals under 5.5 at odds of 1.52.
Reliable Bet
Nine of HC Lada Togliatti's last 10 games had fewer than 5.5 goals, and each of the teams' last 10 head-to-head games had fewer than 6.5. We pick match total under 6.5 goals at odds of 1.24.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
HC Lada Togliatti’s two wins over Lokomotiv are impressive, but it is too early to say they have put their problems behind them. Between those wins, they allowed five goals against Salavat Yulaev, and they are still eight points outside the playoff places. Severstal Cherepovec have also had a difficult stretch, though their losses came against strong opponents. The win over Sochi showed they can correct their mistakes: they killed off a 3-on-5 penalty before taking the initiative. Their head-to-head record offers another strong argument. Severstal Cherepovec have beaten HC Lada Togliatti in regulation in their last five meetings. I think that run will continue. My pick - Severstal Cherepovec to win in regulation.
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Betting Tips: Severstal Cherepovec - HC Lada Togliatti
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