Lada vs Severstal Cherepovec Prediction 11 March 2026
🔊 Interestingly, Severstal, despite three consecutive losses, have closed the gap on the second spot in the Western Conference and could secure one of the best seedings in the team's KHL history. A victory over Lada could propel them to second place and almost certainly guarantee home-ice advantage in the first round. Can they overcome a nearly unmotivated opponent? Let's break down this KHL regular season matchup and offer a prediction for the game on March 11.
Head-to-Head
📊 Since Lada rejoined the KHL lineup, the teams have faced off in seven head-to-head matchups: the Togliatti side has claimed victory in three games, while Cherepovets have won four. Notably, Severstal are on a current streak of three consecutive wins this season (2-0, 3-2, and 4-2).
Head-to-head statistics Lada - Severstal Cherepovec
Lada Team Overview
Pavel Desyatkov's team, after suffering two defeats to Spartak (1-7 and 2-5), have significantly complicated their standing in the Western Conference table. The only intrigue for Lada now is whether they, Sochi, or Admiral will finish last in the championship. Currently, the southern team sits at the bottom, but they surpass the Volga club in terms of points lost.
At home, Lada have lost 4 of their last 5 games. In front of their fans, the Togliatti team score fewer goals than any other team in the league-averaging just 2.10 goals per game. In 5 of their last 6 matches at "Lada Arena," this statistic held true, with the team failing to score more than two goals.
On Lada's injury list remains forward Tyler Graovac, who has already missed four games. After the heavy defeat in the first game against the "Red and Whites," Pavel Desyatkov made no changes to the lineup for the second match, except for moving Ivan Romanov to the second forward line in place of Andrey Altybarmakyan.
Match Results: Lada
Severstal Cherepovec Team Overview
The "Steelmen" have hit a rough patch for only the second time this season, suffering three consecutive defeats. Severstal fell to Torpedo (1-2) and twice to Lokomotiv (2-3 SO and 3-4 OT). Surprisingly, this losing streak has brought Severstal closer to second place in the conference, narrowing the gap with Dinamo Minsk to just one point.
On the road, Andrey Kozyrev's team has managed to pick up points in 5 of their last 6 games despite their recent losses. In terms of away performance, Severstal ranks as the top team in the West, securing 65.6% of possible points. However, for the third-ranked team in the conference, their defensive stats aren't the most convincing, conceding an average of 2.88 goals per game on the road.
Severstal currently boasts a clean bill of health with no injuries reported. Between their two games against Lokomotiv, the "Steelmen" coaching staff decided to leave Grigory Vashchenko out of the lineup, replacing him in defense with Artyom Zhukov, while Kirill Tankov was swapped out for Nikolay Chebykin in the third attacking line.
Match Results: Severstal Cherepovec
⚡️ Key Players
Lada's offensive burden is primarily shouldered by their top scorer, Riley Sawchuk, who has amassed 44 points (21 goals, 23 assists) this season. Artur Tianulin leads the team's assist race with 30 assists. However, Andrey Altybarmakyan has struggled, recording just one point in his last ten games.
Severstal's leading goal scorer, Ruslan Abrosimov, with 24 goals, remains in the league's top 10 for this metric. Yet, he has only managed one point in his last six outings. Adam Liska has been on the scoresheet in three consecutive games, while Ioannis Kaldis has contributed in six of the last seven matches.
🥅 Goalkeepers
Neither Ivan Bocharov nor Alexander Trushkov have found consistent form between the pipes for Lada. Bocharov has conceded 19 goals over his last five games, stopping 86.2% of shots, while Trushkov has let in 16 goals with an 89.0% save percentage.
Alexander Samonov has been almost irreplaceable in goal for Severstal in recent matches. Despite three consecutive losses, the goaltender has managed a 90.2% save rate, conceding eight goals.
Editorial Prediction
As we've mentioned before, Severstal have only lost three consecutive games for the second time this season. The last time they suffered a four-game losing streak was back in November 2024. Severstal have triumphed in their last three head-to-head encounters with Lada, while the Togliatti side have lost four out of their last five home games. For Severstal, a win is crucial as they eye the prospect of climbing to second in the conference standings.
Against KHL's bottom teams-Lada, Sochi, Admiral, and Barys-Severstal have won all 11 matchups this season. We won't gamble on a regulation-time win since five of these victories were secured beyond the regular 60 minutes, but we suggest backing Severstal to win the match (including overtime and shootouts).
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Betting Tips: Lada - Severstal Cherepovec
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